Deserve to win
51–49%
If both goalies were league average
TOR
5–3
SOG 29–27
xG 0.85 – 0.82
FLA
Snapshot at 7:47:15 AM
Static box score →Live insights
Momentum, expected goals, finishing luck, and scoring chances — recalculated on every sync
Game xG
0.85–0.82
Δ +0.02
Finishing vs xG
TOR +4.2
Outscoring shot quality
TOR
Shot threat
Mitch Marner
7 attempts · 0.16 xG
TOR
Scoring chances
0–0
Attempts ≥8% xG · HDC 0–0
Last goal
J. Holl
P3 19:39 · 5–3
TOR
Top game score
Z. Hyman · 1.80
1G 1A undefined SOG · TOI 23:15
TOR
Win probability
TOR 100%
P1 · P2 · P3
P1P2P3
TORFLA
Shot zone
Live attempt map with expected goals
TOR 0.85 xGFLA 0.82 xG
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Highlights
Goals and big plays with NHL video
GOAL · J. Holl
P3 19:39 · TOR · 5–3 · wrist
GOAL · W. Nylander
P3 09:00 · TOR · 4–3 · wrist
GOAL · A. Matthews
P1 18:58 · TOR · 3–3 · slap
GOAL · K. Kapanen
P1 17:43 · TOR · 2–3 · snap
GOAL · N. Acciari
P1 12:36 · FLA · 1–3 · wrist
GOAL · M. Hoffman
P1 07:25 · FLA · 1–2 · wrist
GOAL · Z. Hyman
P1 03:32 · TOR · 1–1 · backhand
GOAL · M. Pysyk
P1 02:23 · FLA · 0–1 · slap
Play-by-play
Live feed · new plays animate in
- P3 19:59FLAShot on goalAleksi Saarela0.6% xG
- P3 19:51—Giveaway—
- P3 19:39TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P3 19:39TORGoalJustin Holl, John Tavares
- P3 19:36FLAShot on goalMike Hoffman1.5% xG
- P3 19:30FLAShot on goalMike Hoffman1.4% xG
- P3 19:19—Giveaway—
- P3 19:16FLAShot on goalMike Hoffman0.9% xG
- P3 19:11FLAMissed shotMike Hoffman1.3% xG
- P3 19:03FLAMissed shotJonathan Huberdeau5.8% xG
- P3 18:43FLAShot on goalKeith Yandle0.6% xG
- P3 18:38FLAShot on goalAleksander Barkov0.8% xG
- P3 18:23TORBlocked shotTravis Dermott0.9% xG
- P3 18:08FLAFaceoffAleksander Barkov
- P3 18:08—Stoppage—
- P3 18:07FLAShot on goalBrett Connolly1.1% xG
- P3 18:07FLABlocked shotAleksi Saarela1.1% xG
- P3 17:16FLABlocked shotAleksander Barkov1.7% xG
- P3 16:39FLABlocked shotMacKenzie Weegar1.2% xG
- P3 16:29—Takeaway—
- P3 16:06FLAHitRiley Stillman
- P3 15:36—Giveaway—
- P3 15:09TORBlocked shotAuston Matthews1.3% xG
- P3 14:51TORShot on goalAuston Matthews1.3% xG
- P3 14:26FLAHitEvgenii Dadonov
- P3 14:24TORMissed shotKasperi Kapanen1.3% xG
- P3 14:23—Giveaway—
- P3 13:19FLAShot on goalMike Hoffman0.7% xG
- P3 13:00TORFaceoffJason Spezza
- P3 13:00—Stoppage—
- P3 13:00FLABlocked shotErik Haula4.8% xG
- P3 12:57FLABlocked shotRiley Stillman5.1% xG
- P3 12:56FLABlocked shotErik Haula1.0% xG
- P3 12:09TORMissed shotAuston Matthews0.6% xG
- P3 12:01—Giveaway—
- P3 11:28TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P3 11:28—Stoppage—
- P3 11:22FLAFaceoffAleksander Barkov
- P3 11:22—Stoppage—
- P3 10:37—Giveaway—
- P3 09:30TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P3 09:30—Stoppage—
- P3 09:30TORShot on goalKasperi Kapanen1.3% xG
- P3 09:21FLAShot on goalEvgenii Dadonov1.7% xG
- P3 09:00FLAFaceoffAleksander Barkov
- P3 09:00TORGoalWilliam Nylander, Kyle Clifford, Martin Marincin
- P3 08:58TORBlocked shotMartin Marincin1.8% xG
- P3 08:46TORShot on goalMartin Marincin0.5% xG
- P3 08:31TORMissed shotAuston Matthews1.6% xG
- P3 07:50TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P3 07:50—Stoppage—
- P3 07:49TORShot on goalKyle Clifford0.7% xG
- P3 07:41—Giveaway—
- P3 06:30FLAMissed shotColton Sceviour0.4% xG
- P3 06:09FLAShot on goalNoel Acciari2.4% xG
- P3 06:05—Takeaway—
- P3 05:57TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P3 05:57—Stoppage—
- P3 05:48—Takeaway—
- P3 05:39—Giveaway—
- P3 05:39—Takeaway—
- P3 05:26TORBlocked shotJason Spezza1.2% xG
- P3 05:09—Giveaway—
- P3 05:04—Giveaway—
- P3 04:56TORFaceoffJason Spezza
- P3 04:56—Stoppage—
- P3 04:55FLAShot on goalBrett Connolly1.8% xG
- P3 04:54FLAMissed shotLucas Wallmark0.9% xG
- P3 04:51TORHitMartin Marincin
- P3 04:08TORMissed shotAlexander Kerfoot2.1% xG
- P3 03:54FLAFaceoffErik Haula
- P3 03:54—Stoppage—
- P3 03:35FLABlocked shotJonathan Huberdeau1.4% xG
- P3 03:27FLAFaceoffAleksander Barkov
- P3 03:27—Stoppage—
- P3 03:16FLAShot on goalNoel Acciari0.9% xG
- P3 03:02FLAMissed shotAnton Stralman0.4% xG
- P3 02:56TORHitMartin Marincin
- P3 02:51—Giveaway—
- P3 02:27—Giveaway—
- P3 02:19TORBlocked shotPierre Engvall1.0% xG
- P3 01:42FLAShot on goalMike Hoffman1.0% xG
- P3 01:35TORBlocked shotJustin Holl0.6% xG
- P3 01:10FLAFaceoffErik Haula
- P3 01:10—Stoppage—
- P3 01:10FLAShot on goalEvgenii Dadonov4.0% xG
- P3 00:58FLAMissed shotMacKenzie Weegar0.5% xG
- P3 00:00TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P2 19:35TORShot on goalJohn Tavares0.9% xG
- P2 19:29FLAHitColton Sceviour
- P2 19:12TORHitAuston Matthews
- P2 19:07TORBlocked shotAuston Matthews1.2% xG
- P2 18:48TORShot on goalWilliam Nylander0.6% xG
- P2 17:50TORMissed shotPierre Engvall0.7% xG
- P2 17:43—Takeaway—
- P2 17:03TORFaceoffPierre Engvall
- P2 17:03—Stoppage—
- P2 17:00TORShot on goalMitch Marner6.2% xG
- P2 16:59TORShot on goalMitch Marner1.7% xG
- P2 16:24FLAFaceoffAleksander Barkov
- P2 16:24—Stoppage—
- P2 16:24—Penalty—
- P2 16:22—delayed penalty—
- P2 16:16FLAFaceoffErik Haula
- P2 16:16—Stoppage—
- P2 16:15TORShot on goalJohn Tavares1.0% xG
- P2 16:06—Takeaway—
- P2 15:24TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P2 15:24—Stoppage—
- P2 15:19TORShot on goalZach Hyman2.4% xG
- P2 15:15TORShot on goalKyle Clifford0.8% xG
- P2 15:06TORBlocked shotTravis Dermott1.3% xG
- P2 14:38FLAShot on goalMike Matheson0.6% xG
- P2 13:47TORHitJustin Holl
- P2 13:37TORShot on goalKasperi Kapanen2.8% xG
- P2 13:15TORHitAlexander Kerfoot
- P2 12:47FLAHitFrank Vatrano
- P2 11:54TORHitKyle Clifford
- P2 11:49FLAHitAnton Stralman
- P2 10:07—Takeaway—
- P2 09:50FLAHitLucas Wallmark
- P2 09:38—Giveaway—
- P2 09:22FLAFaceoffLucas Wallmark
- P2 09:22—Stoppage—
- P2 09:19TORBlocked shotTyson Barrie1.4% xG
- P2 09:10TORBlocked shotTyson Barrie1.5% xG
- P2 08:50FLAFaceoffErik Haula
- P2 08:50—Stoppage—
- P2 08:36TORShot on goalAuston Matthews1.7% xG
- P2 08:31—Takeaway—
- P2 08:16TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P2 08:16—Stoppage—
- P2 08:09FLABlocked shotRiley Stillman1.0% xG
- P2 07:49FLAShot on goalNoel Acciari0.8% xG
- P2 06:33TORMissed shotJohn Tavares2.5% xG
- P2 06:32—Giveaway—
- P2 06:27TORShot on goalTyson Barrie0.6% xG
- P2 05:47TORShot on goalZach Hyman4.2% xG
- P2 05:46TORShot on goalMitch Marner4.1% xG
- P2 05:44TORShot on goalMitch Marner1.1% xG
- P2 05:38—Giveaway—
- P2 04:40—Giveaway—
- P2 04:26FLAFaceoffLucas Wallmark
- P2 04:26—Stoppage—
- P2 03:53—Giveaway—
- P2 03:50—Giveaway—
- P2 03:29TORMissed shotAlexander Kerfoot1.1% xG
- P2 03:24TORFaceoffJohn Tavares
- P2 03:24—Stoppage—
- P2 03:23TORShot on goalAuston Matthews1.0% xG
- P2 02:50TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P2 02:50—Stoppage—
- P2 02:50FLAHitNoel Acciari
- P2 02:42TORFaceoffZach Hyman
- P2 02:42—Stoppage—
- P2 02:40TORMissed shotJason Spezza0.9% xG
- P2 02:07FLAHitJonathan Huberdeau
- P2 01:57—Giveaway—
- P2 01:43TORHitMartin Marincin
- P2 01:41FLABlocked shotAleksander Barkov1.2% xG
- P2 01:30FLAShot on goalAaron Ekblad0.6% xG
- P2 01:17—Giveaway—
- P2 00:33FLABlocked shotNoel Acciari1.1% xG
- P2 00:26FLABlocked shotNoel Acciari1.2% xG
- P2 00:21FLABlocked shotAnton Stralman1.2% xG
- P2 00:14FLAShot on goalNoel Acciari0.9% xG
- P2 00:00FLAFaceoffNoel Acciari
- P1 20:00—Penalty—
- P1 20:00—Penalty—
- P1 19:57TORHitJohn Tavares
- P1 19:54TORHitKasperi Kapanen
- P1 19:41FLAHitLucas Wallmark
- P1 18:58FLAFaceoffNoel Acciari
- P1 18:58TORGoalAuston Matthews, Zach Hyman, Mitch Marner
- P1 18:56TORHitAuston Matthews
- P1 18:55FLAMissed shotFrank Vatrano1.3% xG
- P1 18:41FLAShot on goalFrank Vatrano0.7% xG
- P1 18:24—Giveaway—
- P1 18:12FLABlocked shotMike Matheson1.3% xG
- P1 18:00TORHitTravis Dermott
- P1 17:47FLAFaceoffAleksander Barkov
- P1 17:47—Stoppage—
- P1 17:43FLAFaceoffAleksander Barkov
- P1 17:43TORGoalKasperi Kapanen, Jason Spezza, Alexander Kerfoot
- P1 17:01FLAFaceoffLucas Wallmark
- P1 17:01—Stoppage—
- P1 17:00FLAShot on goalErik Haula5.4% xG
- P1 16:59FLAMissed shotColton Sceviour1.5% xG
- P1 16:52—Takeaway—
- P1 16:46TORBlocked shotJohn Tavares1.4% xG
- P1 16:41TORShot on goalMitch Marner0.5% xG
- P1 16:31FLAHitRiley Stillman
- P1 16:31TORShot on goalWilliam Nylander1.5% xG
- P1 16:31TORShot on goalAuston Matthews1.5% xG
- P1 15:56—Takeaway—
- P1 15:42TORFaceoffJohn Tavares
- P1 15:42—Penalty—
- P1 15:39—delayed penalty—
- P1 15:25FLAShot on goalAleksi Saarela0.5% xG
- P1 15:19FLAHitBrett Connolly
- P1 15:11FLAFaceoffLucas Wallmark
- P1 15:11—Stoppage—
- P1 15:05—Giveaway—
- P1 13:47FLAMissed shotMark Pysyk3.4% xG
- P1 13:11FLAMissed shotMacKenzie Weegar0.4% xG
- P1 13:06FLAFaceoffErik Haula
- P1 13:06—Stoppage—
- P1 13:03FLAHitEvgenii Dadonov
- P1 13:02FLAMissed shotMike Matheson0.5% xG
- P1 12:54FLAFaceoffAleksander Barkov
- P1 12:54—Stoppage—
- P1 12:36TORFaceoffFrederik Gauthier
- P1 12:36FLAGoalNoel Acciari, Keith Yandle
- P1 12:30—Giveaway—
- P1 11:44—Giveaway—
- P1 11:31—Giveaway—
- P1 11:06TORMissed shotPierre Engvall2.9% xG
- P1 10:51FLAHitErik Haula
- P1 10:28FLAShot on goalAaron Ekblad1.6% xG
- P1 10:27TORBlocked shotMitch Marner0.9% xG
- P1 10:21—Takeaway—
- P1 10:18—Takeaway—
- P1 10:03FLAHitAaron Ekblad
- P1 09:50TORMissed shotAuston Matthews1.2% xG
- P1 08:07TORHitTravis Dermott
- P1 08:01FLAHitRiley Stillman
- P1 07:45—Giveaway—
- P1 07:42FLAHitErik Haula
- P1 07:38TORHitJustin Holl
- P1 07:25TORFaceoffJohn Tavares
- P1 07:25FLAGoalMike Hoffman, Frank Vatrano, Erik Haula
- P1 07:23FLAShot on goalFrank Vatrano0.8% xG
- P1 06:54FLABlocked shotNoel Acciari1.3% xG
- P1 06:44—Giveaway—
- P1 06:37FLABlocked shotNoel Acciari2.8% xG
- P1 06:13—Giveaway—
- P1 06:10—Giveaway—
- P1 06:02TORFaceoffAuston Matthews
- P1 06:02—Stoppage—
- P1 06:02TORBlocked shotMitch Marner1.8% xG
- P1 05:55FLAShot on goalJonathan Huberdeau0.8% xG
- P1 05:41—Giveaway—
- P1 05:24TORHitFrederik Gauthier
- P1 05:03FLABlocked shotBrett Connolly1.5% xG
- P1 04:32—Giveaway—
- P1 04:28—Takeaway—
- P1 04:19FLAFaceoffNoel Acciari
- P1 04:19—Stoppage—
- P1 04:12FLAFaceoffNoel Acciari
- P1 04:12—Stoppage—
- P1 03:48TORHitAlexander Kerfoot
- P1 03:32FLAFaceoffErik Haula
- P1 03:32TORGoalZach Hyman, Auston Matthews, Justin Holl
- P1 03:29TORShot on goalAuston Matthews1.3% xG
- P1 02:56TORHitKyle Clifford
- P1 02:51TORMissed shotMartin Marincin0.5% xG
- P1 02:23TORFaceoffFrederik Gauthier
- P1 02:23FLAGoalMark Pysyk, Aaron Ekblad, Keith Yandle
- P1 02:14—Takeaway—
- P1 02:14TORShot on goalRasmus Sandin0.7% xG
- P1 02:07FLAHitLucas Wallmark
- P1 02:05TORShot on goalTyson Barrie0.6% xG
- P1 01:46—Giveaway—
- P1 01:23TORMissed shotMartin Marincin0.7% xG
- P1 01:22—Giveaway—
- P1 00:31FLAHitMacKenzie Weegar
- P1 00:25FLAHitJonathan Huberdeau
- P1 00:00FLAFaceoffAleksander Barkov
TOR vs FLA
Shot tracker
Every attempt with live expected goals
- P1 01:23TORMartin Marincin0.7%
- P1 02:05TORTyson Barrie0.6%
- P1 02:14TORRasmus Sandin0.7%
- P1 02:23FLAMark PysykGOAL
- P1 02:51TORMartin Marincin0.5%
- P1 03:29TORAuston Matthews1.3%
- P1 03:32TORZach HymanGOAL
- P1 05:03FLABrett Connolly1.5%
- P1 05:55FLAJonathan Huberdeau0.8%
- P1 06:02TORMitch Marner1.8%
- P1 06:37FLANoel Acciari2.8%
- P1 06:54FLANoel Acciari1.3%
- P1 07:23FLAFrank Vatrano0.8%
- P1 07:25FLAMike HoffmanGOAL
- P1 09:50TORAuston Matthews1.2%
- P1 10:27TORMitch Marner0.9%
- P1 10:28FLAAaron Ekblad1.6%
- P1 11:06TORPierre Engvall2.9%
- P1 12:36FLANoel AcciariGOAL
- P1 13:02FLAMike Matheson0.5%
- P1 13:11FLAMacKenzie Weegar0.4%
- P1 13:47FLAMark Pysyk3.4%
- P1 15:25FLAAleksi Saarela0.5%
- P1 16:31TORAuston Matthews1.5%
- P1 16:31TORWilliam Nylander1.5%
- P1 16:41TORMitch Marner0.5%
- P1 16:46TORJohn Tavares1.4%
- P1 16:59FLAColton Sceviour1.5%
- P1 17:00FLAErik Haula5.4%
- P1 17:43TORKasperi KapanenGOAL
- P1 18:12FLAMike Matheson1.3%
- P1 18:41FLAFrank Vatrano0.7%
- P1 18:55FLAFrank Vatrano1.3%
- P1 18:58TORAuston MatthewsGOAL
- P2 00:14FLANoel Acciari0.9%
- P2 00:21FLAAnton Stralman1.2%
- P2 00:26FLANoel Acciari1.2%
- P2 00:33FLANoel Acciari1.1%
- P2 01:30FLAAaron Ekblad0.6%
- P2 01:41FLAAleksander Barkov1.2%
- P2 02:40TORJason Spezza0.9%
- P2 03:23TORAuston Matthews1.0%
- P2 03:29TORAlexander Kerfoot1.1%
- P2 05:44TORMitch Marner1.1%
- P2 05:46TORMitch Marner4.1%
- P2 05:47TORZach Hyman4.2%
- P2 06:27TORTyson Barrie0.6%
- P2 06:33TORJohn Tavares2.5%
- P2 07:49FLANoel Acciari0.8%
- P2 08:09FLARiley Stillman1.0%
- P2 08:36TORAuston Matthews1.7%
- P2 09:10TORTyson Barrie1.5%
- P2 09:19TORTyson Barrie1.4%
- P2 13:37TORKasperi Kapanen2.8%
- P2 14:38FLAMike Matheson0.6%
- P2 15:06TORTravis Dermott1.3%
- P2 15:15TORKyle Clifford0.8%
- P2 15:19TORZach Hyman2.4%
- P2 16:15TORJohn Tavares1.0%
- P2 16:59TORMitch Marner1.7%
- P2 17:00TORMitch Marner6.2%
- P2 17:50TORPierre Engvall0.7%
- P2 18:48TORWilliam Nylander0.6%
- P2 19:07TORAuston Matthews1.2%
- P2 19:35TORJohn Tavares0.9%
- P3 00:58FLAMacKenzie Weegar0.5%
- P3 01:10FLAEvgenii Dadonov4.0%
- P3 01:35TORJustin Holl0.6%
- P3 01:42FLAMike Hoffman1.0%
- P3 02:19TORPierre Engvall1.0%
- P3 03:02FLAAnton Stralman0.4%
- P3 03:16FLANoel Acciari0.9%
- P3 03:35FLAJonathan Huberdeau1.4%
- P3 04:08TORAlexander Kerfoot2.1%
- P3 04:54FLALucas Wallmark0.9%
- P3 04:55FLABrett Connolly1.8%
- P3 05:26TORJason Spezza1.2%
- P3 06:09FLANoel Acciari2.4%
- P3 06:30FLAColton Sceviour0.4%
- P3 07:49TORKyle Clifford0.7%
- P3 08:31TORAuston Matthews1.6%
- P3 08:46TORMartin Marincin0.5%
- P3 08:58TORMartin Marincin1.8%
- P3 09:00TORWilliam NylanderGOAL
- P3 09:21FLAEvgenii Dadonov1.7%
- P3 09:30TORKasperi Kapanen1.3%
- P3 12:09TORAuston Matthews0.6%
- P3 12:56FLAErik Haula1.0%
- P3 12:57FLARiley Stillman5.1%
- P3 13:00FLAErik Haula4.8%
- P3 13:19FLAMike Hoffman0.7%
- P3 14:24TORKasperi Kapanen1.3%
- P3 14:51TORAuston Matthews1.3%
- P3 15:09TORAuston Matthews1.3%
- P3 16:39FLAMacKenzie Weegar1.2%
- P3 17:16FLAAleksander Barkov1.7%
- P3 18:07FLAAleksi Saarela1.1%
- P3 18:07FLABrett Connolly1.8%
- P3 18:23TORTravis Dermott0.9%
- P3 18:38FLAAleksander Barkov0.8%
- P3 18:43FLAKeith Yandle0.6%
- P3 19:03FLAJonathan Huberdeau5.8%
- P3 19:11FLAMike Hoffman1.3%
- P3 19:16FLAMike Hoffman0.9%
- P3 19:30FLAMike Hoffman1.4%
- P3 19:36FLAMike Hoffman1.5%
- P3 19:39TORJustin HollGOAL
- P3 19:59FLAAleksi Saarela0.6%