Forensic Hockey
The Forensic Files

Schedule Strength

Two things the standings hide: how hard the slate was (the average Power Rating of the teams you faced) and whether you fade on the second night of a back-to-back.

SoSTeamOpp ratingB2BFade
1CBJ logoCBJ1511.188−.206
2NSH logoNSH1505.455−.151
3NYI logoNYI1505.385−.036
4PHX logoPHX1504.462−.060
5EDM logoEDM1504.333−.067
6ANA logoANA1503.462+.056
7CHI logoCHI1503.529−.024
8NJD logoNJD1503.733+.181
9COL logoCOL1503.400−.114
10PHI logoPHI1502.385−.224
11OTT logoOTT1502.529+.037
12DAL logoDAL1502.071−.532
13LAK logoLAK1502.333−.189
14FLA logoFLA1502.357−.128
15STL logoSTL1502.412−.234
16CAR logoCAR1501.250−.189
17MIN logoMIN1501.455+.032
18TOR logoTOR1500.294−.167
19MTL logoMTL1500.308−.084
20PIT logoPIT1500.500−.152
21DET logoDET1500.571−.017
22BUF logoBUF1500.333−.191
23SJS logoSJS1500.429−.116
24NYR logoNYR1499.714+.111
25CGY logoCGY1499.200−.286
26WPG logoWPG1499.077−.445
27TBL logoTBL1498.400−.072
28BOS logoBOS1497.692+.113
29WSH logoWSH1497.385−.152
30VAN logoVAN1496.636+.017

Biggest back-to-back fades ever

Largest drop from rested to second-night-of-a-back-to-back win rate (since 2007-08, min 8 B2Bs).

  1. 1DAL logoDAL2011-12rested .603 → B2B .071−.532
  2. 2OTT logoOTT2020-21rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
  3. 3SEA logoSEA2024-25rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
  4. 4WPG logoWPG2024-25rested .730 → B2B .250−.480
  5. 5WPG logoWPG2011-12rested .522 → B2B .077−.445
  6. 6TOR logoTOR2019-20rested .597 → B2B .154−.443
  7. 7TBL logoTBL2022-23rested .642 → B2B .200−.442
  8. 8NYI logoNYI2023-24rested .528 → B2B .100−.428
  9. 9CGY logoCGY2008-09rested .632 → B2B .214−.418
  10. 10VAN logoVAN2020-21rested .489 → B2B .091−.398

How to read this. Opp rating is the average Power Rating of every opponent a team faced - higher = a tougher road (1500 is league average). A back-to-back is the second game on consecutive days (0 days rest). Fade is the team's rested win rate minus its back-to-back win rate: −.320 means they win 32 points-of-win-rate less when tired; a green + means they somehow play better on no rest. Regular season.