Forensic Hockey
The Forensic Files

Schedule Strength

Two things the standings hide: how hard the slate was (the average Power Rating of the teams you faced) and whether you fade on the second night of a back-to-back.

SoSTeamOpp ratingB2BFade
1MTL logoMTL1506.563−.028
2DET logoDET1505.231−.320
3PHI logoPHI1505.571+.057
4CHI logoCHI1504.333−.024
5BUF logoBUF1504.692+.098
6TBL logoTBL1504.467−.175
7TOR logoTOR1503.400+.012
8CBJ logoCBJ1503.563+.093
9PIT logoPIT1502.438−.078
10BOS logoBOS1502.615+.079
11NSH logoNSH1502.308−.185
12SJS logoSJS1502.375−.125
13FLA logoFLA1501.308−.214
14WSH logoWSH1501.357−.202
15OTT logoOTT1501.643+.128
16NYI logoNYI1501.563+.047
17NJD logoNJD1501.533+.026
18MIN logoMIN1501.357−.246
19NYR logoNYR1500.154−.310
20CGY logoCGY1500.444+.033
21CAR logoCAR1500.467−.220
22STL logoSTL1499.615+.195
23DAL logoDAL1499.667+.067
24SEA logoSEA1499.385−.036
25WPG logoWPG1498.667+.269
26VAN logoVAN1498.385+.095
27LAK logoLAK1497.313−.142
28UTA logoUTA1497.273−.291
29ANA logoANA1497.546+.024
30COL logoCOL1496.500−.200
31EDM logoEDM1496.308−.229
32VGK logoVGK1496.667+.224

Biggest back-to-back fades ever

Largest drop from rested to second-night-of-a-back-to-back win rate (since 2007-08, min 8 B2Bs).

  1. 1DAL logoDAL2011-12rested .603 → B2B .071−.532
  2. 2OTT logoOTT2020-21rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
  3. 3SEA logoSEA2024-25rested .500 → B2B .000−.500
  4. 4WPG logoWPG2024-25rested .730 → B2B .250−.480
  5. 5WPG logoWPG2011-12rested .522 → B2B .077−.445
  6. 6TOR logoTOR2019-20rested .597 → B2B .154−.443
  7. 7TBL logoTBL2022-23rested .642 → B2B .200−.442
  8. 8NYI logoNYI2023-24rested .528 → B2B .100−.428
  9. 9CGY logoCGY2008-09rested .632 → B2B .214−.418
  10. 10VAN logoVAN2020-21rested .489 → B2B .091−.398

How to read this. Opp rating is the average Power Rating of every opponent a team faced - higher = a tougher road (1500 is league average). A back-to-back is the second game on consecutive days (0 days rest). Fade is the team's rested win rate minus its back-to-back win rate: −.320 means they win 32 points-of-win-rate less when tired; a green + means they somehow play better on no rest. Regular season.