ForensicHockey

OTT edged VGK 4–3 in the shootout. The result was somewhat flattering — VGK generated more expected goals (+0.2 xG) despite the loss.

Forensic report

88 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: VGK

OTT

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.55
xG (raw)
0.55
Deserve %
41.6%
Finishing luck
+3.45

VGK

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.77
xG (raw)
0.77
Deserve %
58.4%
Finishing luck
+2.23

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
18T. Stützle02212023:31
28C. Giroux02201021:50
12S. Pinto101-19122:01
19D. Batherson10111220:01
20F. Zetterlund00001213:14
21N. Cousins00004010:02
22M. Amadio000-12018:42
24D. Cozens000-11017:40
42H. Hodgson00002008:38
57D. Perron00010011:52
83S. Halliday00002006:59
89L. Eller00000014:19

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
85J. Sanderson12310128:01
2A. Zub00000122:10
3N. Jensen000-10014:08
10J. Spence00010119:12
33N. Matinpalo00001115:11
43T. Kleven000-10122:13

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
L. Meriläinen00NaN%00:00
L. Ullmark35391.4%64:48W

Shot map

88 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P5 00:00shootout complete
  • P5 00:00VGKShot on goalMitch Marner
  • P5 00:00OTTGoalShane Pinto
  • P5 00:00Stoppage
  • P5 00:00VGKShot on goalJack Eichel
  • P5 00:00OTTMissed shotTim Stützle
  • P5 00:00VGKMissed shotPavel Dorofeyev
  • P5 00:00OTTShot on goalDrake Batherson
  • P4 04:25VGKShot on goalShea Theodore
  • P4 04:05OTTShot on goalClaude Giroux
  • P4 03:44OTTFaceoffClaude Giroux
  • P4 03:44Stoppage
  • P4 03:29VGKMissed shotIvan Barbashev
  • P4 03:08VGKShot on goalNoah Hanifin
  • P4 02:41OTTMissed shotDrake Batherson
  • P4 00:47OTTMissed shotDrake Batherson
  • P4 00:00OTTFaceoffClaude Giroux
  • P3 19:59OTTShot on goalTyler Kleven
  • P3 19:55OTTBlocked shotNikolas Matinpalo
  • P3 19:19OTTFaceoffClaude Giroux
  • P3 19:19Stoppage
  • P3 19:10OTTFaceoffClaude Giroux
  • P3 19:10Stoppage
  • P3 19:08VGKMissed shotShea Theodore
  • P3 19:02VGKBlocked shotBrayden McNabb
  • P3 18:49OTTHitFabian Zetterlund
  • P3 18:41VGKMissed shotBrayden McNabb
  • P3 17:46VGKBlocked shotColton Sissons
  • P3 17:44VGKMissed shotColton Sissons
  • P3 17:29VGKShot on goalReilly Smith
  • P3 16:28VGKFaceoffJack Eichel
  • P3 16:28Stoppage
  • P3 16:25VGKShot on goalJack Eichel
  • P3 16:18OTTShot on goalShane Pinto
  • P3 15:13VGKHitZach Whitecloud
  • P3 15:02VGKShot on goalBrett Howden
  • P3 14:52Takeaway
  • P3 14:43OTTFaceoffClaude Giroux
  • P3 14:43Stoppage
  • P3 14:41VGKShot on goalIvan Barbashev
  • P3 13:58OTTBlocked shotDylan Cozens
  • P3 13:38OTTFaceoffLars Eller
  • P3 13:38Stoppage
  • P3 13:36VGKShot on goalKeegan Kolesar
  • P3 13:18OTTFaceoffTim Stützle
  • P3 13:18Stoppage
  • P3 13:15VGKBlocked shotBrayden McNabb
  • P3 13:03VGKBlocked shotMitch Marner
  • P3 12:35OTTMissed shotArtem Zub
  • P3 12:27OTTShot on goalJake Sanderson
  • P3 12:14VGKHitIvan Barbashev
  • P3 12:10OTTFaceoffLars Eller
  • P3 12:10Stoppage
  • P3 12:09VGKShot on goalMitch Marner
  • P3 11:36OTTMissed shotNikolas Matinpalo
  • P3 11:26OTTHitNick Cousins
  • P3 10:21VGKHitIvan Barbashev
  • P3 10:19OTTHitMichael Amadio
  • P3 10:00VGKHitBrayden McNabb
  • P3 09:56OTTFaceoffLars Eller
  • P3 09:56Stoppage
  • P3 09:54VGKShot on goalKaedan Korczak
  • P3 09:50VGKBlocked shotKaedan Korczak
  • P3 09:32OTTFaceoffTim Stützle
  • P3 09:32Stoppage
  • P3 09:29OTTHitTim Stützle
  • P3 09:22Giveaway
  • P3 09:09OTTShot on goalTyler Kleven
  • P3 09:06OTTMissed shotShane Pinto
  • P3 08:47VGKShot on goalMitch Marner
  • P3 08:30VGKFaceoffBrett Howden
  • P3 08:30Stoppage
  • P3 07:51OTTHitShane Pinto
  • P3 07:43VGKFaceoffTomas Hertl
  • P3 07:43Stoppage
  • P3 07:41VGKMissed shotKeegan Kolesar
  • P3 07:27Giveaway
  • P3 07:07Giveaway
  • P3 06:40VGKFaceoffBrett Howden
  • P3 06:40VGKGoalMark Stone
  • P3 06:37VGKBlocked shotTomas Hertl
  • P3 05:58VGKMissed shotTomas Hertl
  • P3 05:12OTTFaceoffClaude Giroux
  • P3 05:12Penalty
  • P3 04:37OTTBlocked shotTyler Kleven
  • P3 04:28OTTMissed shotMichael Amadio
  • P3 04:23VGKFaceoffJack Eichel
  • P3 04:23Stoppage
  • P3 04:13VGKFaceoffJack Eichel
  • P3 04:13Stoppage
  • P3 04:01Giveaway
  • P3 03:55OTTHitShane Pinto
  • P3 03:45OTTFaceoffLars Eller
  • P3 03:45Stoppage
  • P3 03:43VGKShot on goalShea Theodore
  • P3 03:30Giveaway
  • P3 03:23Takeaway
  • P3 02:17VGKHitTomas Hertl
  • P3 02:11VGKMissed shotTomas Hertl
  • P3 02:06VGKShot on goalPavel Dorofeyev
  • P3 01:29Giveaway
  • P3 01:13VGKMissed shotIvan Barbashev
  • P3 01:10VGKBlocked shotZach Whitecloud
  • P3 01:06OTTFaceoffClaude Giroux
  • P3 01:06Stoppage
  • P3 00:32VGKHitBrett Howden
  • P3 00:10Giveaway
  • P3 00:00VGKFaceoffBrett Howden
  • P2 19:40VGKHitMitch Marner
  • P2 19:09Giveaway
  • P2 17:26VGKFaceoffColton Sissons
  • P2 17:26Penalty
  • P2 17:21OTTMissed shotDrake Batherson
  • P2 17:05delayed penalty
  • P2 16:51VGKFaceoffBrett Howden
  • P2 16:51Stoppage
  • P2 16:49OTTShot on goalStephen Halliday
  • P2 16:41VGKMissed shotKeegan Kolesar
  • P2 16:36OTTHitNick Cousins
  • P2 16:31VGKHitKaedan Korczak

OTT vs VGK · 338 events