Forensic report
44 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
TBL
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.13
- xG (raw)
- 0.13
- Deserve %
- 46.5%
- Finishing luck
- +1.87
PIT
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.16
- xG (raw)
- 0.16
- Deserve %
- 53.5%
- Finishing luck
- +3.84
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | J. Jokinen | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 22:42 | |
| 4 | V. Lecavalier | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 25:54 | |
| 26 | M. St. Louis | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 25:23 | |
| 7 | M. Ouellet | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 16:13 | |
| 11 | J. Halpern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:13 | |
| 21 | M. Darche | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 | |
| 24 | A. Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16:52 | |
| 29 | C. MacDonald | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 19:07 | |
| 42 | J. Lessard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:09 | |
| 61 | K. Stewart | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 02:10 | |
| 74 | N. Tarnasky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13:57 |
Defense
Shot map
44 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:23TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
- P3 19:19TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P3 19:07TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P3 19:04TBLShot on goalShane O'Brien
- P3 16:19PITShot on goalPascal Dupuis
- P3 13:19—Penalty—
- P3 13:18PITShot on goalMax Talbot
- P3 13:03TBLShot on goalNick Tarnasky
- P3 12:20PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
- P3 12:05PITShot on goalRyan Malone
- P3 11:22PITShot on goalMarian Hossa
- P3 09:17PITShot on goalSergei Gonchar
- P3 07:40PITShot on goalMax Talbot
- P3 05:41—Penalty—
- P3 05:07PITShot on goalJordan Staal
- P3 03:56TBLShot on goalMichel Ouellet
- P3 03:38PITShot on goalJordan Staal
- P3 01:51TBLGoalFilip Kuba, Martin St. Louis, Jussi Jokinen
- P3 01:13—Penalty—
- P3 00:51PITGoalPetr Sykora, Evgeni Malkin, Ryan Malone
- P3 00:35PITGoalJordan Staal, Pascal Dupuis
- P2 18:34PITShot on goalPascal Dupuis
- P2 15:00PITShot on goalJordan Staal
- P2 12:43TBLShot on goalJussi Jokinen
- P2 11:03TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P2 10:28TBLShot on goalNick Tarnasky
- P2 10:05PITGoalEvgeni Malkin, Ryan Whitney
- P2 08:24TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
- P2 07:52PITShot on goalJarkko Ruutu
- P2 04:18TBLGoalVincent Lecavalier, Jussi Jokinen, Filip Kuba
- P2 04:14TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P2 03:51—Penalty—
- P2 00:49—Penalty—
- P1 19:57PITShot on goalMarian Hossa
- P1 19:30PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
- P1 17:15PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
- P1 15:35TBLShot on goalShane O'Brien
- P1 15:29TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P1 14:20—Penalty—
- P1 14:20PITGoalJarkko Ruutu, Brooks Orpik, Max Talbot
- P1 14:19PITShot on goalBrooks Orpik
- P1 12:19TBLShot on goalAlexandre Picard
- P1 12:08TBLShot on goalAndreas Karlsson
- P1 10:51TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
- P1 10:40—Penalty—
- P1 10:39TBLShot on goalMichel Ouellet
- P1 10:13TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P1 08:45PITShot on goalBrooks Orpik
- P1 04:15PITShot on goalJeff Taffe
- P1 02:24PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
- P1 00:11TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
TBL vs PIT · 51 events