ForensicHockey

BOS defeated STL 5–2. The result was somewhat flattering — STL generated more expected goals (+0.3 xG) despite the loss.

Forensic report

86 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: STL

STL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.81
xG (raw)
0.81
Deserve %
61.4%
Finishing luck
+1.19

BOS

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.51
xG (raw)
0.51
Deserve %
38.6%
Finishing luck
+4.49

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
22P. Suter10111015:19
89P. Buchnevich10101014:28
25J. Kyrou01110115:46
81D. Holloway01103016:21
10B. Schenn00004017:59
18R. Thomas000-10014:28
54D. Dvorsky00005016:34
63J. Neighbours000-15014:55
65A. Kaskimaki000-10115:17
70O. Sundqvist000-21112:01
71M. Joseph000-12013:21
77N. Bjugstad000-24012:53

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
55C. Parayko011-10019:33
6P. Broberg000-20121:13
17C. Fowler00000019:35
23L. Mailloux000-11018:19
72J. Faulk00002319:51
75T. Tucker00002019:53

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
J. Hofer00NaN%00:00
J. Binnington27581.5%60:00L

Shot map

86 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:55STLMissed shotJordan Kyrou
  • P3 18:39Giveaway
  • P3 18:23Takeaway
  • P3 18:16BOSFaceoffMark Kastelic
  • P3 18:16Penalty
  • P3 18:10delayed penalty
  • P3 18:04BOSHitMorgan Geekie
  • P3 17:01STLMissed shotJordan Kyrou
  • P3 17:00STLFaceoffPius Suter
  • P3 17:00Stoppage
  • P3 16:58STLMissed shotDylan Holloway
  • P3 16:18Giveaway
  • P3 16:14BOSHitFraser Minten
  • P3 16:11STLHitDalibor Dvorsky
  • P3 15:49STLFaceoffDalibor Dvorsky
  • P3 15:49Stoppage
  • P3 15:49Stoppage
  • P3 15:47STLShot on goalJustin Faulk
  • P3 14:49Giveaway
  • P3 14:34STLHitPius Suter
  • P3 14:34Giveaway
  • P3 14:30Takeaway
  • P3 14:23BOSHitAlex Steeves
  • P3 13:49BOSHitAndrew Peeke
  • P3 13:02BOSHitFraser Minten
  • P3 12:54STLBlocked shotLogan Mailloux
  • P3 12:09Giveaway
  • P3 11:52BOSBlocked shotMichael Eyssimont
  • P3 10:47BOSShot on goalMorgan Geekie
  • P3 10:30STLFaceoffPius Suter
  • P3 10:30Stoppage
  • P3 10:24BOSFaceoffElias Lindholm
  • P3 10:24Penalty
  • P3 10:24Stoppage
  • P3 10:22STLShot on goalPhilip Broberg
  • P3 10:18STLShot on goalPhilip Broberg
  • P3 10:07STLFaceoffDalibor Dvorsky
  • P3 10:07Stoppage
  • P3 10:07Stoppage
  • P3 10:04STLShot on goalLogan Mailloux
  • P3 09:51STLFaceoffDalibor Dvorsky
  • P3 09:51Stoppage
  • P3 09:50BOSMissed shotElias Lindholm
  • P3 09:32STLFaceoffRobert Thomas
  • P3 09:32Stoppage
  • P3 09:17Giveaway
  • P3 09:07BOSFaceoffElias Lindholm
  • P3 09:07STLGoalPius Suter, Dylan Holloway, Jordan Kyrou
  • P3 09:03STLShot on goalDylan Holloway
  • P3 09:02STLBlocked shotJordan Kyrou
  • P3 08:58Giveaway
  • P3 08:56Giveaway
  • P3 07:53BOSBlocked shotTanner Jeannot
  • P3 07:41STLShot on goalTyler Tucker
  • P3 07:37BOSHitTanner Jeannot
  • P3 07:28BOSMissed shotTanner Jeannot
  • P3 06:59STLHitBrayden Schenn
  • P3 06:55Giveaway
  • P3 06:28BOSFaceoffPavel Zacha
  • P3 06:28Stoppage
  • P3 06:28Stoppage
  • P3 06:26STLMissed shotPavel Buchnevich
  • P3 06:00Giveaway
  • P3 05:31Giveaway
  • P3 05:26Giveaway
  • P3 05:21BOSFaceoffSean Kuraly
  • P3 05:21Stoppage
  • P3 05:20STLMissed shotMathieu Joseph
  • P3 05:10BOSShot on goalMichael Eyssimont
  • P3 04:59STLMissed shotTyler Tucker
  • P3 04:58BOSFaceoffSean Kuraly
  • P3 04:58Stoppage
  • P3 04:56STLShot on goalJake Neighbours
  • P3 04:44Giveaway
  • P3 04:24BOSFaceoffFraser Minten
  • P3 04:24Stoppage
  • P3 04:17BOSFaceoffFraser Minten
  • P3 04:17Stoppage
  • P3 04:16STLShot on goalAleksanteri Kaskimaki
  • P3 04:11BOSFaceoffFraser Minten
  • P3 04:11Stoppage
  • P3 04:09STLShot on goalPavel Buchnevich
  • P3 03:41STLBlocked shotPhilip Broberg
  • P3 03:40STLFaceoffDalibor Dvorsky
  • P3 03:40Stoppage
  • P3 03:30BOSFaceoffPavel Zacha
  • P3 03:30Stoppage
  • P3 03:28STLShot on goalJustin Faulk
  • P3 03:16Giveaway
  • P3 03:02BOSBlocked shotJonathan Aspirot
  • P3 02:59BOSFaceoffElias Lindholm
  • P3 02:59Stoppage
  • P3 02:58BOSShot on goalMichael Eyssimont
  • P3 02:12STLShot on goalNick Bjugstad
  • P3 01:56STLHitLogan Mailloux
  • P3 01:38BOSFaceoffFraser Minten
  • P3 01:38Stoppage
  • P3 01:28STLShot on goalPhilip Broberg
  • P3 01:21STLFaceoffOskar Sundqvist
  • P3 01:21Stoppage
  • P3 01:20BOSShot on goalViktor Arvidsson
  • P3 01:18BOSShot on goalHampus Lindholm
  • P3 01:09BOSMissed shotPavel Zacha
  • P3 00:48Giveaway
  • P3 00:24STLShot on goalColton Parayko
  • P3 00:21STLMissed shotDylan Holloway
  • P3 00:09STLHitDylan Holloway
  • P3 00:00BOSFaceoffElias Lindholm
  • P2 19:59STLFaceoffDalibor Dvorsky
  • P2 19:59BOSGoalPavel Zacha, Elias Lindholm, Morgan Geekie
  • P2 19:57BOSShot on goalCasey Mittelstadt
  • P2 19:45BOSFaceoffElias Lindholm
  • P2 19:45Penalty
  • P2 19:42STLFaceoffRobert Thomas
  • P2 19:42Stoppage
  • P2 19:40STLShot on goalLogan Mailloux
  • P2 19:33Giveaway
  • P2 18:50Giveaway
  • P2 17:50BOSShot on goalMorgan Geekie
  • P2 17:10Giveaway

STL vs BOS · 328 events