Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers

AwayWinnipeg JetsWPG

Final / SO

3-2

HomeNew York RangersNYR

Mar 22, 2026/Madison Square Garden / New York/TV: TSN3, MSG

Overview Signals

Score

3-2

Final / SO

Shots

37-29

WPG / NYR

Power Play Goals

1-1

WPG / NYR

NYR Shot Edge

-8

Hits +12

Players Story Flow More

The Story

WPG beat NYR 3-2 in 2OT. Chances were close to even - WPG held 57% of the expected goals. D. Garand (NYR) was the difference in net, +1.7 goals saved above expected.

Win Probability

Live chance of winning from the game state - score, time, strength

Pre-game projection: WPG 48% · NYR 52%

WPG 61%NYR 39%

Tension - how much the next goal swings itPeak OT 0:00 · 91%

Key Moments

P1 13:06WPGgoal · 1-0+17% WP
P2 00:41NYRgoal · 1-1+18% WP
P2 06:43WPGgoal · 2-1+20% WP
P2 14:03NYRgoal · 2-2+22% WP
2OT 00:00WPGgoal · 2-2+0% WP
2OT 00:00WPGgoal · 2-2+0% WP

Deserve-to-Win

Share of expected goals (chance quality), against the actual score

Final

WPG 57%

43% NYR

xG 3.70 · Goals 3Goals 2 · xG 2.85

Expected Goals - Cumulative

Who is earning the better chances over the game (goal ticks below)

WPG 3.70NYR 2.85

Momentum

Rolling 5-minute share of expected goals - who is pressing

NYR ▲WPG ▼

Scoring Chances by Danger

HighMediumLowWPG101811NYR61510

Chances by Score State

Expected goals (attempts) by the shooter's game state - where the chances came from

LeadingTiedTrailingWPG0.67 (12)3.02 (57)0.00 (0)NYR0.00 (0)1.28 (38)1.57 (22)

Goaltending - is the goalie stealing it?

GSAx = goals saved above expected (Forensic xG faced − goals against). Right of center = robbing the shooters; left = leaking.

E. ComrieWPGBailing them out+0.85

64:37 · .931 SV% · 2 GA on 2.8 xG29 shots

D. GarandNYRBailing them out+1.70

65:00 · .946 SV% · 2 GA on 3.7 xG37 shots

WPG

Attempts

Shots

Goals

3.70

wrist: 28unknown: 13snap: 11

NYR

Attempts

Shots

Goals

2.85

wrist: 25slap: 12unknown: 10

Rink Shot Map

NHL rink coordinates / Forensic xG marker size

WPGNYR129 attempts / 6 goals

Five Minute Momentum

0:00-5:00

4-2

5:00-10:00

4-4

10:00-15:00

5-4

15:00-20:00

4-2

20:00-25:00

8-6

25:00-30:00

11-7

30:00-35:00

1-8

35:00-40:00

5-2

40:00-45:00

5-3

45:00-50:00

7-4

50:00-55:00

9-1

55:00-60:00

2-7

60:00-65:00

2-8

80:00-85:00

2-2

Pressure By Period

Period	WPG Att	WPG xG	NYR Att	NYR xG
1st Period	17	0.77	12	0.17
2nd Period	25	1.59	23	1.65
3rd Period	23	0.84	15	0.33
Overtime	2	0.08	8	0.30
2OT	2	0.43	2	0.40

Source: NHL play-by-play shot attempts with Forensic Hockey xG where enriched shot rows are available.