Forensic report
51 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
TBL
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.16
- xG (raw)
- 0.16
- Deserve %
- 51.8%
- Finishing luck
- +1.84
OTT
- Goals
- 0
- xG (flurry)
- 0.15
- xG (raw)
- 0.15
- Deserve %
- 48.2%
- Finishing luck
- -0.15
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | V. Lecavalier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:43 | |
| 26 | M. St. Louis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25:39 | |
| 19 | B. Richards | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:40 | |
| 20 | V. Prospal | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20:25 | |
| 16 | J. Ward | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18:22 | |
| 17 | J. Hlavac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:35 | |
| 21 | M. Darche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10:06 | |
| 29 | C. MacDonald | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 05:39 | |
| 36 | A. Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 08:42 | |
| 46 | K. Wanvig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 04:56 | |
| 74 | N. Tarnasky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 04:39 | |
| 77 | C. Gratton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | D. Janik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | |
| 37 | B. Lukowich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:44 | |
| 39 | M. Lundin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:02 | |
| 54 | P. Ranger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 25:29 | |
| 55 | S. O'Brien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:34 | |
| 71 | F. Kuba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:13 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Ramo | NaN% | — | |||
| J. Holmqvist | 25 | 0 | 100.0% | 59:54 | W |
Shot map
51 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:48TBLGoalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 19:04OTTShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P3 18:00OTTShot on goalAndrej Meszaros
- P3 17:32TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
- P3 15:14OTTShot on goalAndrej Meszaros
- P3 13:27TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P3 10:16OTTShot on goalJason Spezza
- P3 09:52TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
- P3 09:01—Penalty—
- P3 08:14TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P3 07:37OTTShot on goalShean Donovan
- P3 07:31OTTShot on goalShean Donovan
- P3 07:04TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
- P3 04:35—Penalty—
- P3 04:22TBLShot on goalNick Tarnasky
- P3 04:08TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
- P3 03:07TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 19:35TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
- P2 18:12TBLShot on goalJan Hlavac
- P2 18:05OTTShot on goalAntoine Vermette
- P2 17:18OTTShot on goalAnton Volchenkov
- P2 16:17OTTShot on goalShean Donovan
- P2 15:27TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P2 13:30OTTShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P2 13:17—Penalty—
- P2 13:17OTTShot on goalWade Redden
- P2 13:00TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
- P2 12:25TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
- P2 12:17TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
- P2 10:01OTTShot on goalChris Kelly
- P2 06:09OTTShot on goalMike Fisher
- P2 05:37OTTShot on goalChris Kelly
- P2 02:52OTTShot on goalAntoine Vermette
- P2 02:31TBLShot on goalJan Hlavac
- P2 02:19OTTShot on goalChristoph Schubert
- P2 02:12OTTShot on goalChris Phillips
- P2 01:41TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 00:56—Penalty—
- P2 00:45TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P2 00:09OTTShot on goalMike Fisher
- P1 18:49OTTShot on goalAndrej Meszaros
- P1 18:43OTTShot on goalChris Kelly
- P1 17:22TBLGoalMartin St. Louis, Brad Richards, Vinny Prospal
- P1 17:21TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
- P1 16:43—Penalty—
- P1 12:41TBLShot on goalAndre Roy
- P1 11:45OTTShot on goalAndrej Meszaros
- P1 10:12TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P1 08:10OTTShot on goalAndrej Meszaros
- P1 07:52OTTShot on goalChristoph Schubert
- P1 06:19—Penalty—
- P1 06:01TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
- P1 05:29TBLShot on goalBrad Lukowich
- P1 04:01TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
- P1 03:26OTTShot on goalAntoine Vermette
- P1 01:27TBLShot on goalVinny Prospal
- P1 00:32OTTShot on goalPatrick Eaves
TBL vs OTT · 57 events