ForensicHockey

Forensic report

55 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: FLA

TBL

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.17
xG (raw)
0.17
Deserve %
44.2%
Finishing luck
+4.83

FLA

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.21
xG (raw)
0.21
Deserve %
55.8%
Finishing luck
+2.79

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
19B. Richards20200220:31
74N. Tarnasky20222010:13
26M. St. Louis022-10122:03
29C. MacDonald02220012:44
17J. Hlavac10111014:35
16J. Ward01110016:22
20V. Prospal011-20120:36
21M. Darche01122011:08
77C. Gratton01111012:06
4V. Lecavalier000-10221:36
36A. Roy000-12010:46
46K. Wanvig000-11010:38

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
55S. O'Brien01120121:28
3D. Janik00000309:38
37B. Lukowich00011219:55
39M. Lundin00020109:48
54P. Ranger000-11225:51
71F. Kuba000-21128:02

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
K. RamoNaN%
J. Holmqvist30390.0%60:00W

Shot map

55 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:44TBLGoalBrad Richards, Martin St. Louis
  • P3 19:33FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P3 19:04FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P3 18:31FLAGoalBrett McLean, Magnus Johansson, Jay Bouwmeester
  • P3 17:50FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P3 17:30FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P3 16:55TBLShot on goalChris Gratton
  • P3 15:52FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P3 14:59FLAGoalDavid Booth, Jassen Cullimore, Stephen Weiss
  • P3 14:34FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P3 13:46TBLShot on goalChris Gratton
  • P3 11:16FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
  • P3 10:09FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P3 09:15TBLGoalBrad Richards, Vinny Prospal, Martin St. Louis
  • P3 07:59Penalty
  • P3 07:52TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
  • P3 07:43TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
  • P3 06:38FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
  • P3 05:02FLAShot on goalBryan Allen
  • P3 04:03TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P3 02:33TBLShot on goalJason Ward
  • P3 01:07FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
  • P2 19:07Penalty
  • P2 19:01FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P2 18:53TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P2 18:02TBLShot on goalNick Tarnasky
  • P2 16:10TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P2 10:19TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P2 10:16TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P2 09:28FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P2 04:49TBLShot on goalKyle Wanvig
  • P2 04:13FLAShot on goalMagnus Johansson
  • P2 03:59FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P2 03:06TBLGoalNick Tarnasky, Shane O'Brien, Craig MacDonald
  • P2 02:00TBLGoalJan Hlavac, Jason Ward, Chris Gratton
  • P1 19:59TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
  • P1 19:52Penalty
  • P1 18:35TBLShot on goalKyle Wanvig
  • P1 17:33TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
  • P1 16:42FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P1 16:32FLAShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P1 15:28FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
  • P1 15:27FLAShot on goalMagnus Johansson
  • P1 14:47Penalty
  • P1 14:22TBLShot on goalBrad Lukowich
  • P1 13:23TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
  • P1 12:53FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
  • P1 11:23FLAShot on goalBryan Allen
  • P1 11:07FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
  • P1 11:05FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P1 11:00FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
  • P1 10:39TBLGoalNick Tarnasky, Craig MacDonald, Mathieu Darche
  • P1 08:12FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P1 05:12TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P1 04:25FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
  • P1 04:16TBLShot on goalBrad Richards
  • P1 03:20FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P1 01:36TBLShot on goalKyle Wanvig
  • P1 00:38FLAGoalOlli Jokinen, Bryan Allen

TBL vs FLA · 59 events