Deserve to win
38–62%
If both goalies were league average
OTT
2–9
SOG 29–41
xG 0.58 – 0.95
BUF
Snapshot at 4:03:51 PM
Static box score →Live insights
Momentum, expected goals, finishing luck, and scoring chances — recalculated on every sync
Game xG
0.58–0.95
Δ -0.37 BUF
BUF
Finishing vs xG
BUF +8.0
Outscoring shot quality
BUF
Shot threat
Jason Pominville
7 attempts · 0.22 xG
BUF
Scoring chances
0–0
Attempts ≥8% xG · HDC 0–0
Last goal
C. Ceci
P3 14:14 · 2–9
OTT
Top game score
J. Pominville · 2.40
2G 1A undefined SOG · TOI 13:43
BUF
Win probability
BUF 100%
P1 · P2 · P3
P1P2P3
OTTBUF
Shot zone
Live attempt map with expected goals
OTT 0.58 xGBUF 0.95 xG
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Highlights
Goals and big plays with NHL video
GOAL · C. Ceci
P3 14:14 · OTT · 2–9 · wrist
GOAL · C. Mittelstadt
P3 13:13 · BUF · 1–9 · snap
GOAL · P. Berglund
P3 05:41 · BUF · 1–8 · wrist
GOAL · C. Sheary
P2 07:48 · BUF · 1–7 · wrist
GOAL · J. Pominville
P2 07:06 · BUF · 1–6 · wrist
GOAL · M. McCormick
P2 06:37 · OTT · 1–5 · wrist
GOAL · Z. Girgensons
P2 05:19 · BUF · 0–5 · wrist
GOAL · J. Skinner
P2 05:06 · BUF · 0–4 · wrist
GOAL · J. Pominville
P1 14:25 · BUF · 0–3 · wrist
GOAL · J. Skinner
P1 06:28 · BUF · 0–2 · snap
GOAL · K. Okposo
P1 05:04 · BUF · 0–1 · snap
Play-by-play
Live feed · new plays animate in
- P3 19:33OTTBlocked shotThomas Chabot1.6% xG
- P3 19:24OTTShot on goalChris Tierney2.5% xG
- P3 19:17OTTShot on goalRyan Dzingel0.9% xG
- P3 19:04BUFBlocked shotRasmus Ristolainen2.7% xG
- P3 18:00OTTShot on goalChristian Jaros1.8% xG
- P3 17:42OTTFaceoffMatt Duchene
- P3 17:42—Penalty—
- P3 17:42—Penalty—
- P3 17:42—Stoppage—
- P3 15:37OTTShot on goalNick Paul2.1% xG
- P3 14:58OTTShot on goalChristian Jaros3.4% xG
- P3 14:14BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P3 14:14OTTGoalCody Ceci, Thomas Chabot, Mark Stone
- P3 13:35OTTMissed shotChris Tierney0.8% xG
- P3 13:13OTTFaceoffChris Tierney
- P3 13:13BUFGoalCasey Mittelstadt, Conor Sheary, Marco Scandella
- P3 13:02OTTFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P3 13:02—Stoppage—
- P3 12:58BUFMissed shotZemgus Girgensons0.6% xG
- P3 12:33BUFMissed shotJohan Larsson0.8% xG
- P3 12:07—Giveaway—
- P3 11:51BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P3 11:51—Stoppage—
- P3 11:50OTTShot on goalThomas Chabot0.7% xG
- P3 10:35BUFShot on goalRasmus Ristolainen0.5% xG
- P3 09:28BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P3 09:28—Stoppage—
- P3 09:28BUFShot on goalZach Bogosian0.5% xG
- P3 09:18BUFHitZach Bogosian
- P3 09:00OTTShot on goalThomas Chabot0.9% xG
- P3 08:55—Takeaway—
- P3 08:41BUFShot on goalPatrik Berglund2.2% xG
- P3 08:16BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P3 08:16—Stoppage—
- P3 08:16OTTMissed shotCody Ceci0.4% xG
- P3 08:16—Stoppage—
- P3 07:15BUFHitRasmus Ristolainen
- P3 07:06BUFBlocked shotRasmus Ristolainen1.3% xG
- P3 06:34OTTShot on goalMaxime Lajoie0.9% xG
- P3 06:20OTTShot on goalMark Stone1.4% xG
- P3 05:41OTTFaceoffMatt Duchene
- P3 05:41BUFGoalPatrik Berglund, Rasmus Ristolainen, Zemgus Girgensons
- P3 05:29OTTHitErik Burgdoerfer
- P3 05:15BUFBlocked shotCasey Nelson1.0% xG
- P3 04:55BUFFaceoffPatrik Berglund
- P3 04:55—Stoppage—
- P3 04:40BUFShot on goalJason Pominville6.1% xG
- P3 04:39BUFShot on goalJason Pominville2.8% xG
- P3 03:40BUFBlocked shotRasmus Ristolainen0.9% xG
- P3 03:11OTTFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P3 03:11—Penalty—
- P3 01:49OTTShot on goalMikkel Boedker0.6% xG
- P3 01:40OTTFaceoffColin White
- P3 01:40—Stoppage—
- P3 01:35—Giveaway—
- P3 01:40OTTShot on goalMikkel Boedker0.9% xG
- P3 00:48OTTBlocked shotChris Wideman2.2% xG
- P3 00:42OTTFaceoffChris Tierney
- P3 00:42—Stoppage—
- P3 00:00BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
- P2 19:44—Takeaway—
- P2 19:24OTTBlocked shotThomas Chabot1.5% xG
- P2 19:18OTTFaceoffColin White
- P2 19:18—Stoppage—
- P2 19:18OTTBlocked shotMagnus Paajarvi0.9% xG
- P2 19:01—Giveaway—
- P2 18:31BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
- P2 18:31—Stoppage—
- P2 18:25OTTFaceoffRyan Dzingel
- P2 18:25—Stoppage—
- P2 18:12OTTHitErik Burgdoerfer
- P2 17:13OTTBlocked shotMark Stone1.1% xG
- P2 16:51OTTShot on goalMax McCormick0.5% xG
- P2 16:23BUFShot on goalMarco Scandella1.0% xG
- P2 16:05OTTFaceoffColin White
- P2 16:05—Stoppage—
- P2 15:59OTTFaceoffColin White
- P2 15:59—Stoppage—
- P2 15:57OTTShot on goalChris Wideman0.8% xG
- P2 15:19—Stoppage—
- P2 15:01OTTBlocked shotErik Burgdoerfer0.9% xG
- P2 14:32BUFFaceoffPatrik Berglund
- P2 14:32—Stoppage—
- P2 14:32BUFShot on goalMarco Scandella0.7% xG
- P2 14:32—Stoppage—
- P2 14:26BUFShot on goalKyle Okposo0.7% xG
- P2 14:18BUFShot on goalJason Pominville2.4% xG
- P2 14:07BUFShot on goalJason Pominville2.1% xG
- P2 13:29OTTFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P2 13:29—Stoppage—
- P2 13:28BUFShot on goalJack Eichel1.0% xG
- P2 12:45—Stoppage—
- P2 12:35BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
- P2 12:35—Penalty—
- P2 11:54BUFShot on goalCasey Mittelstadt0.5% xG
- P2 11:26OTTShot on goalMikkel Boedker1.6% xG
- P2 11:07OTTBlocked shotMaxime Lajoie0.6% xG
- P2 10:46OTTMissed shotMikkel Boedker1.5% xG
- P2 10:11OTTShot on goalTom Pyatt0.7% xG
- P2 09:44BUFShot on goalJeff Skinner1.0% xG
- P2 09:04BUFBlocked shotJason Pominville1.7% xG
- P2 08:53OTTFaceoffChris Tierney
- P2 08:53—Stoppage—
- P2 08:53BUFShot on goalZemgus Girgensons0.8% xG
- P2 08:44BUFFaceoffZemgus Girgensons
- P2 08:44—Stoppage—
- P2 08:44OTTShot on goalErik Burgdoerfer0.6% xG
- P2 08:32OTTShot on goalMark Stone1.8% xG
- P2 07:53OTTFaceoffMatt Duchene
- P2 08:00OTTFaceoffMatt Duchene
- P2 08:00—Stoppage—
- P2 07:53—Stoppage—
- P2 07:48OTTFaceoffMatt Duchene
- P2 07:48—Stoppage—
- P2 07:48BUFGoalConor Sheary, Sam Reinhart
- P2 07:45OTTBlocked shotChristian Jaros0.5% xG
- P2 07:13OTTFaceoffColin White
- P2 07:13—Stoppage—
- P2 07:06OTTFaceoffColin White
- P2 07:04BUFMissed shotJack Eichel0.6% xG
- P2 07:06BUFGoalJason Pominville, Jack Eichel, Rasmus Dahlin
- P2 06:54OTTBlocked shotNick Paul1.4% xG
- P2 06:46BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
- P2 06:46—Stoppage—
- P2 06:37BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
- P2 06:37OTTGoalMax McCormick, Mikkel Boedker
- P2 06:23OTTShot on goalColin White0.6% xG
- P2 06:06BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P2 06:05BUFShot on goalRasmus Ristolainen1.4% xG
- P2 05:57BUFShot on goalJohan Larsson0.8% xG
- P2 05:26BUFFaceoffZemgus Girgensons
- P2 05:26—Stoppage—
- P2 05:25OTTShot on goalChris Tierney0.5% xG
- P2 05:19OTTFaceoffChris Tierney
- P2 05:19BUFGoalZemgus Girgensons, Patrik Berglund, Johan Larsson
- P2 05:06BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P2 05:06BUFGoalJeff Skinner, Sam Reinhart, Casey Mittelstadt
- P2 04:28BUFShot on goalEvan Rodrigues0.7% xG
- P2 04:08BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin0.8% xG
- P2 03:55BUFFaceoffEvan Rodrigues
- P2 03:55—Stoppage—
- P2 03:55BUFShot on goalConor Sheary1.2% xG
- P2 03:50BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin0.9% xG
- P2 03:21OTTFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P2 03:21—Penalty—
- P2 03:20BUFShot on goalJeff Skinner5.1% xG
- P2 03:04OTTHitChristian Jaros
- P2 02:54OTTBlocked shotMatt Duchene1.6% xG
- P2 02:40BUFBlocked shotPatrik Berglund1.0% xG
- P2 01:10BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P2 01:10—Stoppage—
- P2 01:01BUFShot on goalEvan Rodrigues2.0% xG
- P2 00:28OTTFaceoffChris Tierney
- P2 00:28—Stoppage—
- P2 00:00BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
- P1 19:30—Takeaway—
- P1 19:00BUFFaceoffEvan Rodrigues
- P1 19:00—Stoppage—
- P1 19:00OTTShot on goalMatt Duchene1.4% xG
- P1 18:41BUFFaceoffPatrik Berglund
- P1 18:41—Stoppage—
- P1 18:40OTTShot on goalThomas Chabot0.8% xG
- P1 18:13BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P1 18:13—Penalty—
- P1 18:04—Giveaway—
- P1 17:49OTTFaceoffMatt Duchene
- P1 17:49—Stoppage—
- P1 17:49OTTShot on goalChris Wideman0.7% xG
- P1 17:41OTTMissed shotMagnus Paajarvi0.8% xG
- P1 17:26BUFFaceoffSam Reinhart
- P1 17:26—Stoppage—
- P1 17:26BUFShot on goalConor Sheary0.6% xG
- P1 17:16—Giveaway—
- P1 16:15BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P1 16:15—Stoppage—
- P1 16:15OTTShot on goalRyan Dzingel1.6% xG
- P1 16:00OTTFaceoffColin White
- P1 16:00—Stoppage—
- P1 15:35OTTFaceoffColin White
- P1 15:35—Stoppage—
- P1 15:33OTTHitChristian Jaros
- P1 15:35BUFShot on goalRasmus Ristolainen0.5% xG
- P1 15:25BUFHitVladimir Sobotka
- P1 15:09OTTFaceoffMatt Duchene
- P1 15:09—Stoppage—
- P1 15:09BUFShot on goalRasmus Dahlin0.6% xG
- P1 14:25BUFFaceoffCasey Mittelstadt
- P1 14:25BUFGoalJason Pominville, Jeff Skinner, Jack Eichel
- P1 14:24BUFShot on goalJeff Skinner6.3% xG
- P1 14:23BUFMissed shotJeff Skinner1.7% xG
- P1 13:31BUFFaceoffJeff Skinner
- P1 13:31—Stoppage—
- P1 13:31BUFBlocked shotPatrik Berglund0.7% xG
- P1 13:04BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P1 13:04—Stoppage—
- P1 11:43OTTShot on goalNick Paul0.7% xG
- P1 11:38—Takeaway—
- P1 10:47BUFMissed shotJake McCabe1.2% xG
- P1 10:39—Giveaway—
- P1 10:15OTTFaceoffMatt Duchene
- P1 10:15—Stoppage—
- P1 09:51OTTFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P1 09:51—Stoppage—
- P1 09:47BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P1 09:47—Stoppage—
- P1 09:45OTTShot on goalThomas Chabot0.4% xG
- P1 09:30BUFHitMarco Scandella
- P1 09:22—Giveaway—
- P1 09:10OTTShot on goalMax McCormick3.8% xG
- P1 09:04OTTFaceoffChris Tierney
- P1 09:04—Stoppage—
- P1 09:04BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P1 08:54—Giveaway—
- P1 08:38BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P1 08:29OTTFaceoffMatt Duchene
- P1 08:29—Stoppage—
- P1 08:02OTTFaceoffChris Tierney
- P1 08:02—Stoppage—
- P1 07:51BUFBlocked shotCasey Nelson0.9% xG
- P1 07:42OTTHitChristian Jaros
- P1 07:37OTTBlocked shotChristian Jaros0.7% xG
- P1 07:04OTTFaceoffChris Tierney
- P1 07:04—Stoppage—
- P1 07:03BUFShot on goalZach Bogosian0.5% xG
- P1 06:54BUFHitVladimir Sobotka
- P1 06:37BUFMissed shotEvan Rodrigues1.8% xG
- P1 06:28BUFFaceoffVladimir Sobotka
- P1 06:28BUFGoalJeff Skinner, Jack Eichel, Jason Pominville
- P1 06:27BUFShot on goalJack Eichel0.9% xG
- P1 06:21BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
- P1 06:21—Stoppage—
- P1 06:21BUFBlocked shotRasmus Ristolainen0.7% xG
- P1 06:05BUFShot on goalConor Sheary0.5% xG
- P1 06:02OTTHitDylan DeMelo
- P1 05:26OTTShot on goalMark Stone1.0% xG
- P1 05:25—Giveaway—
- P1 05:04OTTFaceoffNick Paul
- P1 05:04BUFGoalKyle Okposo, Casey Nelson, Vladimir Sobotka
- P1 04:46BUFShot on goalKyle Okposo2.6% xG
- P1 04:44—Takeaway—
- P1 03:38BUFShot on goalJack Eichel2.0% xG
- P1 03:28BUFHitJake McCabe
- P1 02:18OTTMissed shotColin White1.8% xG
- P1 01:48BUFShot on goalEvan Rodrigues2.2% xG
- P1 01:44—Giveaway—
- P1 01:15OTTBlocked shotChris Wideman1.5% xG
- P1 01:09OTTBlocked shotMatt Duchene1.9% xG
- P1 00:39—Takeaway—
- P1 00:06BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
- P1 00:06—Stoppage—
- P1 00:00BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
OTT vs BUF
Shot tracker
Every attempt with live expected goals
- P1 01:09OTTMatt Duchene1.9%
- P1 01:15OTTChris Wideman1.5%
- P1 01:48BUFEvan Rodrigues2.2%
- P1 02:18OTTColin White1.8%
- P1 03:38BUFJack Eichel2.0%
- P1 04:46BUFKyle Okposo2.6%
- P1 05:04BUFKyle OkposoGOAL
- P1 05:26OTTMark Stone1.0%
- P1 06:05BUFConor Sheary0.5%
- P1 06:21BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.7%
- P1 06:27BUFJack Eichel0.9%
- P1 06:28BUFJeff SkinnerGOAL
- P1 06:37BUFEvan Rodrigues1.8%
- P1 07:03BUFZach Bogosian0.5%
- P1 07:37OTTChristian Jaros0.7%
- P1 07:51BUFCasey Nelson0.9%
- P1 09:10OTTMax McCormick3.8%
- P1 09:45OTTThomas Chabot0.4%
- P1 10:47BUFJake McCabe1.2%
- P1 11:43OTTNick Paul0.7%
- P1 13:31BUFPatrik Berglund0.7%
- P1 14:23BUFJeff Skinner1.7%
- P1 14:24BUFJeff Skinner6.3%
- P1 14:25BUFJason PominvilleGOAL
- P1 15:09BUFRasmus Dahlin0.6%
- P1 15:35BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.5%
- P1 16:15OTTRyan Dzingel1.6%
- P1 17:26BUFConor Sheary0.6%
- P1 17:41OTTMagnus Paajarvi0.8%
- P1 17:49OTTChris Wideman0.7%
- P1 18:40OTTThomas Chabot0.8%
- P1 19:00OTTMatt Duchene1.4%
- P2 01:01BUFEvan Rodrigues2.0%
- P2 02:40BUFPatrik Berglund1.0%
- P2 02:54OTTMatt Duchene1.6%
- P2 03:20BUFJeff Skinner5.1%
- P2 03:50BUFRasmus Dahlin0.9%
- P2 03:55BUFConor Sheary1.2%
- P2 04:08BUFRasmus Dahlin0.8%
- P2 04:28BUFEvan Rodrigues0.7%
- P2 05:06BUFJeff SkinnerGOAL
- P2 05:19BUFZemgus GirgensonsGOAL
- P2 05:25OTTChris Tierney0.5%
- P2 05:57BUFJohan Larsson0.8%
- P2 06:05BUFRasmus Ristolainen1.4%
- P2 06:23OTTColin White0.6%
- P2 06:37OTTMax McCormickGOAL
- P2 06:54OTTNick Paul1.4%
- P2 07:06BUFJason PominvilleGOAL
- P2 07:04BUFJack Eichel0.6%
- P2 07:45OTTChristian Jaros0.5%
- P2 07:48BUFConor ShearyGOAL
- P2 08:32OTTMark Stone1.8%
- P2 08:44OTTErik Burgdoerfer0.6%
- P2 08:53BUFZemgus Girgensons0.8%
- P2 09:04BUFJason Pominville1.7%
- P2 09:44BUFJeff Skinner1.0%
- P2 10:11OTTTom Pyatt0.7%
- P2 10:46OTTMikkel Boedker1.5%
- P2 11:07OTTMaxime Lajoie0.6%
- P2 11:26OTTMikkel Boedker1.6%
- P2 11:54BUFCasey Mittelstadt0.5%
- P2 13:28BUFJack Eichel1.0%
- P2 14:07BUFJason Pominville2.1%
- P2 14:18BUFJason Pominville2.4%
- P2 14:26BUFKyle Okposo0.7%
- P2 14:32BUFMarco Scandella0.7%
- P2 15:01OTTErik Burgdoerfer0.9%
- P2 15:57OTTChris Wideman0.8%
- P2 16:23BUFMarco Scandella1.0%
- P2 16:51OTTMax McCormick0.5%
- P2 17:13OTTMark Stone1.1%
- P2 19:18OTTMagnus Paajarvi0.9%
- P2 19:24OTTThomas Chabot1.5%
- P3 00:48OTTChris Wideman2.2%
- P3 01:40OTTMikkel Boedker0.9%
- P3 01:49OTTMikkel Boedker0.6%
- P3 03:40BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.9%
- P3 04:39BUFJason Pominville2.8%
- P3 04:40BUFJason Pominville6.1%
- P3 05:15BUFCasey Nelson1.0%
- P3 05:41BUFPatrik BerglundGOAL
- P3 06:20OTTMark Stone1.4%
- P3 06:34OTTMaxime Lajoie0.9%
- P3 07:06BUFRasmus Ristolainen1.3%
- P3 08:16OTTCody Ceci0.4%
- P3 08:41BUFPatrik Berglund2.2%
- P3 09:00OTTThomas Chabot0.9%
- P3 09:28BUFZach Bogosian0.5%
- P3 10:35BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.5%
- P3 11:50OTTThomas Chabot0.7%
- P3 12:33BUFJohan Larsson0.8%
- P3 12:58BUFZemgus Girgensons0.6%
- P3 13:13BUFCasey MittelstadtGOAL
- P3 13:35OTTChris Tierney0.8%
- P3 14:14OTTCody CeciGOAL
- P3 14:58OTTChristian Jaros3.4%
- P3 15:37OTTNick Paul2.1%
- P3 18:00OTTChristian Jaros1.8%
- P3 19:04BUFRasmus Ristolainen2.7%
- P3 19:17OTTRyan Dzingel0.9%
- P3 19:24OTTChris Tierney2.5%
- P3 19:33OTTThomas Chabot1.6%