Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks
Overview Signals
Score
1-2
Final / OT
Shots
28-33
WPG / SJS
Power Play Goals
0-0
WPG / SJS
SJS Shot Edge
+5
Hits +5
The Story
SJS beat WPG 2-1 in overtime. Chances were close to even - SJS held 55% of the expected goals. A. Nedeljkovic (SJS) was the difference in net, +1.6 goals saved above expected.
Win Probability
Live chance of winning from the game state - score, time, strength
Pre-game projection: WPG 55% · SJS 45%
Key Moments
- P1 02:44WPGgoal · 1-0+15% WP
- P3 01:47SJSgoal · 1-1+26% WP
- OT 01:40SJSgoal · 1-2+47% WP
Deserve-to-Win
Share of expected goals (chance quality), against the actual score
Expected Goals - Cumulative
Who is earning the better chances over the game (goal ticks below)
Momentum
Rolling 5-minute share of expected goals - who is pressing
Scoring Chances by Danger
Chances by Score State
Expected goals (attempts) by the shooter's game state - where the chances came from
Goaltending - is the goalie stealing it?
GSAx = goals saved above expected (Forensic xG faced − goals against). Right of center = robbing the shooters; left = leaking.
WPG
Attempts
44
Shots
28
Goals
1
xG
2.58
SJS
Attempts
66
Shots
33
Goals
2
xG
3.21
Rink Shot Map
NHL rink coordinates / Forensic xG marker size
Five Minute Momentum
Pressure By Period
| Period | WPG Att | WPG xG | SJS Att | SJS xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period | 14 | 0.46 | 33 | 1.04 |
| 2nd Period | 15 | 1.32 | 9 | 0.29 |
| 3rd Period | 14 | 0.77 | 23 | 1.77 |
| Overtime | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0.12 |
Source: NHL play-by-play shot attempts with Forensic Hockey xG where enriched shot rows are available.