Forensic Hockey
The Forensic Files

Schedule Strength

Two things the standings hide: how hard the slate was (the average Power Rating of the teams you faced) and whether you fade on the second night of a back-to-back.

SoSTeamOpp ratingB2BFade
1TOR logoTOR1505.250−.129
2WPG logoWPG1504.333−.110
3STL logoSTL1504.667+.081
4NSH logoNSH1504.250−.293
5ARI logoARI1504.333−.115
6BUF logoBUF1503.400−.033
7DAL logoDAL1503.333−.324
8PIT logoPIT1503.471−.145
9COL logoCOL1503.600+.142
10NJD logoNJD1503.417−.055
11CBJ logoCBJ1503.389−.033
12PHI logoPHI1502.375−.155
13EDM logoEDM1502.222−.175
14MIN logoMIN1502.333−.159
15NYR logoNYR1501.529−.040
16VAN logoVAN1501.462+.099
17OTT logoOTT1501.286−.214
18NYI logoNYI1501.600+.063
19MTL logoMTL1500.438−.032
20CHI logoCHI1500.539−.041
21BOS logoBOS1500.455−.067
22CAR logoCAR1500.625+.246
23WSH logoWSH1500.600−.102
24CGY logoCGY1498.250−.207
25DET logoDET1498.294−.260
26LAK logoLAK1497.769+.219
27FLA logoFLA1497.571−.002
28SJS logoSJS1496.571+.013
29TBL logoTBL1495.385−.210
30ANA logoANA1495.546−.018

Biggest back-to-back fades ever

Largest drop from rested to second-night-of-a-back-to-back win rate (since 2007-08, min 8 B2Bs).

  1. 1DAL logoDAL2011-12rested .603 → B2B .071−.532
  2. 2OTT logoOTT2020-21rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
  3. 3SEA logoSEA2024-25rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
  4. 4WPG logoWPG2024-25rested .730 → B2B .250−.480
  5. 5WPG logoWPG2011-12rested .522 → B2B .077−.445
  6. 6TOR logoTOR2019-20rested .597 → B2B .154−.443
  7. 7TBL logoTBL2022-23rested .642 → B2B .200−.442
  8. 8NYI logoNYI2023-24rested .528 → B2B .100−.428
  9. 9CGY logoCGY2008-09rested .632 → B2B .214−.418
  10. 10VAN logoVAN2020-21rested .489 → B2B .091−.398

How to read this. Opp rating is the average Power Rating of every opponent a team faced - higher = a tougher road (1500 is league average). A back-to-back is the second game on consecutive days (0 days rest). Fade is the team's rested win rate minus its back-to-back win rate: −.320 means they win 32 points-of-win-rate less when tired; a green + means they somehow play better on no rest. Regular season.