Forensic report
63 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
TBL
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.26
- xG (raw)
- 0.26
- Deserve %
- 58.3%
- Finishing luck
- +1.74
FLA
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.19
- xG (raw)
- 0.19
- Deserve %
- 41.7%
- Finishing luck
- +3.81
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | M. Darche | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:07 | |
| 42 | J. Lessard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11:06 | |
| 24 | A. Karlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:03 | |
| 4 | V. Lecavalier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 24:19 | |
| 7 | M. Ouellet | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 14:49 | |
| 10 | J. Jokinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 21:43 | |
| 16 | J. Ward | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 08:35 | |
| 26 | M. St. Louis | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 25:06 | |
| 29 | C. MacDonald | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:18 | |
| 61 | K. Stewart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:46 | |
| 74 | N. Tarnasky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14:34 |
Defense
Shot map
63 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:20—Penalty—
- P3 18:49TBLGoalMathieu Darche, Filip Kuba, Andreas Karlsson
- P3 18:47TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
- P3 18:47TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P3 17:43FLAGoalNathan Horton, Jay Bouwmeester, Jassen Cullimore
- P3 16:59FLAShot on goalBryan Allen
- P3 16:55FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
- P3 16:53FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
- P3 16:17FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P3 16:16FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P3 14:40FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
- P3 14:00FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
- P3 13:42TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P3 13:36TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P3 11:07TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P3 10:53TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 10:10FLAGoalOlli Jokinen, Brett McLean, Magnus Johansson
- P3 09:37—Penalty—
- P3 09:24TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 07:22TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
- P3 06:46TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P3 05:49FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P3 05:34TBLShot on goalMichel Ouellet
- P3 05:21TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
- P3 04:41FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
- P3 04:34TBLShot on goalMike Lundin
- P3 04:28TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 01:55—Penalty—
- P3 01:52TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
- P3 01:21TBLShot on goalMichel Ouellet
- P3 01:05FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P3 00:26TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P2 17:49FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P2 16:17TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 16:00TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P2 15:28TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 15:14—Penalty—
- P2 15:02FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
- P2 14:20TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 13:33—Penalty—
- P2 13:33TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
- P2 13:10FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
- P2 12:30TBLShot on goalAlexandre Picard
- P2 12:08—Penalty—
- P2 11:55TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 11:52TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P2 11:39—Penalty—
- P2 11:39TBLShot on goalAndreas Karlsson
- P2 09:51—Penalty—
- P2 09:51TBLShot on goalNick Tarnasky
- P2 08:33FLAShot on goalCory Murphy
- P2 07:28FLAGoalNathan Horton, David Booth, Stephen Weiss
- P2 07:04TBLShot on goalAlexandre Picard
- P2 06:59TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P2 06:57TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P2 06:50TBLShot on goalAlexandre Picard
- P2 06:13TBLGoalJunior Lessard, Mathieu Darche, Filip Kuba
- P2 05:39TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P2 03:23TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
- P2 01:14—Penalty—
- P1 15:14FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
- P1 15:06FLAShot on goalCory Murphy
- P1 14:49TBLShot on goalJason Ward
- P1 13:00FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
- P1 12:18TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P1 09:51FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
- P1 06:51FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
- P1 04:49FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P1 03:31FLAGoalJay Bouwmeester
- P1 02:58FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
- P1 02:25—Penalty—
- P1 00:56TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
- P1 00:22FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
TBL vs FLA · 73 events