Forensic report
57 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
TBL
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.17
- xG (raw)
- 0.17
- Deserve %
- 42.8%
- Finishing luck
- +1.83
CAR
- Goals
- 6
- xG (flurry)
- 0.22
- xG (raw)
- 0.22
- Deserve %
- 57.2%
- Finishing luck
- +5.78
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | M. St. Louis | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 22:02 | |
| 4 | V. Lecavalier | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 20:14 | |
| 11 | J. Halpern | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 21:33 | |
| 10 | J. Jokinen | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 | |
| 7 | M. Ouellet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:04 | |
| 16 | J. Ward | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 08:48 | |
| 21 | M. Darche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20:29 | |
| 24 | A. Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:44 | |
| 29 | C. MacDonald | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 11:02 | |
| 42 | J. Lessard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 06:47 | |
| 74 | N. Tarnasky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0 | 07:46 |
Defense
Shot map
57 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:55—Penalty—
- P3 18:21CARGoalChad LaRose, Erik Cole
- P3 15:46TBLGoalJeff Halpern, Martin St. Louis, Vincent Lecavalier
- P3 15:36TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P3 15:08—Penalty—
- P3 13:21TBLShot on goalMatt Smaby
- P3 13:18TBLShot on goalNick Tarnasky
- P3 12:43CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P3 11:05TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P3 10:58TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P3 10:55TBLShot on goalJeff Halpern
- P3 08:06TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 07:07TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P3 06:04—Penalty—
- P3 02:47TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 02:09CARGoalTuomo Ruutu, Sergei Samsonov, Dennis Seidenberg
- P3 00:56TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
- P2 19:57—Penalty—
- P2 19:57—Penalty—
- P2 19:34TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P2 17:55—Penalty—
- P2 16:49TBLShot on goalJussi Jokinen
- P2 16:15CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P2 14:37TBLShot on goalBrad Lukowich
- P2 14:21CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 14:00CARShot on goalNiclas Wallin
- P2 12:45CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P2 12:03CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P2 11:58CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P2 10:21CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 10:05CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
- P2 09:04CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P2 08:39—Penalty—
- P2 08:08CARGoalScott Walker, Dennis Seidenberg, Frantisek Kaberle
- P2 06:46—Penalty—
- P2 06:37CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P2 05:51CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
- P2 05:28CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P2 04:31CARGoalChad LaRose, Tuomo Ruutu, Joe Corvo
- P2 03:54TBLShot on goalNick Tarnasky
- P2 01:42—Penalty—
- P2 00:57TBLShot on goalMichel Ouellet
- P1 19:44TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P1 19:27TBLShot on goalMatt Smaby
- P1 18:38CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P1 18:12CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
- P1 18:07CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P1 16:55TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P1 16:33CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P1 16:10CARGoalChad LaRose, Eric Staal, Trevor Letowski
- P1 16:08CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P1 12:52CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P1 10:34CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P1 10:14—Penalty—
- P1 10:02CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P1 08:24TBLGoalMartin St. Louis, Jussi Jokinen, Vincent Lecavalier
- P1 07:55—Penalty—
- P1 07:50CARShot on goalRyan Bayda
- P1 07:17TBLShot on goalJeff Halpern
- P1 05:56CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P1 05:32CARShot on goalFrantisek Kaberle
- P1 04:46CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P1 03:51—Penalty—
- P1 03:25TBLShot on goalMichel Ouellet
- P1 00:59TBLShot on goalMichel Ouellet
- P1 00:47TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
- P1 00:39CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P1 00:32CARGoalEric Staal, Erik Cole, Bret Hedican
- P1 00:10TBLShot on goalJussi Jokinen
TBL vs CAR · 69 events