Deserve to win
37–63%
If both goalies were league average
BUF
3–5
SOG 21–32
xG 0.51 – 0.85
CAR
Snapshot at 2:45:00 AM
Static box score →Live insights
Momentum, expected goals, finishing luck, and scoring chances — recalculated on every sync
Game xG
0.51–0.85
Δ -0.34 CAR
CAR
Finishing vs xG
CAR +4.1
Outscoring shot quality
CAR
Shot threat
Sebastian Aho
6 attempts · 0.13 xG
CAR
Scoring chances
0–0
Attempts ≥8% xG · HDC 0–0
Last goal
J. Staal
P3 19:05 · 3–5
CAR
Top game score
J. Staal · 1.80
2G 0A undefined SOG · TOI 15:38
CAR
Win probability
CAR 100%
P1 · P2 · P3
P1P2P3
BUFCAR
Shot zone
Live attempt map with expected goals
BUF 0.51 xGCAR 0.85 xG
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Highlights
Goals and big plays with NHL video
GOAL · J. Staal
P3 19:05 · CAR · 3–5 · wrist
GOAL · S. Aho
P3 11:39 · CAR · 3–4 · backhand
GOAL · J. Staal
P3 05:12 · CAR · 3–3 · wrist
GOAL · T. Teravainen
P2 16:32 · CAR · 3–2 · wrist
GOAL · V. Olofsson
P2 05:29 · BUF · 3–1 · backhand
GOAL · S. Aho
P2 04:59 · CAR · 2–1 · wrist
GOAL · A. Tuch
P1 06:25 · BUF · 2–0 · wrist
GOAL · T. Thompson
P1 03:49 · BUF · 1–0 · wrist
Play-by-play
Live feed · new plays animate in
- P3 19:54CARBlocked shotTeuvo Teravainen1.1% xG
- P3 19:46CARMissed shotTeuvo Teravainen2.7% xG
- P3 19:14BUFShot on goalMark Pysyk0.6% xG
- P3 19:05CARFaceoffVincent Trocheck
- P3 19:05CARGoalJordan Staal
- P3 19:02—Giveaway—
- P3 18:04CARFaceoffSebastian Aho
- P3 18:04—Stoppage—
- P3 17:57CARHitNino Niederreiter
- P3 17:45CARBlocked shotJordan Staal1.9% xG
- P3 17:33—Giveaway—
- P3 17:20—Giveaway—
- P3 17:03—Giveaway—
- P3 16:54BUFShot on goalKyle Okposo0.9% xG
- P3 16:27CARFaceoffDerek Stepan
- P3 16:27—Stoppage—
- P3 16:07—Giveaway—
- P3 16:05CARHitVincent Trocheck
- P3 15:57—Takeaway—
- P3 15:02BUFHitCasey Fitzgerald
- P3 15:00BUFHitAlex Tuch
- P3 14:45CARHitJordan Staal
- P3 14:31CARShot on goalBrady Skjei0.9% xG
- P3 14:17BUFHitRasmus Asplund
- P3 14:01CARHitAndrei Svechnikov
- P3 13:26CARHitJordan Martinook
- P3 13:19CARBlocked shotIan Cole2.0% xG
- P3 13:07CARShot on goalBrendan Smith0.5% xG
- P3 13:01BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
- P3 13:01—Stoppage—
- P3 13:00CARShot on goalIan Cole0.5% xG
- P3 12:54BUFHitCasey Fitzgerald
- P3 12:34BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P3 12:34—Stoppage—
- P3 12:17—Takeaway—
- P3 12:08CARMissed shotNino Niederreiter0.7% xG
- P3 11:39CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P3 11:39CARGoalSebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov, Seth Jarvis
- P3 11:10BUFHitRasmus Asplund
- P3 11:00BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P3 11:00—Stoppage—
- P3 10:33BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
- P3 10:33—Stoppage—
- P3 10:32CARShot on goalIan Cole0.8% xG
- P3 10:29CARFaceoffJordan Martinook
- P3 10:29—Stoppage—
- P3 10:28CARShot on goalJaccob Slavin0.6% xG
- P3 10:13CARHitTony DeAngelo
- P3 09:56CARFaceoffVincent Trocheck
- P3 09:56—Stoppage—
- P3 09:16BUFBlocked shotJacob Bryson2.0% xG
- P3 09:07CARShot on goalMartin Necas0.8% xG
- P3 08:49BUFMissed shotAlex Tuch0.8% xG
- P3 08:33BUFMissed shotTage Thompson1.2% xG
- P3 08:26BUFShot on goalJeff Skinner2.8% xG
- P3 07:55BUFShot on goalJeff Skinner2.2% xG
- P3 07:23CARFaceoffVincent Trocheck
- P3 07:23—Stoppage—
- P3 07:23—Penalty—
- P3 07:21BUFMissed shotZemgus Girgensons0.7% xG
- P3 06:56BUFMissed shotCody Eakin0.5% xG
- P3 06:48BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
- P3 06:48—Stoppage—
- P3 06:33—Giveaway—
- P3 06:09CARHitAndrei Svechnikov
- P3 05:17BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P3 05:17—Stoppage—
- P3 05:12CARFaceoffSebastian Aho
- P3 05:12CARGoalJordan Staal, Brett Pesce, Jesper Fast
- P3 05:04CARHitNino Niederreiter
- P3 04:35CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P3 04:35—Stoppage—
- P3 04:34BUFBlocked shotTage Thompson1.5% xG
- P3 04:24BUFMissed shotMattias Samuelsson0.5% xG
- P3 03:49CARShot on goalBrendan Smith0.6% xG
- P3 03:29BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
- P3 03:29—Stoppage—
- P3 03:28CARShot on goalMartin Necas1.3% xG
- P3 03:06CARShot on goalVincent Trocheck2.5% xG
- P3 02:55BUFMissed shotDylan Cozens1.2% xG
- P3 02:30BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P3 02:30—Stoppage—
- P3 02:29CARShot on goalTeuvo Teravainen1.1% xG
- P3 02:28BUFHitCasey Fitzgerald
- P3 01:58CARHitAndrei Svechnikov
- P3 01:47CARHitSebastian Aho
- P3 01:16BUFShot on goalMattias Samuelsson1.0% xG
- P3 01:13CARHitJordan Staal
- P3 00:55CARMissed shotBrady Skjei0.6% xG
- P3 00:53CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P3 00:53—Stoppage—
- P3 00:25BUFHitJacob Bryson
- P3 00:00BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
- P2 19:56BUFShot on goalAlex Tuch1.1% xG
- P2 19:52—Giveaway—
- P2 18:54CARHitIan Cole
- P2 18:49—Takeaway—
- P2 18:40CARShot on goalBrendan Smith0.4% xG
- P2 18:36CARShot on goalVincent Trocheck1.4% xG
- P2 18:28BUFShot on goalCasey Fitzgerald0.5% xG
- P2 18:19BUFShot on goalDylan Cozens1.6% xG
- P2 18:02BUFFaceoffDylan Cozens
- P2 18:02—Stoppage—
- P2 17:56—Giveaway—
- P2 17:52BUFHitHenri Jokiharju
- P2 17:43CARMissed shotSebastian Aho0.9% xG
- P2 16:59CARMissed shotJordan Staal1.3% xG
- P2 16:32CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P2 16:32CARGoalTeuvo Teravainen
- P2 16:30—Giveaway—
- P2 16:17BUFMissed shotCody Eakin1.7% xG
- P2 16:11BUFShot on goalZemgus Girgensons1.6% xG
- P2 15:47CARBlocked shotAndrei Svechnikov0.9% xG
- P2 15:08CARHitJesper Fast
- P2 15:05—Giveaway—
- P2 14:37CARFaceoffDerek Stepan
- P2 14:37—Stoppage—
- P2 14:36BUFShot on goalCasey Mittelstadt2.6% xG
- P2 14:25CARShot on goalSebastian Aho1.6% xG
- P2 14:14BUFMissed shotRasmus Dahlin0.6% xG
- P2 14:06BUFMissed shotAlex Tuch1.5% xG
- P2 13:16CARFaceoffVincent Trocheck
- P2 13:16—Penalty—
- P2 13:05BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
- P2 13:05—Stoppage—
- P2 13:04CARMissed shotTony DeAngelo0.5% xG
- P2 12:34CARFaceoffSebastian Aho
- P2 12:34—Stoppage—
- P2 12:17—Takeaway—
- P2 12:11BUFBlocked shotAlex Tuch1.8% xG
- P2 12:05BUFShot on goalAlex Tuch0.5% xG
- P2 11:36CARHitNino Niederreiter
- P2 11:32CARHitNino Niederreiter
- P2 11:23CARHitNino Niederreiter
- P2 10:03—Takeaway—
- P2 09:49CARHitTony DeAngelo
- P2 09:34CARShot on goalJaccob Slavin0.5% xG
- P2 09:04BUFHitCasey Fitzgerald
- P2 08:43CARHitSeth Jarvis
- P2 08:30—Takeaway—
- P2 08:21BUFBlocked shotJeff Skinner1.5% xG
- P2 08:11—Giveaway—
- P2 08:06BUFHitJeff Skinner
- P2 07:45BUFHitTage Thompson
- P2 07:33CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P2 07:33—Stoppage—
- P2 07:27CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P2 07:27—Stoppage—
- P2 07:25BUFShot on goalDylan Cozens1.4% xG
- P2 07:23—Giveaway—
- P2 07:00CARHitJordan Martinook
- P2 06:53BUFShot on goalPeyton Krebs2.4% xG
- P2 06:42CARHitMartin Necas
- P2 06:17BUFShot on goalCody Eakin0.5% xG
- P2 05:43—Takeaway—
- P2 05:29CARFaceoffVincent Trocheck
- P2 05:29BUFGoalVictor Olofsson, Casey Mittelstadt, Mattias Samuelsson
- P2 05:22—Giveaway—
- P2 04:59CARFaceoffSebastian Aho
- P2 04:59CARGoalSebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov, Seth Jarvis
- P2 04:52—Giveaway—
- P2 04:23CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P2 04:23—Stoppage—
- P2 04:12CARHitNino Niederreiter
- P2 04:05CARMissed shotBrett Pesce0.7% xG
- P2 04:01CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P2 04:01—Stoppage—
- P2 04:00CARShot on goalBrett Pesce0.5% xG
- P2 03:44CARMissed shotNino Niederreiter1.9% xG
- P2 03:41—Giveaway—
- P2 03:40CARHitJordan Staal
- P2 03:28BUFMissed shotDylan Cozens1.0% xG
- P2 02:57BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P2 02:47CARFaceoffDerek Stepan
- P2 02:47—Stoppage—
- P2 02:38—Giveaway—
- P2 01:43CARMissed shotAndrei Svechnikov3.6% xG
- P2 00:48—Giveaway—
- P2 00:12BUFMissed shotKyle Okposo1.5% xG
- P2 00:00BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
- P1 19:40CARHitVincent Trocheck
- P1 19:03BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P1 19:03—Stoppage—
- P1 19:02CARShot on goalVincent Trocheck1.2% xG
- P1 18:58—Giveaway—
- P1 18:36—Takeaway—
- P1 18:24CARBlocked shotTony DeAngelo1.9% xG
- P1 17:43—Takeaway—
- P1 17:22CARFaceoffMax Domi
- P1 17:22—Stoppage—
- P1 15:56—Takeaway—
- P1 15:10CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P1 15:10—Penalty—
- P1 15:07CARHitMax Domi
- P1 15:05CARHitBrendan Smith
- P1 14:44BUFHitHenri Jokiharju
- P1 14:07BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin0.6% xG
- P1 14:05BUFFaceoffJeff Skinner
- P1 14:05—Stoppage—
- P1 14:04BUFShot on goalMattias Samuelsson0.9% xG
- P1 13:59BUFShot on goalVinnie Hinostroza0.8% xG
- P1 13:56CARHitSebastian Aho
- P1 13:54—Takeaway—
- P1 13:41CARFaceoffSebastian Aho
- P1 13:41—Stoppage—
- P1 13:40BUFShot on goalDylan Cozens1.6% xG
- P1 13:38—Giveaway—
- P1 13:06—Giveaway—
- P1 13:01CARShot on goalJordan Martinook1.8% xG
- P1 12:52CARFaceoffJordan Martinook
- P1 12:52—Stoppage—
- P1 12:50CARBlocked shotMartin Necas1.3% xG
- P1 12:40CARMissed shotMax Domi0.9% xG
- P1 12:39—Takeaway—
- P1 12:27CARMissed shotMax Domi4.5% xG
- P1 11:46—Giveaway—
- P1 11:40CARShot on goalTeuvo Teravainen0.9% xG
- P1 11:37CARHitAndrei Svechnikov
- P1 11:31BUFHitAlex Tuch
- P1 11:05CARBlocked shotTeuvo Teravainen1.7% xG
- P1 10:49CARFaceoffSebastian Aho
- P1 10:49—Penalty—
- P1 10:11CARFaceoffVincent Trocheck
- P1 10:11—Stoppage—
- P1 10:10CARShot on goalJordan Martinook1.3% xG
- P1 09:32BUFMissed shotCasey Mittelstadt0.6% xG
- P1 09:28—Giveaway—
- P1 09:20CARShot on goalJaccob Slavin1.7% xG
- P1 09:18CARShot on goalMax Domi7.4% xG
- P1 09:00CARMissed shotVincent Trocheck2.4% xG
- P1 08:44CARShot on goalAndrei Svechnikov0.8% xG
- P1 08:11CARFaceoffVincent Trocheck
- P1 08:11—Stoppage—
- P1 08:10CARShot on goalVincent Trocheck1.0% xG
- P1 08:00CARBlocked shotTeuvo Teravainen1.7% xG
- P1 07:52BUFHitMattias Samuelsson
- P1 07:50CARShot on goalAndrei Svechnikov1.2% xG
- P1 07:40CARMissed shotSebastian Aho6.2% xG
- P1 07:38CARFaceoffSebastian Aho
- P1 07:38—Penalty—
- P1 07:34CARFaceoffDerek Stepan
- P1 07:34—Stoppage—
- P1 07:22CARShot on goalMartin Necas0.5% xG
- P1 07:07CARShot on goalMartin Necas0.7% xG
- P1 06:50CARMissed shotJordan Martinook1.0% xG
- P1 06:40BUFMissed shotHenri Jokiharju0.5% xG
- P1 06:29BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
- P1 06:29—Stoppage—
- P1 06:25BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
- P1 06:25BUFGoalAlex Tuch, Jeff Skinner, Tage Thompson
- P1 06:22—Takeaway—
- P1 05:54CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P1 05:54—Stoppage—
- P1 05:26CARHitJordan Staal
- P1 04:59CARHitVincent Trocheck
- P1 04:29—Giveaway—
- P1 04:20CARMissed shotSebastian Aho0.8% xG
- P1 04:15CARHitSeth Jarvis
- P1 03:49BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P1 03:49BUFGoalTage Thompson, Jeff Skinner, Alex Tuch
- P1 03:10CARHitBrett Pesce
- P1 03:00CARShot on goalVincent Trocheck1.6% xG
- P1 02:58CARHitMax Domi
- P1 02:55CARHitVincent Trocheck
- P1 02:40BUFHitDylan Cozens
- P1 02:37BUFBlocked shotVinnie Hinostroza1.2% xG
- P1 02:20CARHitBrendan Smith
- P1 02:12CARHitSebastian Aho
- P1 01:48CARMissed shotAndrei Svechnikov1.2% xG
- P1 01:36CARFaceoffSebastian Aho
- P1 01:36—Stoppage—
- P1 01:18CARHitJordan Staal
- P1 00:49—Takeaway—
- P1 00:13CARHitJordan Martinook
- P1 00:00BUFFaceoffCody Eakin
BUF vs CAR
Shot tracker
Every attempt with live expected goals
- P1 01:48CARAndrei Svechnikov1.2%
- P1 02:37BUFVinnie Hinostroza1.2%
- P1 03:00CARVincent Trocheck1.6%
- P1 03:49BUFTage ThompsonGOAL
- P1 04:20CARSebastian Aho0.8%
- P1 06:25BUFAlex TuchGOAL
- P1 06:40BUFHenri Jokiharju0.5%
- P1 06:50CARJordan Martinook1.0%
- P1 07:07CARMartin Necas0.7%
- P1 07:22CARMartin Necas0.5%
- P1 07:40CARSebastian Aho6.2%
- P1 07:50CARAndrei Svechnikov1.2%
- P1 08:00CARTeuvo Teravainen1.7%
- P1 08:10CARVincent Trocheck1.0%
- P1 08:44CARAndrei Svechnikov0.8%
- P1 09:00CARVincent Trocheck2.4%
- P1 09:18CARMax Domi7.4%
- P1 09:20CARJaccob Slavin1.7%
- P1 09:32BUFCasey Mittelstadt0.6%
- P1 10:10CARJordan Martinook1.3%
- P1 11:05CARTeuvo Teravainen1.7%
- P1 11:40CARTeuvo Teravainen0.9%
- P1 12:27CARMax Domi4.5%
- P1 12:40CARMax Domi0.9%
- P1 12:50CARMartin Necas1.3%
- P1 13:01CARJordan Martinook1.8%
- P1 13:40BUFDylan Cozens1.6%
- P1 13:59BUFVinnie Hinostroza0.8%
- P1 14:04BUFMattias Samuelsson0.9%
- P1 14:07BUFRasmus Dahlin0.6%
- P1 18:24CARTony DeAngelo1.9%
- P1 19:02CARVincent Trocheck1.2%
- P2 00:12BUFKyle Okposo1.5%
- P2 01:43CARAndrei Svechnikov3.6%
- P2 03:28BUFDylan Cozens1.0%
- P2 03:44CARNino Niederreiter1.9%
- P2 04:00CARBrett Pesce0.5%
- P2 04:05CARBrett Pesce0.7%
- P2 04:59CARSebastian AhoGOAL
- P2 05:29BUFVictor OlofssonGOAL
- P2 06:17BUFCody Eakin0.5%
- P2 06:53BUFPeyton Krebs2.4%
- P2 07:25BUFDylan Cozens1.4%
- P2 08:21BUFJeff Skinner1.5%
- P2 09:34CARJaccob Slavin0.5%
- P2 12:05BUFAlex Tuch0.5%
- P2 12:11BUFAlex Tuch1.8%
- P2 13:04CARTony DeAngelo0.5%
- P2 14:06BUFAlex Tuch1.5%
- P2 14:14BUFRasmus Dahlin0.6%
- P2 14:25CARSebastian Aho1.6%
- P2 14:36BUFCasey Mittelstadt2.6%
- P2 15:47CARAndrei Svechnikov0.9%
- P2 16:11BUFZemgus Girgensons1.6%
- P2 16:17BUFCody Eakin1.7%
- P2 16:32CARTeuvo TeravainenGOAL
- P2 16:59CARJordan Staal1.3%
- P2 17:43CARSebastian Aho0.9%
- P2 18:19BUFDylan Cozens1.6%
- P2 18:28BUFCasey Fitzgerald0.5%
- P2 18:36CARVincent Trocheck1.4%
- P2 18:40CARBrendan Smith0.4%
- P2 19:56BUFAlex Tuch1.1%
- P3 00:55CARBrady Skjei0.6%
- P3 01:16BUFMattias Samuelsson1.0%
- P3 02:29CARTeuvo Teravainen1.1%
- P3 02:55BUFDylan Cozens1.2%
- P3 03:06CARVincent Trocheck2.5%
- P3 03:28CARMartin Necas1.3%
- P3 03:49CARBrendan Smith0.6%
- P3 04:24BUFMattias Samuelsson0.5%
- P3 04:34BUFTage Thompson1.5%
- P3 05:12CARJordan StaalGOAL
- P3 06:56BUFCody Eakin0.5%
- P3 07:21BUFZemgus Girgensons0.7%
- P3 07:55BUFJeff Skinner2.2%
- P3 08:26BUFJeff Skinner2.8%
- P3 08:33BUFTage Thompson1.2%
- P3 08:49BUFAlex Tuch0.8%
- P3 09:07CARMartin Necas0.8%
- P3 09:16BUFJacob Bryson2.0%
- P3 10:28CARJaccob Slavin0.6%
- P3 10:32CARIan Cole0.8%
- P3 11:39CARSebastian AhoGOAL
- P3 12:08CARNino Niederreiter0.7%
- P3 13:00CARIan Cole0.5%
- P3 13:07CARBrendan Smith0.5%
- P3 13:19CARIan Cole2.0%
- P3 14:31CARBrady Skjei0.9%
- P3 16:54BUFKyle Okposo0.9%
- P3 17:45CARJordan Staal1.9%
- P3 19:05CARJordan StaalGOAL
- P3 19:14BUFMark Pysyk0.6%
- P3 19:46CARTeuvo Teravainen2.7%
- P3 19:54CARTeuvo Teravainen1.1%