ForensicHockey

Forensic report

58 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: FLA

PHI

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.13
xG (raw)
0.13
Deserve %
35.0%
Finishing luck
+0.87

FLA

Goals
0
xG (flurry)
0.24
xG (raw)
0.24
Deserve %
65.0%
Finishing luck
-0.24

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
14S. Ruzicka01111012:20
24S. Kapanen01101014:07
11R. Potulny00000006:01
15J. Lupul00001022:28
17J. Carter00001117:04
18M. Richards00012124:25
19S. Hartnell00001016:52
20R. Umberger00011116:08
22M. Knuble00000219:13
32R. Cote00002004:42
48D. Brière00000019:05
53D. Tolpeko00000006:07

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
2D. Hatcher10110026:14
5B. Coburn00012123:59
8R. Fitzpatrick00000005:08
26J. Vandermeer00000223:16
28L. Kukkonen00001410:32
44K. Timonen00001124:38

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
A. Niittymaki380100.0%59:55W
M. BironNaN%

Shot map

58 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:51FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P3 19:47Penalty
  • P3 19:47FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P3 19:28FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P3 18:27Penalty
  • P3 18:27Penalty
  • P3 17:33FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
  • P3 17:10PHIShot on goalMike Knuble
  • P3 16:54PHIShot on goalMike Knuble
  • P3 16:49PHIShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P3 16:14FLAShot on goalJozef Stumpel
  • P3 13:33PHIShot on goalDerian Hatcher
  • P3 13:09FLAShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P3 12:30FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
  • P3 09:14PHIGoalDerian Hatcher, Stefan Ruzicka, Sami Kapanen
  • P3 08:47FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P3 07:58PHIShot on goalJim Vandermeer
  • P3 07:18PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P3 06:25Penalty
  • P3 06:22FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
  • P3 05:07PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P3 04:38FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P3 02:51FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P3 01:34FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P3 01:09PHIShot on goalMike Knuble
  • P2 19:31Penalty
  • P2 17:45PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P2 16:37PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P2 16:19Penalty
  • P2 15:56FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P2 15:35FLAShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P2 15:23FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
  • P2 15:10PHIShot on goalDaniel Brière
  • P2 14:29FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P2 14:21FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
  • P2 13:41PHIShot on goalRyan Potulny
  • P2 11:04FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P2 10:36PHIShot on goalMike Richards
  • P2 08:13PHIShot on goalRory Fitzpatrick
  • P2 07:53FLAShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P2 06:49FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
  • P2 05:16FLAShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P2 04:47FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
  • P2 03:59Penalty
  • P2 03:54FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
  • P2 03:41PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P2 01:48FLAShot on goalJozef Stumpel
  • P2 00:47PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P2 00:16Penalty
  • P1 18:52FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
  • P1 18:19FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
  • P1 17:08FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
  • P1 16:21Penalty
  • P1 16:14FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
  • P1 13:46FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
  • P1 13:02FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P1 11:42PHIShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P1 11:23PHIShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P1 11:13FLAShot on goalMartin Lojek
  • P1 08:33Penalty
  • P1 07:52FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
  • P1 06:57FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
  • P1 04:26FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P1 04:17FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P1 03:07FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P1 02:17FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
  • P1 02:06FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
  • P1 01:42PHIShot on goalBraydon Coburn

PHI vs FLA · 68 events