Forensic Hockey

New York Islanders at Utah Hockey Club

Nov 14, 2025/Delta Center / Salt Lake City/TV: Utah16, MSGSN

Overview Signals

Score

3-2

Final / OT

Shots

21-30

NYI / UTA

Power Play Goals

0-1

NYI / UTA

UTA Shot Edge

+9

Hits -5

The Story

NYI beat UTA 3-2 in overtime. Chances were close to even - NYI held 48% of the expected goals.

Win Probability

Live chance of winning from the game state - score, time, strength

Pre-game projection: NYI 42% · UTA 58%

NYI 84%UTA 16%
Tension - how much the next goal swings itPeak OT 0:00 · 91%

Key Moments

  1. P1 07:13NYIgoal · 1-0+17% WP
  2. P1 13:02UTAgoal · 1-1+17% WP
  3. P1 18:35UTAgoal · 1-2+18% WP
  4. P3 13:44NYIgoal · 2-2+36% WP
  5. OT 02:06NYIgoal · 3-2+48% WP

Deserve-to-Win

Share of expected goals (chance quality), against the actual score

Final
NYI 48%
52% UTA
xG 2.38 · Goals 3Goals 2 · xG 2.62

Expected Goals - Cumulative

Who is earning the better chances over the game (goal ticks below)

NYI 2.38UTA 2.62

Momentum

Rolling 5-minute share of expected goals - who is pressing

UTANYI

Scoring Chances by Danger

HighMediumLowNYI5107UTA5196

Chances by Score State

Expected goals (attempts) by the shooter's game state - where the chances came from

LeadingTiedTrailingNYI0.00 (1)0.88 (22)1.50 (36)UTA1.11 (28)1.08 (24)0.43 (7)

Goaltending - is the goalie stealing it?

GSAx = goals saved above expected (Forensic xG faced − goals against). Right of center = robbing the shooters; left = leaking.

D. RittichNYIAs expected+0.62
62:06 · .933 SV% · 2 GA on 2.6 xG30 shots
K. VejmelkaUTAAs expected-0.62
61:33 · .905 SV% · 3 GA on 2.4 xG21 shots
NYI logo

NYI

Attempts

59

Shots

22

Goals

3

xG

2.38

unknown: 22snap: 19slap: 5
UTA logo

UTA

Attempts

59

Shots

30

Goals

2

xG

2.62

snap: 24slap: 16unknown: 11

Rink Shot Map

NHL rink coordinates / Forensic xG marker size

NYIUTA118 attempts / 5 goals
UTA Shot P1 00:12 / xG 0.07UTA Missed P1 00:20 / xG N/AUTA Blocked P1 00:23 / xG N/AUTA Shot P1 00:42 / xG 0.09UTA Shot P1 00:56 / xG 0.09NYI Shot P1 02:02 / xG 0.03NYI Shot P1 02:27 / xG 0.13UTA Blocked P1 02:36 / xG N/AUTA Shot P1 02:44 / xG 0.04UTA Shot P1 03:02 / xG 0.22UTA Shot P1 03:09 / xG 0.01UTA Shot P1 03:37 / xG 0.04UTA Blocked P1 04:18 / xG N/AUTA Shot P1 04:47 / xG 0.06UTA Blocked P1 04:51 / xG N/AUTA Missed P1 04:56 / xG N/AUTA Shot P1 05:54 / xG 0.11NYI Missed P1 06:56 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P1 07:10 / xG N/ANYI Goal P1 07:13 / xG 0.13UTA Missed P1 09:24 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P1 09:31 / xG N/AUTA Blocked P1 11:16 / xG N/AUTA Missed P1 11:37 / xG N/AUTA Shot P1 11:39 / xG 0.19UTA Missed P1 11:43 / xG N/AUTA Shot P1 12:27 / xG 0.03UTA Goal P1 13:02 / xG 0.21UTA Shot P1 13:30 / xG 0.10NYI Blocked P1 14:14 / xG N/ANYI Shot P1 14:42 / xG 0.19NYI Blocked P1 15:33 / xG N/ANYI Missed P1 15:53 / xG N/ANYI Shot P1 15:59 / xG 0.06UTA Blocked P1 16:43 / xG N/AUTA Missed P1 17:05 / xG N/ANYI Shot P1 18:09 / xG 0.01UTA Goal P1 18:35 / xG 0.09UTA Missed P1 19:53 / xG N/AUTA Missed P1 19:59 / xG N/ANYI Missed P2 00:18 / xG N/ANYI Missed P2 01:58 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 02:29 / xG N/ANYI Shot P2 02:48 / xG 0.09NYI Missed P2 03:05 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 03:24 / xG N/AUTA Shot P2 03:50 / xG 0.07NYI Missed P2 04:34 / xG N/AUTA Shot P2 04:54 / xG 0.07NYI Missed P2 05:34 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 05:39 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 05:42 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 05:53 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 05:58 / xG N/AUTA Missed P2 06:42 / xG N/AUTA Blocked P2 07:04 / xG N/AUTA Shot P2 08:55 / xG 0.06UTA Shot P2 09:11 / xG 0.05UTA Blocked P2 09:13 / xG N/ANYI Missed P2 10:10 / xG N/ANYI Shot P2 10:18 / xG 0.05NYI Shot P2 11:03 / xG 0.12UTA Shot P2 11:05 / xG 0.08NYI Blocked P2 11:28 / xG N/ANYI Shot P2 11:37 / xG 0.29NYI Shot P2 11:38 / xG 0.23NYI Blocked P2 12:57 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 13:25 / xG N/ANYI Missed P2 13:25 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 14:42 / xG N/ANYI Missed P2 15:05 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 15:13 / xG N/AUTA Missed P2 16:53 / xG N/AUTA Missed P2 17:01 / xG N/AUTA Shot P2 17:12 / xG 0.07NYI Shot P2 17:18 / xG 0.04UTA Shot P2 17:43 / xG 0.07UTA Shot P2 18:25 / xG 0.16UTA Shot P2 18:47 / xG 0.10NYI Shot P2 18:52 / xG 0.03NYI Blocked P2 19:18 / xG N/AUTA Shot P2 19:33 / xG 0.05NYI Shot P3 00:12 / xG 0.03NYI Shot P3 01:07 / xG 0.05NYI Blocked P3 03:41 / xG N/AUTA Blocked P3 04:40 / xG N/AUTA Missed P3 04:42 / xG N/AUTA Missed P3 05:33 / xG N/AUTA Blocked P3 05:41 / xG N/AUTA Missed P3 05:55 / xG N/AUTA Shot P3 06:51 / xG 0.08UTA Shot P3 06:56 / xG 0.08UTA Shot P3 07:14 / xG 0.18UTA Missed P3 07:34 / xG N/ANYI Shot P3 08:36 / xG 0.09UTA Missed P3 09:46 / xG N/ANYI Shot P3 10:00 / xG 0.32NYI Missed P3 10:45 / xG N/AUTA Missed P3 10:55 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P3 11:29 / xG N/ANYI Missed P3 13:41 / xG N/ANYI Goal P3 13:44 / xG 0.17UTA Blocked P3 13:59 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P3 14:42 / xG N/AUTA Missed P3 16:12 / xG N/AUTA Shot P3 16:15 / xG 0.06NYI Blocked P3 16:24 / xG N/ANYI Shot P3 17:46 / xG 0.12NYI Missed P3 17:47 / xG N/ANYI Missed P3 18:05 / xG N/AUTA Shot P3 18:27 / xG 0.06NYI Missed P3 18:38 / xG N/ANYI Missed P3 18:40 / xG N/AUTA Shot P3 19:16 / xG 0.03NYI Blocked P4 00:40 / xG N/ANYI Shot P4 01:00 / xG 0.08NYI Shot P4 01:06 / xG 0.06NYI Goal P4 02:06 / xG 0.08

Five Minute Momentum

0:00-5:00
2-14
5:00-10:00
4-2
10:00-15:00
2-7
15:00-20:00
4-5
20:00-25:00
7-2
25:00-30:00
5-5
30:00-35:00
10-1
35:00-40:00
5-7
40:00-45:00
3-2
45:00-50:00
1-8
50:00-55:00
6-2
55:00-60:00
6-4
60:00-65:00
4-0

Pressure By Period

PeriodNYI AttNYI xGUTA AttUTA xG
1st Period120.55281.36
2nd Period270.84150.78
3rd Period160.78160.48
Overtime40.2100.00

Source: NHL play-by-play shot attempts with Forensic Hockey xG where enriched shot rows are available.