The Forensic Files
Schedule Strength
Two things the standings hide: how hard the slate was (the average Power Rating of the teams you faced) and whether you fade on the second night of a back-to-back.
| SoS | Team | Opp rating | B2B | Rested | Fade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1505 | .250 | .379 | −.129 | |
| 2 | 1504 | .333 | .443 | −.110 | |
| 3 | 1504 | .667 | .586 | +.081 | |
| 4 | 1504 | .250 | .543 | −.293 | |
| 5 | 1504 | .333 | .448 | −.115 | |
| 6 | 1503 | .400 | .433 | −.033 | |
| 7 | 1503 | .333 | .657 | −.324 | |
| 8 | 1503 | .471 | .615 | −.145 | |
| 9 | 1503 | .600 | .458 | +.142 | |
| 10 | 1503 | .417 | .471 | −.055 | |
| 11 | 1503 | .389 | .422 | −.033 | |
| 12 | 1502 | .375 | .530 | −.155 | |
| 13 | 1502 | .222 | .397 | −.175 | |
| 14 | 1502 | .333 | .493 | −.159 | |
| 15 | 1501 | .529 | .569 | −.040 | |
| 16 | 1501 | .462 | .362 | +.099 | |
| 17 | 1501 | .286 | .500 | −.214 | |
| 18 | 1501 | .600 | .537 | +.063 | |
| 19 | 1500 | .438 | .470 | −.032 | |
| 20 | 1500 | .539 | .580 | −.041 | |
| 21 | 1500 | .455 | .521 | −.067 | |
| 22 | 1500 | .625 | .379 | +.246 | |
| 23 | 1500 | .600 | .702 | −.102 | |
| 24 | 1498 | .250 | .457 | −.207 | |
| 25 | 1498 | .294 | .554 | −.260 | |
| 26 | 1497 | .769 | .551 | +.219 | |
| 27 | 1497 | .571 | .574 | −.002 | |
| 28 | 1496 | .571 | .559 | +.013 | |
| 29 | 1495 | .385 | .594 | −.210 | |
| 30 | 1495 | .546 | .563 | −.018 |
Biggest back-to-back fades ever
Largest drop from rested to second-night-of-a-back-to-back win rate (since 2007-08, min 8 B2Bs).
- 1
DAL2011-12rested .603 → B2B .071−.532
- 2
OTT2020-21rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
- 3
SEA2024-25rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
- 4
WPG2024-25rested .730 → B2B .250−.480
- 5
WPG2011-12rested .522 → B2B .077−.445
- 6
TOR2019-20rested .597 → B2B .154−.443
- 7
TBL2022-23rested .642 → B2B .200−.442
- 8
NYI2023-24rested .528 → B2B .100−.428
- 9
CGY2008-09rested .632 → B2B .214−.418
- 10
VAN2020-21rested .489 → B2B .091−.398
How to read this. Opp rating is the average Power Rating of every opponent a team faced - higher = a tougher road (1500 is league average). A back-to-back is the second game on consecutive days (0 days rest). Fade is the team's rested win rate minus its back-to-back win rate: −.320 means they win 32 points-of-win-rate less when tired; a green + means they somehow play better on no rest. Regular season.