Forensic Hockey
← Scores

Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks

WPG logo
AwayWinnipeg JetsWPG
Final / OT
4-5
ANA logo
HomeAnaheim DucksANA
Feb 27, 2026/Honda Center / Anaheim/TV: TVAS, TSN3, Victory+

Overview Signals

Score

4-5

Final / OT

Shots

33-40

WPG / ANA

Power Play Goals

1-1

WPG / ANA

ANA Shot Edge

+7

Hits +9

The Story

ANA beat WPG 5-4 in overtime. Chances were close to even - ANA held 55% of the expected goals. ANA erased a 2-goal deficit. C. Hellebuyck (WPG) had a rough night, -1.0 goals saved above expected.

Win Probability

Live chance of winning from the game state - score, time, strength

Pre-game projection: WPG 50% · ANA 50%

WPG 3%ANA 97%
Tension - how much the next goal swings itPeak OT 0:00 · 91%

Key Moments

  1. P1 01:24WPGgoal · 1-0+17% WP
  2. P2 19:19ANAgoal · 2-1+16% WP
  3. P3 09:59ANAgoal · 3-3+31% WP
  4. P3 16:50ANAgoal · 3-4+42% WP
  5. P3 18:38WPGgoal · 4-4+37% WP
  6. OT 04:47ANAgoal · 4-5+46% WP

Deserve-to-Win

Share of expected goals (chance quality), against the actual score

Final
WPG 45%
55% ANA
xG 3.28 · Goals 4Goals 5 · xG 3.99

Expected Goals - Cumulative

Who is earning the better chances over the game (goal ticks below)

WPG 3.28ANA 3.99

Momentum

Rolling 5-minute share of expected goals - who is pressing

ANA ▲WPG ▼

Scoring Chances by Danger

HighMediumLowWPG7188ANA111712

Chances by Score State

Expected goals (attempts) by the shooter's game state - where the chances came from

LeadingTiedTrailingWPG2.44 (49)0.68 (18)0.17 (2)ANA0.00 (0)0.69 (9)3.29 (61)

Goaltending - is the goalie stealing it?

GSAx = goals saved above expected (Forensic xG faced − goals against). Right of center = robbing the shooters; left = leaking.

C. HellebuyckWPGLeaking-1.01
64:09 · .875 SV% · 5 GA on 4.0 xG40 shots
L. DostalANAAs expected-0.72
64:47 · .879 SV% · 4 GA on 3.3 xG33 shots
WPG logo

WPG

Attempts

69

Shots

33

Goals

4

xG

3.28

snap: 22unknown: 15wrist: 15
ANA logo

ANA

Attempts

70

Shots

40

Goals

5

xG

3.99

snap: 26backhand: 10slap: 10

Rink Shot Map

NHL rink coordinates / Forensic xG marker size

WPGANA139 attempts / 9 goals
ANA Missed P1 01:02 / xG N/AWPG Goal P1 01:24 / xG 0.05WPG Blocked P1 02:05 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 02:14 / xG N/AANA Missed P1 03:17 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 03:50 / xG 0.15ANA Missed P1 04:13 / xG N/AANA Shot P1 04:49 / xG 0.03ANA Missed P1 04:57 / xG N/AANA Shot P1 04:58 / xG 0.13ANA Shot P1 05:05 / xG 0.05ANA Blocked P1 07:11 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 07:56 / xG N/AANA Missed P1 08:11 / xG N/AANA Shot P1 08:25 / xG 0.04WPG Blocked P1 09:47 / xG N/AANA Shot P1 11:17 / xG 0.11ANA Missed P1 11:55 / xG N/AANA Missed P1 12:14 / xG N/AANA Shot P1 12:47 / xG 0.02WPG Shot P1 13:43 / xG 0.08WPG Missed P1 13:56 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P1 14:04 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 14:16 / xG 0.11WPG Shot P1 14:31 / xG 0.15WPG Missed P1 14:35 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 16:49 / xG 0.23WPG Shot P1 16:50 / xG 0.14WPG Blocked P1 17:00 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 17:05 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 17:22 / xG 0.08WPG Shot P1 17:26 / xG 0.03ANA Missed P1 18:45 / xG N/AANA Shot P1 18:51 / xG 0.03ANA Blocked P1 19:36 / xG N/AANA Shot P2 00:49 / xG 0.09WPG Shot P2 00:52 / xG 0.03WPG Shot P2 01:26 / xG 0.18WPG Blocked P2 01:46 / xG N/AWPG Goal P2 02:25 / xG 0.21ANA Shot P2 02:58 / xG 0.04ANA Shot P2 03:00 / xG 0.24ANA Shot P2 03:01 / xG 0.21ANA Blocked P2 03:02 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 04:20 / xG N/AANA Shot P2 04:49 / xG 0.13ANA Shot P2 04:51 / xG 0.19WPG Shot P2 05:01 / xG 0.13WPG Missed P2 06:18 / xG N/AWPG Missed P2 06:23 / xG N/AANA Shot P2 06:42 / xG 0.15ANA Missed P2 06:59 / xG N/AANA Shot P2 07:17 / xG 0.08ANA Missed P2 07:45 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 08:10 / xG 0.06WPG Blocked P2 08:15 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 08:17 / xG 0.08WPG Blocked P2 08:21 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 08:29 / xG 0.07WPG Shot P2 08:30 / xG 0.10WPG Missed P2 08:38 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 08:44 / xG 0.04ANA Shot P2 09:16 / xG 0.03ANA Shot P2 09:55 / xG 0.07ANA Shot P2 12:17 / xG 0.07ANA Missed P2 12:17 / xG N/AANA Missed P2 12:47 / xG N/AANA Blocked P2 13:27 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 13:51 / xG 0.03WPG Shot P2 13:53 / xG 0.03WPG Missed P2 15:10 / xG N/AANA Missed P2 15:25 / xG N/AANA Shot P2 16:29 / xG 0.15ANA Shot P2 17:02 / xG 0.14ANA Missed P2 17:03 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 18:29 / xG 0.13ANA Shot P2 19:01 / xG 0.17ANA Shot P2 19:09 / xG 0.04ANA Shot P2 19:11 / xG 0.07ANA Missed P2 19:12 / xG N/AANA Goal P2 19:19 / xG 0.02WPG Shot P2 19:52 / xG 0.04WPG Shot P2 19:55 / xG 0.13ANA Shot P3 00:30 / xG 0.20WPG Shot P3 00:52 / xG 0.02WPG Blocked P3 01:04 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P3 01:14 / xG N/AWPG Goal P3 01:27 / xG 0.06ANA Missed P3 02:04 / xG N/AANA Shot P3 02:52 / xG 0.02WPG Missed P3 03:34 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 03:53 / xG 0.05WPG Missed P3 03:54 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 04:09 / xG N/AANA Missed P3 04:40 / xG N/AANA Missed P3 05:06 / xG N/AANA Shot P3 05:09 / xG 0.02ANA Shot P3 05:39 / xG 0.06ANA Missed P3 06:27 / xG N/AANA Shot P3 06:29 / xG 0.15ANA Missed P3 06:30 / xG N/AANA Goal P3 06:32 / xG 0.26ANA Blocked P3 07:14 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 07:36 / xG 0.07WPG Blocked P3 07:42 / xG N/AANA Shot P3 08:10 / xG 0.03ANA Blocked P3 08:14 / xG N/AANA Blocked P3 08:17 / xG N/AANA Shot P3 08:20 / xG 0.10ANA Missed P3 09:19 / xG N/AANA Shot P3 09:56 / xG 0.04ANA Goal P3 09:59 / xG 0.12ANA Missed P3 10:40 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 11:24 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 11:27 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P3 11:37 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 11:38 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 12:35 / xG 0.18WPG Missed P3 13:48 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 13:51 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 14:10 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P3 14:43 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 14:49 / xG N/AANA Goal P3 16:50 / xG 0.11WPG Blocked P3 18:33 / xG N/AWPG Goal P3 18:38 / xG 0.17WPG Shot P3 18:57 / xG 0.26WPG Missed P3 18:59 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P4 00:08 / xG N/AANA Shot P4 00:56 / xG 0.06WPG Shot P4 01:11 / xG 0.06ANA Shot P4 01:23 / xG 0.10ANA Shot P4 01:24 / xG 0.17ANA Missed P4 01:46 / xG N/AANA Shot P4 03:01 / xG 0.07WPG Missed P4 03:32 / xG N/AWPG Shot P4 03:52 / xG 0.06WPG Shot P4 04:06 / xG 0.07ANA Goal P4 04:47 / xG 0.18

Five Minute Momentum

0:00-5:00
4-6
5:00-10:00
2-4
10:00-15:00
6-4
15:00-20:00
6-3
20:00-25:00
5-7
25:00-30:00
11-6
30:00-35:00
2-4
35:00-40:00
4-9
40:00-45:00
8-4
45:00-50:00
2-15
50:00-55:00
10-1
55:00-60:00
4-1
60:00-65:00
5-6

Pressure By Period

PeriodWPG AttWPG xGANA AttANA xG
1st Period181.02170.41
2nd Period221.26261.89
3rd Period240.81211.10
Overtime50.1960.59

Source: NHL play-by-play shot attempts with Forensic Hockey xG where enriched shot rows are available.