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Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets

NSH logo
AwayNashville PredatorsNSH
Final / SO
4-3
WPG logo
HomeWinnipeg JetsWPG
Mar 17, 2026/Canada Life Centre / Winnipeg/TV: TSN3, FDSNSO

Overview Signals

Score

4-3

Final / SO

Shots

23-39

NSH / WPG

Power Play Goals

1-1

NSH / WPG

WPG Shot Edge

+16

Hits -5

The Story

NSH beat WPG 4-3 in 2OT. WPG generated the better chances (70% of the expected goals), but NSH found a way. J. Saros (NSH) was the difference in net, +1.7 goals saved above expected.

Win Probability

Live chance of winning from the game state - score, time, strength

Pre-game projection: NSH 40% · WPG 60%

NSH 47%WPG 53%
Tension - how much the next goal swings itPeak OT 0:00 · 91%

Key Moments

  1. P1 13:02NSHgoal · 1-0+17% WP
  2. P1 19:20WPGgoal · 1-1+18% WP
  3. P2 05:09WPGgoal · 1-2+20% WP
  4. P2 10:48NSHgoal · 2-2+20% WP
  5. P3 14:01NSHgoal · 3-2+40% WP
  6. P3 18:59WPGgoal · 3-3+33% WP

Deserve-to-Win

Share of expected goals (chance quality), against the actual score

Final
NSH 30%
70% WPG
xG 2.06 · Goals 4Goals 3 · xG 4.72

Expected Goals - Cumulative

Who is earning the better chances over the game (goal ticks below)

NSH 2.06WPG 4.72

Momentum

Rolling 5-minute share of expected goals - who is pressing

WPG ▲NSH ▼

Scoring Chances by Danger

HighMediumLowNSH4119WPG13225

Chances by Score State

Expected goals (attempts) by the shooter's game state - where the chances came from

LeadingTiedTrailingNSH0.08 (6)1.86 (41)0.12 (6)WPG0.48 (10)2.06 (45)2.18 (24)

Goaltending - is the goalie stealing it?

GSAx = goals saved above expected (Forensic xG faced − goals against). Right of center = robbing the shooters; left = leaking.

J. SarosNSHBailing them out+1.72
65:00 · .923 SV% · 3 GA on 4.7 xG39 shots
C. HellebuyckWPGLeaking-0.94
63:09 · .870 SV% · 3 GA on 2.1 xG23 shots
NSH logo

NSH

Attempts

53

Shots

24

Goals

4

xG

2.06

wrist: 16unknown: 14slap: 9
WPG logo

WPG

Attempts

79

Shots

40

Goals

3

xG

4.72

wrist: 34unknown: 19slap: 7

Rink Shot Map

NHL rink coordinates / Forensic xG marker size

NSHWPG132 attempts / 7 goals
WPG Shot P1 01:45 / xG 0.07NSH Shot P1 02:19 / xG 0.13NSH Blocked P1 03:44 / xG N/ANSH Shot P1 03:46 / xG 0.17NSH Blocked P1 04:56 / xG N/ANSH Blocked P1 05:02 / xG N/ANSH Missed P1 05:57 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P1 06:38 / xG N/ANSH Shot P1 07:03 / xG 0.08NSH Missed P1 07:11 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 07:57 / xG 0.07WPG Missed P1 08:12 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 08:40 / xG 0.02NSH Shot P1 11:07 / xG 0.03NSH Shot P1 11:21 / xG 0.07NSH Shot P1 11:53 / xG 0.08NSH Blocked P1 12:41 / xG N/ANSH Goal P1 13:02 / xG 0.28WPG Blocked P1 13:24 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 14:09 / xG 0.05WPG Blocked P1 14:24 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 14:26 / xG 0.11WPG Shot P1 15:38 / xG 0.20WPG Shot P1 16:09 / xG 0.09WPG Shot P1 16:10 / xG 0.21WPG Blocked P1 17:01 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 17:15 / xG 0.18WPG Shot P1 17:16 / xG 0.23WPG Shot P1 17:17 / xG 0.21WPG Shot P1 18:34 / xG 0.16WPG Shot P1 18:48 / xG 0.05WPG Goal P1 19:20 / xG 0.16NSH Blocked P2 00:24 / xG N/ANSH Missed P2 00:31 / xG N/ANSH Blocked P2 00:40 / xG N/ANSH Blocked P2 00:43 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 01:06 / xG 0.15WPG Missed P2 01:07 / xG N/ANSH Shot P2 01:29 / xG 0.09NSH Missed P2 01:39 / xG N/ANSH Shot P2 03:09 / xG 0.03NSH Shot P2 03:42 / xG 0.05WPG Shot P2 05:07 / xG 0.26WPG Goal P2 05:09 / xG 0.19NSH Shot P2 05:42 / xG 0.03WPG Shot P2 05:52 / xG 0.05WPG Shot P2 05:54 / xG 0.11WPG Blocked P2 06:21 / xG N/AWPG Missed P2 06:23 / xG N/ANSH Blocked P2 07:32 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 07:47 / xG 0.10WPG Blocked P2 07:48 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 08:53 / xG 0.05WPG Missed P2 08:57 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 09:14 / xG 0.06WPG Shot P2 09:17 / xG 0.10NSH Shot P2 09:46 / xG 0.04NSH Missed P2 10:11 / xG N/ANSH Missed P2 10:18 / xG N/ANSH Goal P2 10:48 / xG 0.05WPG Shot P2 11:16 / xG 0.04NSH Shot P2 11:28 / xG 0.11WPG Missed P2 12:09 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 12:15 / xG N/AWPG Missed P2 14:06 / xG N/ANSH Shot P2 14:24 / xG 0.04WPG Blocked P2 15:22 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 15:34 / xG 0.02WPG Blocked P2 16:24 / xG N/AWPG Missed P2 16:45 / xG N/AWPG Missed P2 16:55 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 16:57 / xG N/AWPG Missed P2 17:03 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 17:32 / xG 0.10WPG Blocked P2 19:00 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P3 00:18 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P3 00:22 / xG N/ANSH Shot P3 01:30 / xG 0.15NSH Missed P3 01:35 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 02:07 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 02:20 / xG 0.24WPG Blocked P3 03:10 / xG N/ANSH Shot P3 04:04 / xG 0.03WPG Shot P3 04:06 / xG 0.14WPG Missed P3 06:19 / xG N/ANSH Blocked P3 06:41 / xG N/ANSH Blocked P3 06:44 / xG N/ANSH Missed P3 08:17 / xG N/ANSH Missed P3 08:30 / xG N/ANSH Blocked P3 09:47 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 10:25 / xG N/ANSH Shot P3 10:42 / xG 0.04WPG Blocked P3 11:10 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 12:38 / xG 0.07WPG Shot P3 13:14 / xG 0.19WPG Missed P3 13:15 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 13:16 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P3 13:22 / xG N/ANSH Goal P3 14:01 / xG 0.08NSH Missed P3 14:38 / xG N/ANSH Blocked P3 16:25 / xG N/ANSH Shot P3 16:34 / xG 0.03NSH Shot P3 17:00 / xG 0.05NSH Blocked P3 17:36 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 18:20 / xG 0.08WPG Shot P3 18:25 / xG 0.04WPG Shot P3 18:26 / xG 0.20WPG Blocked P3 18:39 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 18:47 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 18:55 / xG 0.09WPG Blocked P3 18:56 / xG N/AWPG Goal P3 18:59 / xG 0.12WPG Shot P4 00:14 / xG 0.06WPG Blocked P4 00:15 / xG N/ANSH Missed P4 00:24 / xG N/AWPG Shot P4 01:08 / xG 0.08WPG Shot P4 01:31 / xG 0.08WPG Shot P4 01:33 / xG 0.10NSH Missed P4 01:59 / xG N/AWPG Missed P4 02:10 / xG N/AWPG Missed P4 03:13 / xG N/ANSH Missed P4 03:34 / xG N/ANSH Shot P4 04:28 / xG 0.06WPG Missed P4 04:35 / xG N/ANSH Shot P4 04:42 / xG 0.07NSH Missed P4 04:45 / xG N/ANSH Blocked P4 04:58 / xG N/ANSH Goal P5 00:00 / xG 0.26NSH Missed P5 00:00 / xG N/AWPG Shot P5 00:00 / xG 0.18WPG Missed P5 00:00 / xG N/AWPG Missed P5 00:00 / xG N/A

Five Minute Momentum

0:00-5:00
4-1
5:00-10:00
4-4
10:00-15:00
5-4
15:00-20:00
0-10
20:00-25:00
8-2
25:00-30:00
3-12
30:00-35:00
5-4
35:00-40:00
0-9
40:00-45:00
3-6
45:00-50:00
5-1
50:00-55:00
3-7
55:00-60:00
4-8
60:00-65:00
7-8
80:00-85:00
2-3

Pressure By Period

PeriodNSH AttNSH xGWPG AttWPG xG
1st Period130.84191.82
2nd Period160.45271.24
3rd Period150.38221.17
Overtime70.1480.32
2OT20.2630.18

Source: NHL play-by-play shot attempts with Forensic Hockey xG where enriched shot rows are available.