Deserve to win
40–60%
If both goalies were league average
BUF
1–4
SOG 21–31
xG 0.51 – 0.77
TOR
Snapshot at 6:27:02 AM
Static box score →Live insights
Momentum, expected goals, finishing luck, and scoring chances — recalculated on every sync
Game xG
0.51–0.77
Δ -0.26 TOR
TOR
Finishing vs xG
TOR +3.2
Outscoring shot quality
TOR
Shot threat
Zach Hyman
4 attempts · 0.13 xG
TOR
Scoring chances
0–1
Attempts ≥8% xG · HDC 0–0
Last goal
M. Michalek
P3 16:46 · 1–4
TOR
Top game score
P. Parenteau · 1.70
0G 2A undefined SOG · TOI 14:23
TOR
Win probability
TOR 100%
P1 · P2 · P3
P1P2P3
BUFTOR
Shot zone
Live attempt map with expected goals
BUF 0.51 xGTOR 0.77 xG
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Highlights
Goals and big plays with NHL video
GOAL · M. Michalek
P3 16:46 · TOR · 1–4 · wrist
GOAL · M. Marincin
P3 15:32 · TOR · 1–3 · snap
GOAL · C. Carrick
P3 06:56 · TOR · 1–2 · slap
GOAL · W. Nylander
P2 14:55 · TOR · 1–1 · wrist
GOAL · B. Gionta
P1 04:31 · BUF · 1–0 · snap
Play-by-play
Live feed · new plays animate in
- P3 19:31TORShot on goalColin Greening0.6% xG
- P3 19:17TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P3 19:17—Stoppage—
- P3 19:17BUFBlocked shotJake McCabe1.0% xG
- P3 18:19—Giveaway—
- P3 18:21BUFShot on goalRasmus Ristolainen0.5% xG
- P3 18:07TORShot on goalBen Smith0.4% xG
- P3 17:29BUFFaceoffDavid Legwand
- P3 18:06BUFHitNicolas Deslauriers
- P3 17:41BUFBlocked shotNicolas Deslauriers1.3% xG
- P3 17:29—Stoppage—
- P3 17:28BUFShot on goalNicolas Deslauriers0.6% xG
- P3 17:22BUFFaceoffDavid Legwand
- P3 17:22—Stoppage—
- P3 17:22BUFShot on goalZach Bogosian0.7% xG
- P3 17:19BUFHitEvander Kane
- P3 17:21BUFHitJake McCabe
- P3 17:09BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P3 17:09—Stoppage—
- P3 17:04BUFMissed shotSam Reinhart1.0% xG
- P3 17:01BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P3 17:01—Penalty—
- P3 17:01—Stoppage—
- P3 16:46TORFaceoffWilliam Nylander
- P3 16:46TORGoalMilan Michalek, Colin Greening, Morgan Rielly
- P3 16:37BUFMissed shotCarlo Colaiacovo0.6% xG
- P3 16:33BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P3 15:54TORHitFrederik Gauthier
- P3 15:32BUFFaceoffDavid Legwand
- P3 15:32TORGoalMartin Marincin, PA Parenteau, Nikita Soshnikov
- P3 15:24BUFHitZach Bogosian
- P3 15:20TORShot on goalNikita Soshnikov0.6% xG
- P3 14:58—Takeaway—
- P3 14:59BUFShot on goalZach Bogosian0.5% xG
- P3 14:57TORHitNazem Kadri
- P3 14:06TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P3 14:06—Stoppage—
- P3 13:22BUFBlocked shotJake McCabe1.0% xG
- P3 13:17BUFFaceoffCal O'Reilly
- P3 13:17—Stoppage—
- P3 12:03TORShot on goalJake Gardiner1.0% xG
- P3 13:15BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P3 12:53BUFBlocked shotEvander Kane2.1% xG
- P3 12:38BUFMissed shotJosh Gorges0.5% xG
- P3 12:05BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P3 12:05—Penalty—
- P3 12:05—Penalty—
- P3 12:05—Penalty—
- P3 12:05—Penalty—
- P3 12:04TORHitZach Hyman
- P3 11:56BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P3 11:31TORFaceoffWilliam Nylander
- P3 11:31TORShot on goalPA Parenteau0.6% xG
- P3 11:31—Stoppage—
- P3 11:19BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P3 09:07TORBlocked shotMorgan Rielly1.3% xG
- P3 11:19—Stoppage—
- P3 11:19TORShot on goalNikita Soshnikov0.8% xG
- P3 10:56TORFaceoffFrederik Gauthier
- P3 10:56—Stoppage—
- P3 10:21TORHitColin Greening
- P3 09:06TORMissed shotNikita Soshnikov1.6% xG
- P3 08:51BUFBlocked shotJake McCabe1.2% xG
- P3 08:05TORFaceoffWilliam Nylander
- P3 08:05—Stoppage—
- P3 07:58TORShot on goalMichael Grabner0.7% xG
- P3 07:51TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P3 07:51—Stoppage—
- P3 07:50BUFMissed shotRasmus Ristolainen0.6% xG
- P3 07:26BUFMissed shotRyan O'Reilly0.7% xG
- P3 06:56TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P3 06:56TORGoalConnor Carrick, Jake Gardiner, William Nylander
- P3 06:54TORShot on goalJake Gardiner0.9% xG
- P3 06:28TORFaceoffWilliam Nylander
- P3 03:53BUFShot on goalZemgus Girgensons4.0% xG
- P3 06:28—Penalty—
- P3 06:28—Penalty—
- P3 06:28—Penalty—
- P3 06:28—Stoppage—
- P3 06:27TORShot on goalJake Gardiner0.5% xG
- P3 06:20BUFHitJosh Gorges
- P3 06:15TORBlocked shotConnor Carrick0.8% xG
- P3 06:01BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P3 05:22—Giveaway—
- P3 05:06TORMissed shotMorgan Rielly0.4% xG
- P3 05:00TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P3 05:00—Stoppage—
- P3 05:00TORShot on goalMorgan Rielly0.4% xG
- P3 04:57TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P3 04:57—Stoppage—
- P3 04:47BUFMissed shotEvander Kane0.7% xG
- P3 04:40BUFMissed shotZach Bogosian0.8% xG
- P3 04:29BUFFaceoffBrian Gionta
- P3 04:29BUFMissed shotCal O'Reilly3.4% xG
- P3 04:29—Stoppage—
- P3 03:54BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P3 03:52BUFShot on goalZemgus Girgensons4.2% xG
- P3 03:54—Stoppage—
- P3 03:51BUFShot on goalCal O'Reilly1.5% xG
- P3 03:44TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P3 03:44—Stoppage—
- P3 03:44BUFShot on goalRasmus Ristolainen0.9% xG
- P3 03:40BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P3 03:40—Penalty—
- P3 03:20—Giveaway—
- P3 02:42TORMissed shotMorgan Rielly0.6% xG
- P3 02:26TORBlocked shotMorgan Rielly1.6% xG
- P3 02:21TORFaceoffNazem Kadri
- P3 02:21—Stoppage—
- P3 02:12BUFShot on goalCarlo Colaiacovo0.6% xG
- P3 02:02BUFMissed shotCarlo Colaiacovo0.5% xG
- P3 01:54BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P3 01:39TORHitZach Hyman
- P3 00:33TORMissed shotNazem Kadri0.6% xG
- P3 00:14BUFHitJosh Gorges
- P3 00:00TORFaceoffNazem Kadri
- P2 19:50BUFBlocked shotJake McCabe1.0% xG
- P2 19:40—Giveaway—
- P2 19:22BUFHitJosh Gorges
- P2 19:18TORMissed shotNazem Kadri0.8% xG
- P2 18:43BUFHitJohan Larsson
- P2 18:36BUFMissed shotRasmus Ristolainen0.5% xG
- P2 17:49BUFHitNicolas Deslauriers
- P2 17:23TORHitColin Greening
- P2 17:03TORMissed shotMorgan Rielly0.8% xG
- P2 16:40TORHitMartin Marincin
- P2 16:10BUFHitNicolas Deslauriers
- P2 15:47—Takeaway—
- P2 14:55TORFaceoffFrederik Gauthier
- P2 14:51BUFHitJosh Gorges
- P2 14:55TORGoalWilliam Nylander, PA Parenteau, Milan Michalek
- P2 14:46TORShot on goalPA Parenteau0.7% xG
- P2 14:35TORMissed shotWilliam Nylander1.0% xG
- P2 13:40BUFFaceoffEvander Kane
- P2 13:40—Stoppage—
- P2 12:51BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P2 12:51—Penalty—
- P2 12:33TORBlocked shotJake Gardiner0.7% xG
- P2 12:19BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P2 12:19—Stoppage—
- P2 12:15TORHitZach Hyman
- P2 12:09BUFBlocked shotJosh Gorges0.6% xG
- P2 12:02BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P2 12:02—Stoppage—
- P2 11:09BUFShot on goalRasmus Ristolainen0.6% xG
- P2 11:06BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P2 11:06—Stoppage—
- P2 11:05—Giveaway—
- P2 10:58BUFMissed shotCarlo Colaiacovo0.6% xG
- P2 10:50BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P2 10:50—Stoppage—
- P2 10:31TORMissed shotZach Hyman0.6% xG
- P2 10:12TORBlocked shotMorgan Rielly1.8% xG
- P2 09:59BUFHitSam Reinhart
- P2 09:35TORShot on goalMorgan Rielly0.8% xG
- P2 09:29TORShot on goalMichael Grabner0.7% xG
- P2 09:09TORFaceoffNazem Kadri
- P2 09:09BUFShot on goalRasmus Ristolainen0.5% xG
- P2 09:09—Stoppage—
- P2 08:58BUFHitMatt Moulson
- P2 07:56TORHitFrederik Gauthier
- P2 08:53BUFShot on goalMatt Moulson0.9% xG
- P2 08:39—Takeaway—
- P2 08:26BUFMissed shotMatt Moulson0.6% xG
- P2 07:48TORMissed shotJosh Leivo0.8% xG
- P2 07:27BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P2 07:27—Stoppage—
- P2 07:27TORShot on goalNikita Soshnikov0.9% xG
- P2 06:58BUFMissed shotJake McCabe1.2% xG
- P2 06:53—Giveaway—
- P2 06:46BUFShot on goalZach Bogosian0.5% xG
- P2 06:14BUFFaceoffCal O'Reilly
- P2 06:14—Stoppage—
- P2 05:44TORBlocked shotMorgan Rielly1.3% xG
- P2 05:35BUFShot on goalRyan O'Reilly0.8% xG
- P2 05:04TORMissed shotJosh Leivo0.7% xG
- P2 04:53BUFShot on goalBrian Gionta2.2% xG
- P2 04:48—Giveaway—
- P2 04:45TORMissed shotFrederik Gauthier3.9% xG
- P2 04:18TORFaceoffFrederik Gauthier
- P2 04:15TORShot on goalMorgan Rielly0.7% xG
- P2 04:18—Stoppage—
- P2 01:56TORMissed shotZach Hyman10.3% xG
- P2 03:26BUFBlocked shotRasmus Ristolainen1.2% xG
- P2 02:57BUFShot on goalNicolas Deslauriers1.2% xG
- P2 02:48BUFBlocked shotCarlo Colaiacovo0.8% xG
- P2 02:36BUFShot on goalMark Pysyk0.5% xG
- P2 02:27BUFShot on goalDavid Legwand0.5% xG
- P2 02:16TORHitMilan Michalek
- P2 02:08TORBlocked shotRinat Valiev2.1% xG
- P2 02:02TORHitBen Smith
- P2 01:55BUFHitZach Bogosian
- P2 01:02TORShot on goalJake Gardiner1.0% xG
- P2 00:24BUFHitRasmus Ristolainen
- P2 00:08BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P2 00:08—Stoppage—
- P2 00:00BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P1 19:51BUFHitNicolas Deslauriers
- P1 19:43TORFaceoffWilliam Nylander
- P1 19:43—Stoppage—
- P1 19:30BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P1 19:27BUFHitZach Bogosian
- P1 19:19BUFHitJohan Larsson
- P1 18:44TORBlocked shotMartin Marincin1.6% xG
- P1 18:36TORBlocked shotMorgan Rielly0.7% xG
- P1 18:29TORMissed shotNazem Kadri4.1% xG
- P1 18:10BUFHitEvander Kane
- P1 17:52TORBlocked shotBen Smith0.9% xG
- P1 17:42—Takeaway—
- P1 17:39—Giveaway—
- P1 17:32TORMissed shotMilan Michalek0.7% xG
- P1 18:20BUFHitJosh Gorges
- P1 17:21TORBlocked shotMilan Michalek1.3% xG
- P1 17:21BUFHitDaniel Catenacci
- P1 17:18—Takeaway—
- P1 17:13TORHitColin Greening
- P1 16:51TORShot on goalRinat Valiev0.5% xG
- P1 16:33TORShot on goalZach Hyman1.2% xG
- P1 16:16TORFaceoffWilliam Nylander
- P1 16:16—Stoppage—
- P1 16:16BUFBlocked shotJosh Gorges1.5% xG
- P1 16:14TORHitNikita Soshnikov
- P1 16:07BUFHitEvander Kane
- P1 16:05BUFHitJohan Larsson
- P1 16:00BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P1 15:39—Giveaway—
- P1 15:31TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P1 15:31—Stoppage—
- P1 15:12TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P1 15:12—Stoppage—
- P1 14:29BUFBlocked shotRasmus Ristolainen1.8% xG
- P1 13:41TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P1 13:41—Penalty—
- P1 13:40BUFBlocked shotEvander Kane1.8% xG
- P1 13:00BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P1 13:00—Stoppage—
- P1 12:59TORShot on goalNikita Soshnikov1.0% xG
- P1 12:57—Takeaway—
- P1 12:31BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P1 12:31—Stoppage—
- P1 12:30TORShot on goalColin Greening1.0% xG
- P1 12:20TORShot on goalMilan Michalek1.8% xG
- P1 12:08BUFHitJake McCabe
- P1 11:57TORMissed shotColin Greening0.8% xG
- P1 11:43TORMissed shotBen Smith1.1% xG
- P1 11:33TORHitMilan Michalek
- P1 11:24TORHitColin Greening
- P1 10:55—Takeaway—
- P1 10:53TORHitJosh Leivo
- P1 10:48TORShot on goalConnor Brown0.6% xG
- P1 10:36TORBlocked shotFrank Corrado0.7% xG
- P1 10:16BUFFaceoffDavid Legwand
- P1 10:16—Stoppage—
- P1 09:46TORMissed shotNikita Soshnikov2.1% xG
- P1 09:37TORMissed shotMartin Marincin0.8% xG
- P1 09:33TORFaceoffNazem Kadri
- P1 09:33—Stoppage—
- P1 09:33—Stoppage—
- P1 09:33TORShot on goalNikita Soshnikov0.6% xG
- P1 08:56TORFaceoffWilliam Nylander
- P1 08:56—Stoppage—
- P1 08:41BUFHitEvander Kane
- P1 08:55TORHitNazem Kadri
- P1 08:25TORShot on goalColin Greening0.9% xG
- P1 08:23—Takeaway—
- P1 08:10BUFHitBrian Gionta
- P1 07:49BUFHitCarlo Colaiacovo
- P1 07:24BUFHitJohan Larsson
- P1 06:46TORFaceoffWilliam Nylander
- P1 06:46—Stoppage—
- P1 06:45BUFShot on goalSam Reinhart1.6% xG
- P1 04:27—Giveaway—
- P1 06:23TORShot on goalMartin Marincin0.5% xG
- P1 06:16TORBlocked shotMartin Marincin0.8% xG
- P1 05:49—Giveaway—
- P1 05:26TORMissed shotColin Greening3.7% xG
- P1 05:15—Takeaway—
- P1 04:57—Takeaway—
- P1 04:53TORHitColin Greening
- P1 04:37TORFaceoffBen Smith
- P1 04:37—Stoppage—
- P1 04:31BUFFaceoffDavid Legwand
- P1 04:28BUFHitJohan Larsson
- P1 04:31BUFGoalBrian Gionta, Marcus Foligno
- P1 04:16TORHitRinat Valiev
- P1 04:11BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P1 04:11—Stoppage—
- P1 04:04BUFFaceoffJohan Larsson
- P1 04:04—Stoppage—
- P1 04:03TORShot on goalZach Hyman0.5% xG
- P1 03:45BUFHitZemgus Girgensons
- P1 03:27TORFaceoffWilliam Nylander
- P1 03:27—Stoppage—
- P1 03:23BUFShot on goalZach Bogosian0.5% xG
- P1 02:43BUFFaceoffRyan O'Reilly
- P1 02:43—Stoppage—
- P1 02:43TORShot on goalFrank Corrado0.6% xG
- P1 02:38BUFHitDavid Legwand
- P1 02:03BUFHitCal O'Reilly
- P1 01:14BUFHitJohan Larsson
- P1 00:54BUFHitJohan Larsson
- P1 00:47BUFHitEvander Kane
- P1 00:22—Takeaway—
- P1 00:00TORFaceoffNazem Kadri
BUF vs TOR
Shot tracker
Every attempt with live expected goals
- P1 02:43TORFrank Corrado0.6%
- P1 03:23BUFZach Bogosian0.5%
- P1 04:03TORZach Hyman0.5%
- P1 04:31BUFBrian GiontaGOAL
- P1 05:26TORColin Greening3.7%
- P1 06:16TORMartin Marincin0.8%
- P1 06:23TORMartin Marincin0.5%
- P1 06:45BUFSam Reinhart1.6%
- P1 08:25TORColin Greening0.9%
- P1 09:33TORNikita Soshnikov0.6%
- P1 09:37TORMartin Marincin0.8%
- P1 09:46TORNikita Soshnikov2.1%
- P1 10:36TORFrank Corrado0.7%
- P1 10:48TORConnor Brown0.6%
- P1 11:43TORBen Smith1.1%
- P1 11:57TORColin Greening0.8%
- P1 12:20TORMilan Michalek1.8%
- P1 12:30TORColin Greening1.0%
- P1 12:59TORNikita Soshnikov1.0%
- P1 13:40BUFEvander Kane1.8%
- P1 14:29BUFRasmus Ristolainen1.8%
- P1 16:16BUFJosh Gorges1.5%
- P1 16:33TORZach Hyman1.2%
- P1 16:51TORRinat Valiev0.5%
- P1 17:21TORMilan Michalek1.3%
- P1 17:32TORMilan Michalek0.7%
- P1 17:52TORBen Smith0.9%
- P1 18:29TORNazem Kadri4.1%
- P1 18:36TORMorgan Rielly0.7%
- P1 18:44TORMartin Marincin1.6%
- P2 01:02TORJake Gardiner1.0%
- P2 02:08TORRinat Valiev2.1%
- P2 02:27BUFDavid Legwand0.5%
- P2 02:36BUFMark Pysyk0.5%
- P2 02:48BUFCarlo Colaiacovo0.8%
- P2 02:57BUFNicolas Deslauriers1.2%
- P2 03:26BUFRasmus Ristolainen1.2%
- P2 01:56TORZach Hyman10.3%
- P2 04:15TORMorgan Rielly0.7%
- P2 04:45TORFrederik Gauthier3.9%
- P2 04:53BUFBrian Gionta2.2%
- P2 05:04TORJosh Leivo0.7%
- P2 05:35BUFRyan O'Reilly0.8%
- P2 05:44TORMorgan Rielly1.3%
- P2 06:46BUFZach Bogosian0.5%
- P2 06:58BUFJake McCabe1.2%
- P2 07:27TORNikita Soshnikov0.9%
- P2 07:48TORJosh Leivo0.8%
- P2 08:26BUFMatt Moulson0.6%
- P2 08:53BUFMatt Moulson0.9%
- P2 09:09BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.5%
- P2 09:29TORMichael Grabner0.7%
- P2 09:35TORMorgan Rielly0.8%
- P2 10:12TORMorgan Rielly1.8%
- P2 10:31TORZach Hyman0.6%
- P2 10:58BUFCarlo Colaiacovo0.6%
- P2 11:09BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.6%
- P2 12:09BUFJosh Gorges0.6%
- P2 12:33TORJake Gardiner0.7%
- P2 14:35TORWilliam Nylander1.0%
- P2 14:46TORPA Parenteau0.7%
- P2 14:55TORWilliam NylanderGOAL
- P2 17:03TORMorgan Rielly0.8%
- P2 18:36BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.5%
- P2 19:18TORNazem Kadri0.8%
- P2 19:50BUFJake McCabe1.0%
- P3 00:33TORNazem Kadri0.6%
- P3 02:02BUFCarlo Colaiacovo0.5%
- P3 02:12BUFCarlo Colaiacovo0.6%
- P3 02:26TORMorgan Rielly1.6%
- P3 02:42TORMorgan Rielly0.6%
- P3 03:44BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.9%
- P3 03:51BUFCal O'Reilly1.5%
- P3 03:52BUFZemgus Girgensons4.2%
- P3 04:29BUFCal O'Reilly3.4%
- P3 04:40BUFZach Bogosian0.8%
- P3 04:47BUFEvander Kane0.7%
- P3 05:00TORMorgan Rielly0.4%
- P3 05:06TORMorgan Rielly0.4%
- P3 06:15TORConnor Carrick0.8%
- P3 06:27TORJake Gardiner0.5%
- P3 03:53BUFZemgus Girgensons4.0%
- P3 06:54TORJake Gardiner0.9%
- P3 06:56TORConnor CarrickGOAL
- P3 07:26BUFRyan O'Reilly0.7%
- P3 07:50BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.6%
- P3 07:58TORMichael Grabner0.7%
- P3 08:51BUFJake McCabe1.2%
- P3 09:06TORNikita Soshnikov1.6%
- P3 11:19TORNikita Soshnikov0.8%
- P3 09:07TORMorgan Rielly1.3%
- P3 11:31TORPA Parenteau0.6%
- P3 12:38BUFJosh Gorges0.5%
- P3 12:53BUFEvander Kane2.1%
- P3 12:03TORJake Gardiner1.0%
- P3 13:22BUFJake McCabe1.0%
- P3 14:59BUFZach Bogosian0.5%
- P3 15:20TORNikita Soshnikov0.6%
- P3 15:32TORMartin MarincinGOAL
- P3 16:37BUFCarlo Colaiacovo0.6%
- P3 16:46TORMilan MichalekGOAL
- P3 17:04BUFSam Reinhart1.0%
- P3 17:22BUFZach Bogosian0.7%
- P3 17:28BUFNicolas Deslauriers0.6%
- P3 17:41BUFNicolas Deslauriers1.3%
- P3 18:07TORBen Smith0.4%
- P3 18:21BUFRasmus Ristolainen0.5%
- P3 19:17BUFJake McCabe1.0%
- P3 19:31TORColin Greening0.6%