Forensic Hockey
The Forensic Files

Pulling the Goalie

The coach's most second-guessed call. When a trailing team pulls its goalie for a 6th attacker, how often does it actually work - and have teams learned to pull earlier? 2009-10-2025-26.

17.5%
force overtime
when pulling down 1 (6,905 times)
1:47
average pull
time left in regulation, down 1
944-1483
extra-attacker goals vs empty-netters
1 comeback goal per 1.6 into the empty net
Down 1 - worth it

Pull down a goal and you tie it 17.5% of the time and go on to win 6.7% - far better than the 0% you get by leaving the goalie in.

Down 2 - a long shot

Down two it almost never comes back: just 1.1% force overtime across 5,251 attempts. The empty net mostly just pads the other team's total.

Teams have learned to pull earlier

Average time left when teams pull down one, by season - the analytics era pushed the call earlier.

SeasonAvg pull (time left)Forced OT
2009-101:4315.7%
2010-111:2214.2%
2011-121:4013.1%
2012-131:2813.6%
2013-141:1815.6%
2014-151:5515.3%
2015-161:3514.0%
2016-171:5016.4%
2017-182:0120.6%
2018-191:4819.3%
2019-202:0620.1%
2020-211:4518.6%
2021-221:5419.6%
2022-231:5220.1%
2023-241:5018.1%
2024-251:5618.6%
2025-262:1323.4%

By team

Down-1 comeback pulls, all-time (min 40).

#TeamPulls atForced OT
1VGK logoVGK1:5323.3%
2PHI logoPHI1:4822.2%
3WSH logoWSH1:5922.2%
4MIN logoMIN2:0621.3%
5ANA logoANA1:4420.5%
6VAN logoVAN2:1220.5%
7TOR logoTOR1:4120.4%
8PIT logoPIT1:4119.8%
9COL logoCOL1:5319.7%
10FLA logoFLA1:5419.6%
11TBL logoTBL1:5719.5%
12MTL logoMTL1:4419.2%
13CAR logoCAR2:1318.5%
14CHI logoCHI1:5118.3%
15NYI logoNYI1:3717.4%
16PHX logoPHX1:2817.2%
17SJS logoSJS1:4517.2%
18NJD logoNJD1:5516.9%
19CBJ logoCBJ1:4816.7%
20WPG logoWPG1:2516.3%
21DAL logoDAL1:5916.2%
22BUF logoBUF1:5016.0%
23DET logoDET1:3315.7%
24LAK logoLAK1:3415.6%
25BOS logoBOS1:5115.6%
26CGY logoCGY1:4315.2%
27NSH logoNSH1:5915.2%
28EDM logoEDM1:4214.7%
29OTT logoOTT1:2813.4%
30NYR logoNYR1:3113.2%
31STL logoSTL1:3513.2%
32ARI logoARI1:4213.0%
33SEA logoSEA1:3612.7%

How to read this. A comeback pull is the last stretch a trailing team plays with its goalie pulled for a 6th attacker in the 3rd period or OT (brief delayed-penalty pulls are excluded). Forced OTmeans the team tied the game in regulation - the pull's actual goal; EAGF/ENGA are goals scored / allowed into the empty net while pulled. Regular season, 2009-10 on (where the on-ice strength state is reliable).