ForensicHockey

ANA defeated SJS 6–1. The result was somewhat flattering — SJS generated more expected goals (+0.1 xG) despite the loss.

Forensic report

81 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: SJS

SJS

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.60
xG (raw)
0.60
Deserve %
52.6%
Finishing luck
+0.40

ANA

Goals
6
xG (flurry)
0.54
xG (raw)
0.54
Deserve %
47.4%
Finishing luck
+5.46

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
73T. Toffoli011-10012:11
2W. Smith00001016:58
10T. Dellandrea000-14012:07
21A. Wennberg000-10015:40
23B. Goodrow00001010:17
44K. Sherwood000-112018:39
51C. Graf000-13019:29
63Z. Ostapchuk000-12008:21
71M. Celebrini00000222:14
72W. Eklund00002016:23
77M. Misa000-10012:44
84P. Regenda000-24011:32

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
85S. Mukhamadullin10111220:32
4N. Leddy000-30017:51
5V. Desharnais00001120:42
6S. Dickinson000-41115:11
9D. Orlov00010122:24
38M. Ferraro000-11223:33

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
Y. Askarov30680.0%60:00L
A. Nedeljkovic00NaN%00:00

Shot map

81 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:45Giveaway
  • P3 19:11SJSFaceoffZack Ostapchuk
  • P3 19:11Stoppage
  • P3 18:58SJSHitZack Ostapchuk
  • P3 18:50ANAFaceoffRyan Poehling
  • P3 18:50Stoppage
  • P3 18:48ANAShot on goalMason McTavish
  • P3 18:38ANAMissed shotJohn Carlson
  • P3 18:34SJSHitKiefer Sherwood
  • P3 18:30ANABlocked shotFrank Vatrano
  • P3 18:18ANAShot on goalMason McTavish
  • P3 17:57SJSHitPavol Regenda
  • P3 17:32SJSFaceoffTy Dellandrea
  • P3 17:32ANAGoalFrank Vatrano, Mason McTavish
  • P3 17:22ANAMissed shotRyan Poehling
  • P3 16:54Giveaway
  • P3 15:44ANAShot on goalJacob Trouba
  • P3 15:26ANAMissed shotChris Kreider
  • P3 14:59SJSFaceoffAlexander Wennberg
  • P3 14:59Penalty
  • P3 14:59Penalty
  • P3 14:59Stoppage
  • P3 14:54ANAMissed shotTroy Terry
  • P3 14:06ANAMissed shotLeo Carlsson
  • P3 14:03ANAFaceoffMikael Granlund
  • P3 14:03ANAGoalJohn Carlson, Troy Terry, Mikael Granlund
  • P3 13:48ANAFaceoffMikael Granlund
  • P3 13:48Penalty
  • P3 13:44delayed penalty
  • P3 13:42ANAFaceoffLeo Carlsson
  • P3 13:42Penalty
  • P3 13:36Takeaway
  • P3 13:32SJSFaceoffAlexander Wennberg
  • P3 13:32Stoppage
  • P3 13:22SJSBlocked shotDmitry Orlov
  • P3 13:21SJSBlocked shotAlexander Wennberg
  • P3 13:00SJSHitKiefer Sherwood
  • P3 12:40ANAFaceoffRyan Poehling
  • P3 12:40SJSGoalShakir Mukhamadullin, Tyler Toffoli
  • P3 12:30ANAMissed shotTroy Terry
  • P3 12:21ANAFaceoffLeo Carlsson
  • P3 12:21Stoppage
  • P3 12:14Giveaway
  • P3 11:57Giveaway
  • P3 11:43SJSShot on goalAlexander Wennberg
  • P3 11:41SJSShot on goalSam Dickinson
  • P3 11:29SJSMissed shotSam Dickinson
  • P3 11:27SJSBlocked shotKiefer Sherwood
  • P3 11:26SJSShot on goalAlexander Wennberg
  • P3 11:24SJSBlocked shotMacklin Celebrini
  • P3 10:34SJSHitKiefer Sherwood
  • P3 10:31ANAFaceoffTim Washe
  • P3 10:31ANAGoalJohn Carlson, Troy Terry, Beckett Sennecke
  • P3 10:13Takeaway
  • P3 10:02ANAShot on goalTroy Terry
  • P3 09:40SJSFaceoffTy Dellandrea
  • P3 09:40Penalty
  • P3 09:38delayed penalty
  • P3 09:04SJSHitTy Dellandrea
  • P3 08:54SJSHitKiefer Sherwood
  • P3 08:23SJSShot on goalKiefer Sherwood
  • P3 08:01SJSFaceoffMichael Misa
  • P3 08:01Stoppage
  • P3 07:51SJSHitSam Dickinson
  • P3 07:14SJSFaceoffAlexander Wennberg
  • P3 07:14Stoppage
  • P3 07:12ANAShot on goalChris Kreider
  • P3 07:03SJSShot on goalBarclay Goodrow
  • P3 07:02SJSShot on goalDmitry Orlov
  • P3 06:43ANAMissed shotLeo Carlsson
  • P3 06:38SJSFaceoffZack Ostapchuk
  • P3 06:38Stoppage
  • P3 06:35ANAShot on goalTroy Terry
  • P3 05:49ANAShot on goalRyan Poehling
  • P3 05:41Giveaway
  • P3 05:38SJSFaceoffMacklin Celebrini
  • P3 05:38Stoppage
  • P3 05:38Stoppage
  • P3 05:32SJSBlocked shotDmitry Orlov
  • P3 05:30SJSBlocked shotWill Smith
  • P3 05:23SJSHitVincent Desharnais
  • P3 05:16SJSShot on goalDmitry Orlov
  • P3 05:04Giveaway
  • P3 04:25Giveaway
  • P3 03:10ANAFaceoffRyan Poehling
  • P3 03:10Stoppage
  • P3 03:07SJSBlocked shotVincent Desharnais
  • P3 02:57SJSMissed shotPavol Regenda
  • P3 02:55SJSBlocked shotDmitry Orlov
  • P3 02:32SJSHitPavol Regenda
  • P3 02:26Giveaway
  • P3 02:21SJSMissed shotZack Ostapchuk
  • P3 02:03SJSShot on goalShakir Mukhamadullin
  • P3 02:02ANAFaceoffMason McTavish
  • P3 02:02Stoppage
  • P3 01:44SJSShot on goalTyler Toffoli
  • P3 01:28SJSHitWilliam Eklund
  • P3 01:23Giveaway
  • P3 01:16SJSHitWilliam Eklund
  • P3 01:11SJSBlocked shotSam Dickinson
  • P3 00:48ANAHitAlex Killorn
  • P3 00:05ANAShot on goalTroy Terry
  • P3 00:00SJSFaceoffMacklin Celebrini
  • P2 19:02ANABlocked shotAlex Killorn
  • P2 19:01ANAShot on goalTroy Terry
  • P2 18:27SJSShot on goalWilliam Eklund
  • P2 18:16SJSShot on goalVincent Desharnais
  • P2 17:56SJSShot on goalDmitry Orlov
  • P2 17:46SJSMissed shotWill Smith
  • P2 17:37SJSBlocked shotMacklin Celebrini
  • P2 17:14SJSBlocked shotNick Leddy
  • P2 16:43Takeaway
  • P2 16:28ANAHitLeo Carlsson
  • P2 16:16ANABlocked shotTroy Terry
  • P2 16:07SJSMissed shotVincent Desharnais
  • P2 16:04SJSBlocked shotVincent Desharnais
  • P2 15:30Giveaway
  • P2 14:52ANAShot on goalBeckett Sennecke
  • P2 14:42SJSMissed shotWilliam Eklund
  • P2 14:16ANAShot on goalLeo Carlsson

SJS vs ANA · 291 events