Forensic Hockey
The Forensic Files

Schedule Strength

Two things the standings hide: how hard the slate was (the average Power Rating of the teams you faced) and whether you fade on the second night of a back-to-back.

SoSTeamOpp ratingB2BFade
1DET logoDET1506.357−.040
2NJD logoNJD1505.177−.193
3SEA logoSEA1504.231−.117
4BUF logoBUF1504.313−.097
5ARI logoARI1504.333+.036
6PHI logoPHI1503.188−.146
7SJS logoSJS1503.300−.103
8ANA logoANA1502.462+.099
9CBJ logoCBJ1502.286−.200
10MTL logoMTL1501.308+.047
11CHI logoCHI1501.231−.132
12EDM logoEDM1501.400−.225
13VAN logoVAN1501.231−.305
14WPG logoWPG1501.417−.069
15NSH logoNSH1501.357−.231
16MIN logoMIN1501.571−.090
17PIT logoPIT1500.455−.123
18WSH logoWSH1500.500−.043
19LAK logoLAK1500.563+.032
20NYR logoNYR1499.571−.076
21OTT logoOTT1499.471+.086
22NYI logoNYI1499.333−.151
23TBL logoTBL1498.833+.248
24CAR logoCAR1498.429−.277
25BOS logoBOS1498.455−.193
26VGK logoVGK1497.300−.256
27TOR logoTOR1497.539−.143
28COL logoCOL1497.727+.051
29DAL logoDAL1497.429−.160
30CGY logoCGY1497.563−.059
31STL logoSTL1496.546−.060
32FLA logoFLA1494.500−.250

Biggest back-to-back fades ever

Largest drop from rested to second-night-of-a-back-to-back win rate (since 2007-08, min 8 B2Bs).

  1. 1DAL logoDAL2011-12rested .603 → B2B .071−.532
  2. 2OTT logoOTT2020-21rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
  3. 3SEA logoSEA2024-25rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
  4. 4WPG logoWPG2024-25rested .730 → B2B .250−.480
  5. 5WPG logoWPG2011-12rested .522 → B2B .077−.445
  6. 6TOR logoTOR2019-20rested .597 → B2B .154−.443
  7. 7TBL logoTBL2022-23rested .642 → B2B .200−.442
  8. 8NYI logoNYI2023-24rested .528 → B2B .100−.428
  9. 9CGY logoCGY2008-09rested .632 → B2B .214−.418
  10. 10VAN logoVAN2020-21rested .489 → B2B .091−.398

How to read this. Opp rating is the average Power Rating of every opponent a team faced - higher = a tougher road (1500 is league average). A back-to-back is the second game on consecutive days (0 days rest). Fade is the team's rested win rate minus its back-to-back win rate: −.320 means they win 32 points-of-win-rate less when tired; a green + means they somehow play better on no rest. Regular season.