Forensic Hockey
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Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

WPG logo
AwayWinnipeg JetsWPG
Final / OT
4-3
CHI logo
HomeChicago BlackhawksCHI
Mar 31, 2026/United Center / Chicago/TV: TSN3, CHSN

Overview Signals

Score

4-3

Final / OT

Shots

24-21

WPG / CHI

Power Play Goals

1-0

WPG / CHI

CHI Shot Edge

-3

Hits -7

The Story

WPG beat CHI 4-3 in overtime. Chances were close to even - WPG held 55% of the expected goals. S. Knight (CHI) had a rough night, -1.6 goals saved above expected.

Win Probability

Live chance of winning from the game state - score, time, strength

Pre-game projection: WPG 58% · CHI 42%

WPG 88%CHI 12%
Tension - how much the next goal swings itPeak OT 0:00 · 90%

Key Moments

  1. P1 04:42CHIgoal · 0-1+18% WP
  2. P2 01:06WPGgoal · 1-1+20% WP
  3. P2 11:19WPGgoal · 2-1+18% WP
  4. P2 11:57WPGgoal · 3-1+12% WP
  5. P3 09:46CHIgoal · 3-3+28% WP
  6. OT 00:33WPGgoal · 4-3+42% WP

Deserve-to-Win

Share of expected goals (chance quality), against the actual score

Final
WPG 55%
45% CHI
xG 2.42 · Goals 4Goals 3 · xG 1.94

Expected Goals - Cumulative

Who is earning the better chances over the game (goal ticks below)

WPG 2.42CHI 1.94

Momentum

Rolling 5-minute share of expected goals - who is pressing

CHI ▲WPG ▼

Scoring Chances by Danger

HighMediumLowWPG6126CHI4116

Chances by Score State

Expected goals (attempts) by the shooter's game state - where the chances came from

LeadingTiedTrailingWPG0.81 (17)1.24 (20)0.36 (12)CHI0.43 (13)0.61 (15)0.90 (15)

Goaltending - is the goalie stealing it?

GSAx = goals saved above expected (Forensic xG faced − goals against). Right of center = robbing the shooters; left = leaking.

C. HellebuyckWPGLeaking-1.06
60:33 · .857 SV% · 3 GA on 1.9 xG21 shots
S. KnightCHILeaking-1.58
60:33 · .833 SV% · 4 GA on 2.4 xG24 shots
WPG logo

WPG

Attempts

49

Shots

24

Goals

4

xG

2.42

wrist: 20unknown: 11backhand: 5
CHI logo

CHI

Attempts

43

Shots

21

Goals

3

xG

1.94

wrist: 21unknown: 12snap: 5

Rink Shot Map

NHL rink coordinates / Forensic xG marker size

WPGCHI92 attempts / 7 goals
CHI Blocked P1 00:34 / xG N/ACHI Blocked P1 00:43 / xG N/ACHI Shot P1 01:04 / xG 0.11WPG Shot P1 01:50 / xG 0.01WPG Missed P1 02:01 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 02:27 / xG 0.03CHI Shot P1 04:34 / xG 0.08CHI Missed P1 04:38 / xG N/ACHI Goal P1 04:42 / xG 0.18WPG Missed P1 05:26 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 05:59 / xG N/ACHI Missed P1 06:49 / xG N/ACHI Shot P1 07:02 / xG 0.04CHI Blocked P1 09:28 / xG N/ACHI Missed P1 09:39 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P1 10:22 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 11:36 / xG 0.04WPG Shot P1 11:41 / xG 0.04WPG Blocked P1 12:02 / xG N/ACHI Shot P1 12:21 / xG 0.08CHI Blocked P1 12:22 / xG N/ACHI Shot P1 13:03 / xG 0.12WPG Blocked P1 13:19 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 14:18 / xG 0.04CHI Shot P1 15:21 / xG 0.04WPG Missed P1 15:43 / xG N/ACHI Blocked P1 16:21 / xG N/ACHI Missed P1 16:23 / xG N/ACHI Shot P1 17:28 / xG 0.12CHI Shot P1 18:16 / xG 0.03CHI Blocked P1 19:21 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 19:56 / xG 0.09WPG Missed P1 19:59 / xG N/AWPG Goal P2 01:06 / xG 0.15WPG Blocked P2 01:37 / xG N/AWPG Missed P2 02:07 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 02:31 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 02:33 / xG 0.21WPG Shot P2 04:56 / xG 0.10WPG Shot P2 05:02 / xG 0.09WPG Missed P2 05:12 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 05:24 / xG 0.09WPG Shot P2 06:40 / xG 0.13WPG Missed P2 06:42 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 08:53 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 09:23 / xG 0.12WPG Missed P2 10:08 / xG N/AWPG Goal P2 11:19 / xG 0.17WPG Missed P2 11:46 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 11:56 / xG 0.09WPG Goal P2 11:57 / xG 0.20CHI Missed P2 12:25 / xG N/ACHI Blocked P2 12:27 / xG N/ACHI Shot P2 12:43 / xG 0.07CHI Goal P2 13:26 / xG 0.11WPG Blocked P2 16:11 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 17:36 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 17:38 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 17:39 / xG 0.15WPG Shot P2 18:25 / xG 0.07WPG Missed P2 18:31 / xG N/AWPG Missed P2 18:53 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 19:08 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 19:24 / xG 0.10WPG Shot P2 19:30 / xG 0.10WPG Shot P2 19:34 / xG 0.02WPG Missed P3 00:25 / xG N/ACHI Blocked P3 00:56 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 02:28 / xG 0.08CHI Shot P3 03:57 / xG 0.10WPG Blocked P3 04:14 / xG N/ACHI Blocked P3 04:56 / xG N/ACHI Missed P3 04:57 / xG N/ACHI Shot P3 05:08 / xG 0.16CHI Shot P3 05:09 / xG 0.20CHI Missed P3 05:59 / xG N/ACHI Blocked P3 06:23 / xG N/ACHI Shot P3 07:47 / xG 0.04CHI Missed P3 09:39 / xG N/ACHI Goal P3 09:46 / xG 0.21CHI Blocked P3 11:53 / xG N/ACHI Shot P3 14:11 / xG 0.07CHI Shot P3 14:52 / xG 0.03CHI Shot P3 15:01 / xG 0.03WPG Shot P3 16:49 / xG 0.08CHI Shot P3 17:03 / xG 0.05WPG Missed P3 19:00 / xG N/ACHI Shot P3 19:09 / xG 0.06CHI Missed P3 19:40 / xG N/ACHI Blocked P3 19:49 / xG N/ACHI Missed P3 19:51 / xG N/AWPG Goal P4 00:33 / xG 0.20

Five Minute Momentum

0:00-5:00
3-6
5:00-10:00
2-4
10:00-15:00
6-3
15:00-20:00
3-6
20:00-25:00
6-0
25:00-30:00
7-0
30:00-35:00
5-4
35:00-40:00
11-0
40:00-45:00
3-4
45:00-50:00
0-7
50:00-55:00
0-3
55:00-60:00
2-6
60:00-65:00
1-0

Pressure By Period

PeriodWPG AttWPG xGCHI AttCHI xG
1st Period140.25190.81
2nd Period291.8140.18
3rd Period50.16200.95
Overtime10.2000.00

Source: NHL play-by-play shot attempts with Forensic Hockey xG where enriched shot rows are available.