ForensicHockey

STL edged MTL 4–3. The result was somewhat flattering — MTL generated more expected goals (+0.4 xG) despite the loss.

Forensic report

73 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: MTL

STL

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.45
xG (raw)
0.45
Deserve %
34.5%
Finishing luck
+3.55

MTL

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.86
xG (raw)
0.87
Deserve %
65.5%
Finishing luck
+2.14

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
10B. Schenn21315014:54
81D. Holloway12313319:16
89P. Buchnevich10101020:32
18R. Thomas01100019:43
71M. Joseph01124313:58
22P. Suter00003015:21
39M. Luff000-11208:33
54D. Dvorsky00000012:12
63J. Neighbours00004016:37
65A. Kaskimaki000-10008:56
70O. Sundqvist000-22112:59
77N. Bjugstad00004113:26

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
17C. Fowler011-10119:37
55C. Parayko01103323:00
72J. Faulk01110120:11
6P. Broberg00000123:45
23L. Mailloux00002215:35
75T. Tucker00002115:29

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
J. Hofer00NaN%00:00
J. Binnington26388.5%60:00W

Shot map

73 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:59MTLShot on goalCole Caufield
  • P3 19:55MTLShot on goalNoah Dobson
  • P3 19:30STLFaceoffRobert Thomas
  • P3 19:30Stoppage
  • P3 19:30Stoppage
  • P3 19:29MTLShot on goalCole Caufield
  • P3 19:13MTLMissed shotNoah Dobson
  • P3 19:04STLHitColton Parayko
  • P3 19:00MTLBlocked shotIvan Demidov
  • P3 18:11MTLFaceoffNick Suzuki
  • P3 18:11Stoppage
  • P3 18:02MTLHitAlexandre Texier
  • P3 17:55MTLFaceoffOliver Kapanen
  • P3 17:55Stoppage
  • P3 17:43MTLFaceoffOliver Kapanen
  • P3 17:43Stoppage
  • P3 17:23STLBlocked shotJustin Faulk
  • P3 17:03STLMissed shotPius Suter
  • P3 16:15MTLFaceoffNick Suzuki
  • P3 16:15MTLGoalNoah Dobson, Mike Matheson, Ivan Demidov
  • P3 16:10MTLFaceoffNick Suzuki
  • P3 16:10Stoppage
  • P3 16:03MTLMissed shotNoah Dobson
  • P3 16:02STLHitJake Neighbours
  • P3 15:58MTLBlocked shotOliver Kapanen
  • P3 15:33MTLShot on goalLane Hutson
  • P3 15:27MTLFaceoffOliver Kapanen
  • P3 15:27Stoppage
  • P3 14:47STLFaceoffPius Suter
  • P3 14:47Stoppage
  • P3 14:18STLBlocked shotPhilip Broberg
  • P3 14:18Giveaway
  • P3 14:02MTLShot on goalNick Suzuki
  • P3 13:50Giveaway
  • P3 13:41STLFaceoffBrayden Schenn
  • P3 13:41Penalty
  • P3 13:41Penalty
  • P3 13:41Stoppage
  • P3 13:38MTLShot on goalArber Xhekaj
  • P3 13:37MTLBlocked shotArber Xhekaj
  • P3 12:59STLShot on goalColton Parayko
  • P3 12:48MTLBlocked shotLane Hutson
  • P3 12:35STLHitDylan Holloway
  • P3 11:49MTLMissed shotCole Caufield
  • P3 11:22STLHitJake Neighbours
  • P3 11:15STLMissed shotRobert Thomas
  • P3 10:54MTLMissed shotBrendan Gallagher
  • P3 10:49Takeaway
  • P3 10:24MTLFaceoffJake Evans
  • P3 10:24STLGoalBrayden Schenn, Dylan Holloway, Mathieu Joseph
  • P3 10:16Takeaway
  • P3 08:48MTLShot on goalAlexandre Carrier
  • P3 08:19STLFaceoffPius Suter
  • P3 08:19Stoppage
  • P3 08:11STLBlocked shotJustin Faulk
  • P3 08:07STLFaceoffDylan Holloway
  • P3 08:07Stoppage
  • P3 08:05STLShot on goalDylan Holloway
  • P3 07:47Giveaway
  • P3 07:32Giveaway
  • P3 07:16STLFaceoffRobert Thomas
  • P3 07:16Stoppage
  • P3 07:08STLShot on goalLogan Mailloux
  • P3 07:04STLMissed shotDylan Holloway
  • P3 06:49STLHitBrayden Schenn
  • P3 06:01MTLHitJoe Veleno
  • P3 05:54STLHitMathieu Joseph
  • P3 05:49MTLFaceoffZachary Bolduc
  • P3 05:49Stoppage
  • P3 05:38STLShot on goalTyler Tucker
  • P3 05:36STLFaceoffDalibor Dvorsky
  • P3 05:36Stoppage
  • P3 04:59STLHitColton Parayko
  • P3 04:53STLHitDylan Holloway
  • P3 04:33MTLFaceoffNick Suzuki
  • P3 04:33Stoppage
  • P3 04:25STLFaceoffBrayden Schenn
  • P3 04:25Stoppage
  • P3 03:55MTLBlocked shotJayden Struble
  • P3 03:38STLHitOskar Sundqvist
  • P3 03:35STLHitTyler Tucker
  • P3 03:08STLHitNick Bjugstad
  • P3 02:53STLShot on goalMathieu Joseph
  • P3 02:30STLShot on goalJake Neighbours
  • P3 01:58Giveaway
  • P3 01:47STLFaceoffRobert Thomas
  • P3 01:47Stoppage
  • P3 01:45MTLMissed shotNick Suzuki
  • P3 01:42Giveaway
  • P3 01:28STLShot on goalBrayden Schenn
  • P3 01:13STLMissed shotPius Suter
  • P3 00:43STLBlocked shotPavel Buchnevich
  • P3 00:34STLMissed shotOskar Sundqvist
  • P3 00:00STLFaceoffRobert Thomas
  • P2 19:48STLBlocked shotJake Neighbours
  • P2 19:47STLShot on goalDylan Holloway
  • P2 19:41STLMissed shotBrayden Schenn
  • P2 19:22STLFaceoffBrayden Schenn
  • P2 19:22Penalty
  • P2 19:20delayed penalty
  • P2 18:38MTLHitMike Matheson
  • P2 18:32STLMissed shotPhilip Broberg
  • P2 18:08STLShot on goalColton Parayko
  • P2 17:50Giveaway
  • P2 17:05Giveaway
  • P2 16:52STLHitDylan Holloway
  • P2 16:40MTLBlocked shotAlexandre Texier
  • P2 16:39MTLBlocked shotAlexandre Carrier
  • P2 16:03MTLBlocked shotLane Hutson
  • P2 15:47MTLFaceoffOliver Kapanen
  • P2 15:47Stoppage
  • P2 15:31STLFaceoffBrayden Schenn
  • P2 15:31Stoppage
  • P2 15:26STLHitNick Bjugstad
  • P2 14:56STLFaceoffNick Bjugstad
  • P2 14:56Stoppage
  • P2 14:55MTLBlocked shotJuraj Slafkovský
  • P2 14:32Giveaway
  • P2 14:26MTLFaceoffNick Suzuki
  • P2 14:26Stoppage

STL vs MTL · 284 events