Forensic Hockey
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Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils

WPG logo
AwayWinnipeg JetsWPG
Final
4-3
NJD logo
HomeNew Jersey DevilsNJD
Jan 27, 2026/Prudential Center / Newark/TV: TSN3, MSGSN

Overview Signals

Score

4-3

Final

Shots

26-29

WPG / NJD

Power Play Goals

0-1

WPG / NJD

NJD Shot Edge

+3

Hits -10

The Story

WPG beat NJD 4-3. NJD generated the better chances (60% of the expected goals), but WPG found a way. J. Allen (NJD) had a rough night, -1.9 goals saved above expected.

Win Probability

Live chance of winning from the game state - score, time, strength

Pre-game projection: WPG 49% · NJD 51%

WPG 99%NJD 1%
Tension - how much the next goal swings itPeak P3 19:00 · 47%

Key Moments

  1. P1 01:33WPGgoal · 1-0+16% WP
  2. P1 08:02NJDgoal · 1-1+17% WP
  3. P2 03:23WPGgoal · 2-1+19% WP
  4. P2 07:51WPGgoal · 3-1+14% WP
  5. P2 19:24NJDgoal · 4-2+6% WP
  6. P3 18:14NJDgoal · 4-3+6% WP

Deserve-to-Win

Share of expected goals (chance quality), against the actual score

Final
WPG 40%
60% NJD
xG 2.10 · Goals 4Goals 3 · xG 3.13

Expected Goals - Cumulative

Who is earning the better chances over the game (goal ticks below)

WPG 2.10NJD 3.13

Momentum

Rolling 5-minute share of expected goals - who is pressing

NJD ▲WPG ▼

Scoring Chances by Danger

HighMediumLowWPG2177NJD7148

Chances by Score State

Expected goals (attempts) by the shooter's game state - where the chances came from

LeadingTiedTrailingWPG0.96 (25)1.15 (24)0.00 (0)NJD0.00 (0)0.26 (9)2.87 (54)

Goaltending - is the goalie stealing it?

GSAx = goals saved above expected (Forensic xG faced − goals against). Right of center = robbing the shooters; left = leaking.

C. HellebuyckWPGAs expected+0.13
59:37 · .897 SV% · 3 GA on 3.1 xG29 shots
J. AllenNJDLeaking-1.90
57:33 · .846 SV% · 4 GA on 2.1 xG26 shots
WPG logo

WPG

Attempts

49

Shots

26

Goals

4

xG

2.10

wrist: 15snap: 13unknown: 11
NJD logo

NJD

Attempts

63

Shots

29

Goals

3

xG

3.13

unknown: 22wrist: 15slap: 10

Rink Shot Map

NHL rink coordinates / Forensic xG marker size

WPGNJD112 attempts / 7 goals
NJD Shot P1 00:42 / xG 0.05NJD Blocked P1 00:50 / xG N/AWPG Goal P1 01:33 / xG 0.12NJD Missed P1 01:41 / xG N/ANJD Missed P1 01:43 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 02:07 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 02:20 / xG 0.02NJD Blocked P1 04:14 / xG N/ANJD Missed P1 04:15 / xG N/ANJD Shot P1 04:21 / xG 0.06NJD Shot P1 04:31 / xG 0.02NJD Shot P1 04:53 / xG 0.09NJD Shot P1 05:28 / xG 0.02WPG Shot P1 05:35 / xG 0.13WPG Blocked P1 05:40 / xG N/ANJD Missed P1 07:23 / xG N/ANJD Goal P1 08:02 / xG 0.10WPG Missed P1 08:27 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 09:24 / xG 0.02WPG Blocked P1 09:42 / xG N/ANJD Blocked P1 11:40 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 11:58 / xG N/ANJD Shot P1 12:18 / xG 0.10NJD Blocked P1 12:23 / xG N/ANJD Missed P1 12:28 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 13:08 / xG 0.13WPG Blocked P1 13:19 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P1 13:44 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 13:45 / xG 0.26WPG Shot P1 13:55 / xG 0.10WPG Missed P1 14:03 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 15:39 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P1 17:23 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 17:42 / xG 0.07NJD Blocked P1 18:37 / xG N/ANJD Shot P1 18:48 / xG 0.03NJD Shot P1 19:40 / xG 0.08WPG Shot P2 01:08 / xG 0.03WPG Shot P2 01:28 / xG 0.06WPG Missed P2 01:33 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 01:40 / xG 0.10WPG Shot P2 01:41 / xG 0.12WPG Blocked P2 01:55 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 02:28 / xG 0.06WPG Shot P2 02:40 / xG 0.02WPG Blocked P2 03:05 / xG N/AWPG Goal P2 03:23 / xG 0.06NJD Missed P2 03:42 / xG N/ANJD Blocked P2 03:50 / xG N/ANJD Shot P2 04:24 / xG 0.04NJD Blocked P2 05:24 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 05:49 / xG 0.06WPG Blocked P2 05:51 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 06:57 / xG N/ANJD Missed P2 07:23 / xG N/ANJD Shot P2 07:26 / xG 0.17NJD Missed P2 07:33 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 07:49 / xG 0.08WPG Goal P2 07:51 / xG 0.14WPG Missed P2 08:06 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 08:08 / xG N/ANJD Blocked P2 09:15 / xG N/ANJD Blocked P2 10:04 / xG N/ANJD Blocked P2 10:09 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 10:48 / xG 0.06WPG Shot P2 12:05 / xG 0.05WPG Blocked P2 12:27 / xG N/AWPG Missed P2 14:54 / xG N/ANJD Blocked P2 15:04 / xG N/ANJD Shot P2 15:16 / xG 0.09WPG Goal P2 16:42 / xG 0.08WPG Shot P2 17:32 / xG 0.20NJD Shot P2 17:37 / xG 0.13NJD Blocked P2 18:20 / xG N/ANJD Missed P2 18:50 / xG N/ANJD Goal P2 19:24 / xG 0.32NJD Shot P3 00:50 / xG 0.08NJD Blocked P3 00:52 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 02:28 / xG N/ANJD Shot P3 04:13 / xG 0.04NJD Blocked P3 04:20 / xG N/ANJD Blocked P3 04:26 / xG N/ANJD Blocked P3 04:29 / xG N/ANJD Missed P3 04:33 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 06:14 / xG 0.01WPG Missed P3 07:14 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 07:21 / xG 0.03NJD Shot P3 07:45 / xG 0.03NJD Shot P3 07:52 / xG 0.03NJD Blocked P3 09:14 / xG N/ANJD Shot P3 09:43 / xG 0.16WPG Shot P3 10:54 / xG 0.02NJD Shot P3 12:35 / xG 0.04NJD Missed P3 12:37 / xG N/ANJD Missed P3 12:49 / xG N/ANJD Shot P3 13:57 / xG 0.06NJD Shot P3 14:07 / xG 0.07NJD Shot P3 14:09 / xG 0.29NJD Shot P3 14:19 / xG 0.11NJD Blocked P3 14:20 / xG N/ANJD Shot P3 15:03 / xG 0.20NJD Blocked P3 15:19 / xG N/ANJD Blocked P3 15:55 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 16:48 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 17:18 / xG 0.07NJD Shot P3 17:27 / xG 0.11NJD Blocked P3 17:52 / xG N/ANJD Goal P3 18:14 / xG 0.23NJD Shot P3 19:22 / xG 0.23NJD Shot P3 19:35 / xG 0.14NJD Blocked P3 19:41 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 19:52 / xG N/A

Five Minute Momentum

0:00-5:00
3-9
5:00-10:00
5-3
10:00-15:00
7-4
15:00-20:00
3-3
20:00-25:00
10-3
25:00-30:00
7-5
30:00-35:00
4-2
35:00-40:00
2-6
40:00-45:00
1-7
45:00-50:00
3-4
50:00-55:00
1-8
55:00-60:00
3-9

Pressure By Period

PeriodWPG AttWPG xGNJD AttNJD xG
1st Period180.84190.55
2nd Period231.14160.75
3rd Period80.13281.83

Source: NHL play-by-play shot attempts with Forensic Hockey xG where enriched shot rows are available.