Deserve to win
58–42%
If both goalies were league average
BUF
3–2
SOG 25–27
xG 0.84 – 0.60
CAR
Snapshot at 6:26:46 AM
Static box score →Live insights
Momentum, expected goals, finishing luck, and scoring chances — recalculated on every sync
Game xG
0.84–0.60
Δ +0.24 BUF
BUF
Finishing vs xG
BUF +2.2
Outscoring shot quality
BUF
Shot threat
Evander Kane
9 attempts · 0.16 xG
BUF
Scoring chances
0–0
Attempts ≥8% xG · HDC 0–0
Last goal
J. Larsson
P3 17:11 · 3–2
BUF
Top game score
J. Larsson · 1.05
1G 0A undefined SOG · TOI 13:57
BUF
Win probability
BUF 100%
P1 · P2 · P3
P1P2P3
BUFCAR
Shot zone
Live attempt map with expected goals
BUF 0.84 xGCAR 0.60 xG
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Highlights
Goals and big plays with NHL video
GOAL · J. Larsson
P3 17:11 · BUF · 3–2 · snap
GOAL · E. Kane
P3 16:11 · BUF · 2–2 · snap
GOAL · J. Nordstrom
P3 13:40 · CAR · 1–2 · snap
GOAL · C. Terry
P2 12:10 · CAR · 1–1 · snap
GOAL · C. Colaiacovo
P1 12:22 · BUF · 1–0 · slap
Play-by-play
Live feed · new plays animate in
- P3 19:55CARMissed shotJaccob Slavin0.6% xG
- P3 19:40CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P3 19:40—Stoppage—
- P3 19:39BUFMissed shotJack Eichel0.4% xG
- P3 18:36CARBlocked shotNoah Hanifin1.5% xG
- P3 18:08CARHitElias Lindholm
- P3 17:47CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P3 17:47—Stoppage—
- P3 17:46CARShot on goalChris Terry0.9% xG
- P3 17:11BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P3 17:11BUFGoalJohan Larsson, Brian Gionta
- P3 17:08—Takeaway—
- P3 16:54CARHitVictor Rask
- P3 16:39—Takeaway—
- P3 16:11BUFFaceoffJack Eichel
- P3 16:11BUFGoalEvander Kane, Ryan O'Reilly, Sam Reinhart
- P3 15:31BUFHitJake McCabe
- P3 15:03BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P3 12:31—Giveaway—
- P3 15:03—Stoppage—
- P3 15:02BUFShot on goalRyan O'Reilly2.0% xG
- P3 14:12BUFHitNicolas Deslauriers
- P3 14:06CARShot on goalChris Terry2.0% xG
- P3 14:00CARFaceoffDerek Ryan
- P3 14:00—Stoppage—
- P3 13:40BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P3 13:28BUFBlocked shotRasmus Ristolainen2.9% xG
- P3 13:40CARGoalJoakim Nordstrom, Jordan Staal
- P3 13:30BUFMissed shotRyan O'Reilly1.4% xG
- P3 13:24BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P3 13:24—Stoppage—
- P3 13:23BUFBlocked shotZach Bogosian0.9% xG
- P3 12:54CARBlocked shotNathan Gerbe0.7% xG
- P3 12:12BUFHitRasmus Ristolainen
- P3 11:57BUFMissed shotRasmus Ristolainen0.6% xG
- P3 11:41BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P3 11:39BUFShot on goalRasmus Ristolainen0.6% xG
- P3 11:41—Stoppage—
- P3 11:12—Takeaway—
- P3 10:50BUFMissed shotBrian Gionta4.8% xG
- P3 09:52BUFShot on goalSam Reinhart6.3% xG
- P3 09:36BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P3 09:36—Penalty—
- P3 09:36—Penalty—
- P3 09:27BUFHitRasmus Ristolainen
- P3 09:24—Takeaway—
- P3 08:49BUFMissed shotRyan O'Reilly0.9% xG
- P3 08:43—Takeaway—
- P3 08:41BUFBlocked shotEvander Kane0.9% xG
- P3 08:34BUFShot on goalNicolas Deslauriers1.3% xG
- P3 08:27CARHitNoah Hanifin
- P3 08:17—Takeaway—
- P3 07:55BUFBlocked shotJack Eichel1.4% xG
- P3 07:20BUFBlocked shotJohan Larsson1.0% xG
- P3 06:58CARFaceoffVictor Rask
- P3 06:58—Stoppage—
- P3 06:57CARShot on goalMichal Jordan0.5% xG
- P3 06:33CARFaceoffRiley Nash
- P3 06:33—Stoppage—
- P3 06:09BUFHitZach Bogosian
- P3 06:02CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P3 06:02—Stoppage—
- P3 05:55BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P3 05:43CARMissed shotRiley Nash0.8% xG
- P3 05:52CARHitRon Hainsey
- P3 05:20CARShot on goalJaccob Slavin0.5% xG
- P3 05:14BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P3 05:14—Stoppage—
- P3 05:09CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P3 05:13CARShot on goalRon Hainsey0.7% xG
- P3 05:09—Stoppage—
- P3 05:02BUFHitDavid Legwand
- P3 05:00—Takeaway—
- P3 04:53CARHitBrad Malone
- P3 04:31BUFShot on goalSam Reinhart1.5% xG
- P3 04:01CARMissed shotPhillip Di Giuseppe0.9% xG
- P3 03:18CARHitJordan Staal
- P3 02:58CARShot on goalRon Hainsey0.5% xG
- P3 02:39BUFShot on goalEvander Kane2.6% xG
- P3 02:40—Giveaway—
- P3 02:29CARHitChris Terry
- P3 01:40—Takeaway—
- P3 01:18BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P3 01:07—Takeaway—
- P3 00:52BUFBlocked shotJack Eichel1.4% xG
- P3 00:48BUFShot on goalEvander Kane0.8% xG
- P3 00:30CARBlocked shotJordan Staal0.9% xG
- P3 00:16CARMissed shotJordan Staal0.7% xG
- P3 00:00CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P2 19:17CARHitElias Lindholm
- P2 18:55CARHitJoakim Nordstrom
- P2 18:39—Takeaway—
- P2 19:54CARFaceoffRiley Nash
- P2 19:54—Stoppage—
- P2 19:53CARShot on goalRiley Nash1.6% xG
- P2 19:48CARShot on goalChris Terry1.2% xG
- P2 19:33BUFShot on goalEvander Kane1.3% xG
- P2 19:35CARFaceoffRiley Nash
- P2 19:35—Stoppage—
- P2 19:27CARBlocked shotJordan Staal1.5% xG
- P2 18:33BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P2 18:33—Penalty—
- P2 18:33—Penalty—
- P2 18:33—Penalty—
- P2 18:33—Penalty—
- P2 18:33—Penalty—
- P2 18:09BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P2 18:09—Stoppage—
- P2 18:08CARShot on goalJeff Skinner2.2% xG
- P2 17:58CARMissed shotRon Hainsey0.5% xG
- P2 17:53CARFaceoffVictor Rask
- P2 17:53—Stoppage—
- P2 17:52CARBlocked shotRyan Murphy0.7% xG
- P2 17:21—Takeaway—
- P2 16:47CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P2 16:47—Stoppage—
- P2 16:39CARMissed shotRon Hainsey1.1% xG
- P2 16:31CARShot on goalJaccob Slavin1.0% xG
- P2 15:49BUFShot on goalZemgus Girgensons1.6% xG
- P2 15:46CARHitNoah Hanifin
- P2 15:27CARShot on goalJordan Staal2.4% xG
- P2 14:40BUFBlocked shotJake McCabe1.3% xG
- P2 14:31—Takeaway—
- P2 13:31BUFShot on goalRyan O'Reilly1.5% xG
- P2 13:22BUFBlocked shotEvander Kane1.5% xG
- P2 13:15BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P2 13:15—Stoppage—
- P2 13:11BUFHitBrian Gionta
- P2 12:48BUFHitCal O'Reilly
- P2 12:32CARHitBrad Malone
- P2 12:22—Giveaway—
- P2 12:10CARFaceoffJay McClement
- P2 12:10CARGoalChris Terry, Noah Hanifin, Riley Nash
- P2 10:43CARShot on goalJordan Staal1.7% xG
- P2 10:37CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P2 10:37—Stoppage—
- P2 10:36CARShot on goalJeff Skinner0.9% xG
- P2 10:18BUFShot on goalJohan Larsson0.6% xG
- P2 10:13BUFFaceoffZemgus Girgensons
- P2 10:13—Stoppage—
- P2 09:52—Takeaway—
- P2 09:08BUFBlocked shotZach Bogosian1.2% xG
- P2 08:11CARFaceoffJay McClement
- P2 08:11—Penalty—
- P2 08:00—Takeaway—
- P2 07:47BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P2 02:34BUFBlocked shotJake McCabe1.8% xG
- P2 07:47—Stoppage—
- P2 07:46BUFBlocked shotEvander Kane1.2% xG
- P2 07:33—Giveaway—
- P2 07:13BUFHitRasmus Ristolainen
- P2 07:06CARFaceoffDerek Ryan
- P2 07:06—Penalty—
- P2 06:51CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P2 06:51—Penalty—
- P2 06:50CARBlocked shotBrett Pesce1.4% xG
- P2 06:31CARFaceoffDerek Ryan
- P2 06:31—Stoppage—
- P2 06:30CARMissed shotBrett Pesce0.7% xG
- P2 05:51—Takeaway—
- P2 05:44BUFHitRasmus Ristolainen
- P2 05:43CARShot on goalJordan Staal1.2% xG
- P2 05:33BUFShot on goalRasmus Ristolainen0.3% xG
- P2 05:21—Giveaway—
- P2 05:23BUFShot on goalDavid Legwand1.3% xG
- P2 05:13BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P2 05:13—Penalty—
- P2 05:09CARShot on goalBrett Pesce0.7% xG
- P2 04:53BUFMissed shotCarlo Colaiacovo0.6% xG
- P2 03:45BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P2 03:59BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P2 03:59—Stoppage—
- P2 03:48BUFMissed shotNicolas Deslauriers0.6% xG
- P2 03:44BUFShot on goalSam Reinhart1.7% xG
- P2 03:45—Stoppage—
- P2 03:26BUFBlocked shotJack Eichel1.4% xG
- P2 03:22BUFFaceoffZemgus Girgensons
- P2 03:22—Stoppage—
- P2 03:19BUFShot on goalMatt Moulson0.6% xG
- P2 02:53BUFBlocked shotDavid Legwand0.8% xG
- P2 02:43BUFBlocked shotNicolas Deslauriers2.0% xG
- P2 02:35BUFHitNicolas Deslauriers
- P2 02:30BUFBlocked shotEvander Kane1.2% xG
- P2 02:09BUFHitNicolas Deslauriers
- P2 02:05BUFHitNicolas Deslauriers
- P2 01:36CARBlocked shotBrett Pesce1.1% xG
- P2 01:14BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P2 01:13CARShot on goalBrett Pesce0.4% xG
- P2 01:02—Takeaway—
- P2 00:49CARShot on goalJeff Skinner0.9% xG
- P2 00:29CARMissed shotElias Lindholm1.6% xG
- P2 00:00CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P1 19:52CARFaceoffRiley Nash
- P1 19:52—Stoppage—
- P1 19:51BUFShot on goalJohan Larsson1.2% xG
- P1 19:26CARMissed shotJordan Staal0.9% xG
- P1 19:08CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P1 19:08—Stoppage—
- P1 18:44CARShot on goalRon Hainsey0.6% xG
- P1 18:30CARShot on goalRon Hainsey1.1% xG
- P1 17:50BUFShot on goalEvander Kane4.4% xG
- P1 17:44BUFBlocked shotJake McCabe0.9% xG
- P1 17:37BUFShot on goalNicolas Deslauriers2.1% xG
- P1 16:56CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P1 16:56—Stoppage—
- P1 16:53BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P1 16:53—Stoppage—
- P1 16:51CARShot on goalNathan Gerbe4.3% xG
- P1 15:53CARHitChris Terry
- P1 15:35CARMissed shotRiley Nash1.1% xG
- P1 15:27CARFaceoffDerek Ryan
- P1 15:27—Stoppage—
- P1 15:18BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P1 15:18—Stoppage—
- P1 15:03BUFHitRasmus Ristolainen
- P1 14:32CARFaceoffVictor Rask
- P1 14:32—Stoppage—
- P1 14:31BUFShot on goalZach Bogosian0.5% xG
- P1 14:19BUFBlocked shotNicolas Deslauriers1.2% xG
- P1 14:05BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P1 14:05—Stoppage—
- P1 14:03BUFMissed shotNicolas Deslauriers4.6% xG
- P1 14:00BUFShot on goalNicolas Deslauriers1.7% xG
- P1 12:58BUFHitBrian Gionta
- P1 12:36BUFHitJohan Larsson
- P1 12:34BUFHitJosh Gorges
- P1 12:22CARFaceoffDerek Ryan
- P1 12:22BUFGoalCarlo Colaiacovo, Mark Pysyk, Marcus Foligno
- P1 12:07BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P1 12:02CARFaceoffJay McClement
- P1 12:02—Stoppage—
- P1 12:01BUFShot on goalJosh Gorges0.6% xG
- P1 11:35CARFaceoffVictor Rask
- P1 11:35—Stoppage—
- P1 11:24—Takeaway—
- P1 11:09CARHitElias Lindholm
- P1 10:55CARShot on goalBrett Pesce0.5% xG
- P1 10:51CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P1 10:51—Stoppage—
- P1 10:49BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P1 10:20CARHitPhillip Di Giuseppe
- P1 10:12CARHitRon Hainsey
- P1 09:50BUFHitCarlo Colaiacovo
- P1 09:21—Giveaway—
- P1 08:52BUFHitNicolas Deslauriers
- P1 08:20BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P1 08:20—Stoppage—
- P1 08:01BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P1 08:01—Stoppage—
- P1 07:02—Takeaway—
- P1 06:43—Takeaway—
- P1 06:29BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P1 06:29—Stoppage—
- P1 06:25CARShot on goalJay McClement0.6% xG
- P1 06:16CARBlocked shotRon Hainsey0.8% xG
- P1 06:07BUFHitJosh Gorges
- P1 05:46BUFBlocked shotBrian Gionta3.8% xG
- P1 05:43BUFShot on goalBrian Gionta0.5% xG
- P1 05:23—Giveaway—
- P1 04:56—Giveaway—
- P1 04:49CARMissed shotJaccob Slavin0.5% xG
- P1 04:25CARHitJordan Staal
- P1 03:55CARShot on goalJeff Skinner6.3% xG
- P1 03:53CARBlocked shotNoah Hanifin1.0% xG
- P1 03:49CARHitPhillip Di Giuseppe
- P1 03:26CARFaceoffVictor Rask
- P1 03:26—Stoppage—
- P1 03:15CARFaceoffVictor Rask
- P1 03:15—Stoppage—
- P1 02:48CARShot on goalElias Lindholm0.8% xG
- P1 02:40CARFaceoffJordan Staal
- P1 02:40—Stoppage—
- P1 01:54—Takeaway—
- P1 01:45CARHitDerek Ryan
- P1 01:37CARShot on goalRiley Nash4.2% xG
- P1 01:36CARBlocked shotMichal Jordan0.5% xG
- P1 01:31CARFaceoffDerek Ryan
- P1 01:31—Stoppage—
- P1 01:19CARFaceoffDerek Ryan
- P1 01:19—Stoppage—
- P1 01:00—Takeaway—
- P1 00:47—Giveaway—
- P1 00:17BUFMissed shotJack Eichel2.5% xG
- P1 00:15BUFBlocked shotJack Eichel0.7% xG
- P1 00:00CARFaceoffJordan Staal
BUF vs CAR
Shot tracker
Every attempt with live expected goals
- P1 00:15BUFJack Eichel0.7%
- P1 00:17BUFJack Eichel2.5%
- P1 01:36CARMichal Jordan0.5%
- P1 01:37CARRiley Nash4.2%
- P1 02:48CARElias Lindholm0.8%
- P1 03:53CARNoah Hanifin1.0%
- P1 03:55CARJeff Skinner6.3%
- P1 04:49CARJaccob Slavin0.5%
- P1 05:43BUFBrian Gionta0.5%
- P1 05:46BUFBrian Gionta3.8%
- P1 06:16CARRon Hainsey0.8%
- P1 06:25CARJay McClement0.6%
- P1 10:55CARBrett Pesce0.5%
- P1 12:01BUFJosh Gorges0.6%
- P1 12:22BUFCarlo ColaiacovoGOAL
- P1 14:00BUFNicolas Deslauriers1.7%
- P1 14:03BUFNicolas Deslauriers4.6%
- P1 14:19BUFNicolas Deslauriers1.2%
- P1 14:31BUFZach Bogosian0.5%
- P1 15:35CARRiley Nash1.1%
- P1 16:51CARNathan Gerbe4.3%
- P1 17:37BUFNicolas Deslauriers2.1%
- P1 17:44BUFJake McCabe0.9%
- P1 17:50BUFEvander Kane4.4%
- P1 18:30CARRon Hainsey1.1%
- P1 18:44CARRon Hainsey0.6%
- P1 19:26CARJordan Staal0.9%
- P1 19:51BUFJohan Larsson1.2%
- P2 00:29CARElias Lindholm1.6%
- P2 00:49CARJeff Skinner0.9%
- P2 01:13CARBrett Pesce0.4%
- P2 01:36CARBrett Pesce1.1%
- P2 02:30BUFEvander Kane1.2%
- P2 02:43BUFNicolas Deslauriers2.0%
- P2 02:53BUFDavid Legwand0.8%
- P2 03:19BUFMatt Moulson0.6%
- P2 03:26BUFJack Eichel1.4%
- P2 03:44BUFSam Reinhart1.7%
- P2 03:48BUFNicolas Deslauriers0.6%
- P2 04:53BUFCarlo Colaiacovo0.6%
- P2 05:09CARBrett Pesce0.7%
- P2 05:23BUFDavid Legwand1.3%
- P2 05:33BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.3%
- P2 05:43CARJordan Staal1.2%
- P2 06:30CARBrett Pesce0.7%
- P2 06:50CARBrett Pesce1.4%
- P2 07:46BUFEvander Kane1.2%
- P2 02:34BUFJake McCabe1.8%
- P2 09:08BUFZach Bogosian1.2%
- P2 10:18BUFJohan Larsson0.6%
- P2 10:36CARJeff Skinner0.9%
- P2 10:43CARJordan Staal1.7%
- P2 12:10CARChris TerryGOAL
- P2 13:22BUFEvander Kane1.5%
- P2 13:31BUFRyan O'Reilly1.5%
- P2 14:40BUFJake McCabe1.3%
- P2 15:27CARJordan Staal2.4%
- P2 15:49BUFZemgus Girgensons1.6%
- P2 16:31CARJaccob Slavin1.0%
- P2 16:39CARRon Hainsey1.1%
- P2 17:52CARRyan Murphy0.7%
- P2 17:58CARRon Hainsey0.5%
- P2 18:08CARJeff Skinner2.2%
- P2 19:27CARJordan Staal1.5%
- P2 19:33BUFEvander Kane1.3%
- P2 19:48CARChris Terry1.2%
- P2 19:53CARRiley Nash1.6%
- P3 00:16CARJordan Staal0.7%
- P3 00:30CARJordan Staal0.9%
- P3 00:48BUFEvander Kane0.8%
- P3 00:52BUFJack Eichel1.4%
- P3 02:39BUFEvander Kane2.6%
- P3 02:58CARRon Hainsey0.5%
- P3 04:01CARPhillip Di Giuseppe0.9%
- P3 04:31BUFSam Reinhart1.5%
- P3 05:13CARRon Hainsey0.7%
- P3 05:20CARJaccob Slavin0.5%
- P3 05:43CARRiley Nash0.8%
- P3 06:57CARMichal Jordan0.5%
- P3 07:20BUFJohan Larsson1.0%
- P3 07:55BUFJack Eichel1.4%
- P3 08:34BUFNicolas Deslauriers1.3%
- P3 08:41BUFEvander Kane0.9%
- P3 08:49BUFRyan O'Reilly0.9%
- P3 09:52BUFSam Reinhart6.3%
- P3 10:50BUFBrian Gionta4.8%
- P3 11:39BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.6%
- P3 11:57BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.6%
- P3 12:54CARNathan Gerbe0.7%
- P3 13:23BUFZach Bogosian0.9%
- P3 13:30BUFRyan O'Reilly1.4%
- P3 13:40CARJoakim NordstromGOAL
- P3 13:28BUFRasmus Ristolainen2.9%
- P3 14:06CARChris Terry2.0%
- P3 15:02BUFRyan O'Reilly2.0%
- P3 16:11BUFEvander KaneGOAL
- P3 17:11BUFJohan LarssonGOAL
- P3 17:46CARChris Terry0.9%
- P3 18:36CARNoah Hanifin1.5%
- P3 19:39BUFJack Eichel0.4%
- P3 19:55CARJaccob Slavin0.6%