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New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets

NYI logo
AwayNew York IslandersNYI
Final
4-5
WPG logo
HomeWinnipeg JetsWPG
Jan 13, 2026/Canada Life Centre / Winnipeg/TV: TSN3, MSGSN

Overview Signals

Score

4-5

Final

Shots

27-22

NYI / WPG

Power Play Goals

0-1

NYI / WPG

WPG Shot Edge

-5

Hits +5

The Story

WPG beat NYI 5-4. Chances were close to even - WPG held 49% of the expected goals. I. Sorokin (NYI) had a rough night, -2.5 goals saved above expected.

Win Probability

Live chance of winning from the game state - score, time, strength

Pre-game projection: NYI 43% · WPG 57%

NYI 1%WPG 99%
Tension - how much the next goal swings itPeak P1 0:00 · 43%

Key Moments

  1. P1 04:20WPGgoal · 0-1+17% WP
  2. P2 05:41WPGgoal · 0-2+13% WP
  3. P2 08:58NYIgoal · 2-3+16% WP
  4. P2 10:21NYIgoal · 3-3+21% WP
  5. P2 12:23WPGgoal · 3-4+22% WP
  6. P2 19:40WPGgoal · 3-5+13% WP

Deserve-to-Win

Share of expected goals (chance quality), against the actual score

Final
NYI 51%
49% WPG
xG 2.67 · Goals 4Goals 5 · xG 2.51

Expected Goals - Cumulative

Who is earning the better chances over the game (goal ticks below)

NYI 2.67WPG 2.51

Momentum

Rolling 5-minute share of expected goals - who is pressing

WPG ▲NYI ▼

Scoring Chances by Danger

HighMediumLowNYI6129WPG6124

Chances by Score State

Expected goals (attempts) by the shooter's game state - where the chances came from

LeadingTiedTrailingNYI0.00 (0)0.22 (8)2.45 (44)WPG2.15 (43)0.36 (4)0.00 (0)

Goaltending - is the goalie stealing it?

GSAx = goals saved above expected (Forensic xG faced − goals against). Right of center = robbing the shooters; left = leaking.

I. SorokinNYIGetting lit up-2.49
56:13 · .773 SV% · 5 GA on 2.5 xG22 shots
C. HellebuyckWPGLeaking-1.33
59:48 · .852 SV% · 4 GA on 2.7 xG27 shots
NYI logo

NYI

Attempts

52

Shots

27

Goals

4

xG

2.67

wrist: 22unknown: 10slap: 8
WPG logo

WPG

Attempts

47

Shots

22

Goals

5

xG

2.51

wrist: 19unknown: 12backhand: 5

Rink Shot Map

NHL rink coordinates / Forensic xG marker size

NYIWPG99 attempts / 9 goals
NYI Shot P1 00:18 / xG 0.02NYI Missed P1 00:41 / xG N/ANYI Missed P1 00:50 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P1 01:38 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P1 02:29 / xG N/ANYI Shot P1 02:40 / xG 0.07WPG Shot P1 04:17 / xG 0.15WPG Goal P1 04:20 / xG 0.14WPG Shot P1 05:58 / xG 0.01NYI Missed P1 07:09 / xG N/ANYI Shot P1 08:05 / xG 0.03WPG Missed P1 08:21 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 08:38 / xG 0.06WPG Shot P1 08:55 / xG 0.04WPG Missed P1 09:02 / xG N/ANYI Shot P1 10:16 / xG 0.05NYI Missed P1 10:22 / xG N/ANYI Shot P1 10:40 / xG 0.04NYI Blocked P1 10:41 / xG N/ANYI Shot P1 10:43 / xG 0.20NYI Shot P1 10:44 / xG 0.08NYI Blocked P1 10:46 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P1 11:07 / xG N/ANYI Missed P1 11:23 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P1 12:29 / xG N/ANYI Missed P1 13:31 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 14:45 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P1 14:55 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 16:00 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 16:03 / xG 0.15WPG Shot P1 16:04 / xG 0.18WPG Shot P1 16:05 / xG 0.13WPG Blocked P1 16:17 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 16:27 / xG N/AWPG Shot P1 17:00 / xG 0.10WPG Blocked P1 17:29 / xG N/AWPG Missed P1 17:38 / xG N/ANYI Missed P1 17:56 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P1 18:04 / xG N/ANYI Shot P2 01:14 / xG 0.03NYI Missed P2 01:15 / xG N/ANYI Shot P2 02:58 / xG 0.04NYI Missed P2 03:34 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 03:57 / xG N/ANYI Missed P2 04:23 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 05:36 / xG 0.09WPG Missed P2 05:37 / xG N/AWPG Goal P2 05:41 / xG 0.08WPG Blocked P2 06:21 / xG N/AWPG Goal P2 06:23 / xG 0.30NYI Missed P2 06:55 / xG N/ANYI Blocked P2 07:22 / xG N/ANYI Missed P2 07:25 / xG N/ANYI Goal P2 07:40 / xG 0.08NYI Shot P2 08:55 / xG 0.19NYI Goal P2 08:58 / xG 0.26WPG Missed P2 10:02 / xG N/ANYI Goal P2 10:21 / xG 0.12NYI Shot P2 10:33 / xG 0.11WPG Shot P2 11:04 / xG 0.02NYI Shot P2 11:19 / xG 0.03WPG Goal P2 12:23 / xG 0.05WPG Shot P2 13:01 / xG 0.21WPG Missed P2 13:02 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 14:44 / xG 0.08WPG Blocked P2 15:41 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 15:46 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P2 15:58 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 16:20 / xG 0.05WPG Missed P2 16:38 / xG N/AWPG Shot P2 17:00 / xG 0.07WPG Shot P2 18:17 / xG 0.23WPG Blocked P2 18:49 / xG N/AWPG Goal P2 19:40 / xG 0.18WPG Blocked P2 19:59 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 00:05 / xG 0.07NYI Shot P3 00:47 / xG 0.14NYI Shot P3 01:34 / xG 0.01NYI Shot P3 02:05 / xG 0.04NYI Missed P3 03:55 / xG N/AWPG Blocked P3 05:10 / xG N/ANYI Shot P3 05:49 / xG 0.13NYI Shot P3 08:20 / xG 0.05NYI Shot P3 08:42 / xG 0.07NYI Missed P3 10:03 / xG N/AWPG Shot P3 11:20 / xG 0.12NYI Blocked P3 11:36 / xG N/ANYI Shot P3 11:49 / xG 0.09NYI Blocked P3 15:25 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 16:23 / xG N/ANYI Shot P3 17:20 / xG 0.06NYI Shot P3 17:21 / xG 0.19NYI Shot P3 17:22 / xG 0.23NYI Shot P3 17:23 / xG 0.25NYI Missed P3 17:44 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 18:04 / xG N/AWPG Missed P3 18:09 / xG N/ANYI Goal P3 19:14 / xG 0.06NYI Blocked P3 19:56 / xG N/A

Five Minute Momentum

0:00-5:00
6-2
5:00-10:00
2-5
10:00-15:00
10-3
15:00-20:00
2-9
20:00-25:00
5-1
25:00-30:00
6-5
30:00-35:00
3-6
35:00-40:00
0-10
40:00-45:00
4-1
45:00-50:00
3-1
50:00-55:00
3-1
55:00-60:00
8-3

Pressure By Period

PeriodNYI AttNYI xGWPG AttWPG xG
1st Period200.49190.96
2nd Period140.86221.35
3rd Period181.3260.20

Source: NHL play-by-play shot attempts with Forensic Hockey xG where enriched shot rows are available.