Deserve to win
61–39%
If both goalies were league average
TBL
1–3
SOG 33–22
xG 0.77 – 0.49
BUF
Snapshot at 10:34:07 AM
Static box score →Live insights
Momentum, expected goals, finishing luck, and scoring chances — recalculated on every sync
Game xG
0.77–0.49
Δ +0.28 TBL
TBL
Finishing vs xG
BUF +2.5
Outscoring shot quality
BUF
Shot threat
Ryan Malone
4 attempts · 0.14 xG
TBL
Scoring chances
0–0
Attempts ≥8% xG · HDC 0–0
Last goal
B. Pouliot
P2 13:30 · 1–3
TBL
Win probability
BUF 100%
P1 · P2 · P3
P1P2P3
TBLBUF
Shot zone
Live attempt map with expected goals
TBL 0.77 xGBUF 0.49 xG
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Highlights
Goals and big plays with NHL video
GOAL · B. Pouliot
P2 13:30 · TBL · 1–3 · tip-in
GOAL · K. Porter
P2 12:37 · BUF · 0–3 · tip-in
GOAL · J. Hecht
P2 08:00 · BUF · 0–2 · wrist
GOAL · T. Ennis
P1 04:09 · BUF · 0–1 · wrist
Play-by-play
Live feed · new plays animate in
- P3 19:49TBLFaceoffVincent Lecavalier
- P3 19:49—Stoppage—
- P3 19:35BUFFaceoffMarcus Foligno
- P3 19:35—Stoppage—
- P3 19:34TBLShot on goalRichard Panik3.3% xG
- P3 19:29BUFHitMike Weber
- P3 19:07TBLFaceoffJT Wyman
- P3 19:07—Stoppage—
- P3 19:00TBLMissed shotSami Salo0.8% xG
- P3 18:37BUFFaceoffSteve Ott
- P3 18:37—Stoppage—
- P3 18:36TBLShot on goalRyan Malone6.1% xG
- P3 18:35TBLShot on goalRyan Malone4.9% xG
- P3 17:58TBLBlocked shotMatt Carle1.0% xG
- P3 17:41TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P3 17:41—Stoppage—
- P3 17:31BUFFaceoffKevin Porter
- P3 17:31—Stoppage—
- P3 16:59TBLFaceoffJT Wyman
- P3 16:59—Stoppage—
- P3 16:58TBLShot on goalMatt Carle0.7% xG
- P3 16:19TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P3 16:19—Stoppage—
- P3 16:12—Giveaway—
- P3 16:18BUFMissed shotJochen Hecht1.3% xG
- P3 15:44BUFFaceoffMarcus Foligno
- P3 15:44—Stoppage—
- P3 15:43TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier2.9% xG
- P3 15:37TBLFaceoffVincent Lecavalier
- P3 15:37—Stoppage—
- P3 15:36TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier1.5% xG
- P3 15:18TBLMissed shotMatt Carle0.7% xG
- P3 15:02BUFHitDrew Stafford
- P3 14:47BUFFaceoffMarcus Foligno
- P3 14:47—Stoppage—
- P3 13:50TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P3 13:50—Stoppage—
- P3 13:47TBLHitRadko Gudas
- P3 13:41—Takeaway—
- P3 13:30BUFFaceoffSteve Ott
- P3 13:30—Stoppage—
- P3 13:10TBLBlocked shotEric Brewer1.2% xG
- P3 12:49TBLHitKeith Aulie
- P3 12:44BUFMissed shotJohn Scott0.7% xG
- P3 12:19TBLMissed shotAlex Killorn1.2% xG
- P3 11:55BUFHitNathan Gerbe
- P3 11:48BUFShot on goalNathan Gerbe0.6% xG
- P3 11:29BUFHitNathan Gerbe
- P3 10:42TBLHitMatt Carle
- P3 10:36BUFShot on goalBrian Flynn1.8% xG
- P3 10:02TBLMissed shotB.J. Crombeen0.5% xG
- P3 09:52TBLShot on goalVictor Hedman0.7% xG
- P3 09:26TBLShot on goalDana Tyrell1.4% xG
- P3 09:19TBLHitEric Brewer
- P3 08:55TBLFaceoffJT Wyman
- P3 08:55—Penalty—
- P3 08:13—Giveaway—
- P3 07:41TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier2.2% xG
- P3 06:23BUFFaceoffSteve Ott
- P3 06:23—Penalty—
- P3 06:23—Stoppage—
- P3 06:22TBLShot on goalSteven Stamkos5.4% xG
- P3 06:20TBLMissed shotSami Salo0.5% xG
- P3 04:24BUFFaceoffMarcus Foligno
- P3 04:24—Stoppage—
- P3 04:18BUFFaceoffMarcus Foligno
- P3 04:18—Stoppage—
- P3 04:17BUFShot on goalPatrick Kaleta0.6% xG
- P3 04:07BUFFaceoffJochen Hecht
- P3 04:07—Stoppage—
- P3 04:06TBLShot on goalAlex Killorn0.6% xG
- P3 04:01BUFHitPatrick Kaleta
- P3 03:56TBLHitRadko Gudas
- P3 03:27BUFMissed shotSteve Ott0.7% xG
- P3 03:08—Takeaway—
- P3 02:47BUFHitThomas Vanek
- P3 02:43TBLMissed shotB.J. Crombeen0.8% xG
- P3 02:09TBLFaceoffJT Wyman
- P3 02:09—Stoppage—
- P3 02:07BUFShot on goalChad Ruhwedel0.5% xG
- P3 00:56—Takeaway—
- P3 00:26BUFHitChristian Ehrhoff
- P3 00:12BUFFaceoffSteve Ott
- P3 00:12—Stoppage—
- P3 00:00BUFFaceoffKevin Porter
- P2 19:58TBLHitBenoit Pouliot
- P2 19:47BUFFaceoffCody Hodgson
- P2 19:47—Stoppage—
- P2 19:35TBLMissed shotVincent Lecavalier1.0% xG
- P2 18:36BUFShot on goalBrian Flynn0.9% xG
- P2 18:27TBLShot on goalTeddy Purcell1.4% xG
- P2 18:02—Takeaway—
- P2 17:56TBLMissed shotSteven Stamkos3.3% xG
- P2 17:50TBLShot on goalEric Brewer1.0% xG
- P2 17:41TBLShot on goalAlex Killorn0.7% xG
- P2 16:42BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P2 16:34TBLHitRadko Gudas
- P2 16:24BUFShot on goalJohn Scott1.6% xG
- P2 15:52TBLBlocked shotRichard Panik0.8% xG
- P2 15:02TBLShot on goalRichard Panik1.4% xG
- P2 14:46TBLMissed shotSteven Stamkos1.7% xG
- P2 14:38TBLShot on goalVictor Hedman0.7% xG
- P2 14:11—Takeaway—
- P2 13:56BUFBlocked shotThomas Vanek1.2% xG
- P2 13:48BUFFaceoffCody Hodgson
- P2 13:48—Stoppage—
- P2 13:48—Stoppage—
- P2 13:47BUFShot on goalTyler Ennis0.6% xG
- P2 13:30BUFFaceoffCody Hodgson
- P2 13:30TBLGoalBenoit Pouliot, Eric Brewer, Vincent Lecavalier
- P2 13:06BUFShot on goalChad Ruhwedel0.6% xG
- P2 12:48BUFShot on goalChad Ruhwedel0.4% xG
- P2 12:37BUFFaceoffJochen Hecht
- P2 12:37BUFGoalKevin Porter, Brian Flynn, Steve Ott
- P2 11:33TBLMissed shotMatt Carle0.6% xG
- P2 11:16BUFHitAdam Pardy
- P2 10:32TBLFaceoffAlex Killorn
- P2 10:32—Stoppage—
- P2 09:32TBLShot on goalEric Brewer0.5% xG
- P2 09:13TBLShot on goalMatt Carle0.4% xG
- P2 08:45TBLFaceoffVincent Lecavalier
- P2 08:45—Stoppage—
- P2 08:16TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P2 08:16—Stoppage—
- P2 08:08TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P2 08:08—Stoppage—
- P2 08:00BUFFaceoffKevin Porter
- P2 08:00BUFGoalJochen Hecht, Nathan Gerbe
- P2 07:46—Giveaway—
- P2 07:55—Giveaway—
- P2 07:23TBLFaceoffJT Wyman
- P2 07:23—Stoppage—
- P2 06:49BUFFaceoffMarcus Foligno
- P2 06:49—Stoppage—
- P2 06:46TBLShot on goalKeith Aulie0.4% xG
- P2 05:56BUFMissed shotSteve Ott3.3% xG
- P2 05:53BUFShot on goalSteve Ott1.5% xG
- P2 05:47TBLBlocked shotMatt Carle0.6% xG
- P2 05:01BUFFaceoffBrian Flynn
- P2 05:01—Stoppage—
- P2 04:59TBLShot on goalMatt Carle0.4% xG
- P2 04:47BUFHitPatrick Kaleta
- P2 04:25TBLFaceoffJT Wyman
- P2 04:25—Stoppage—
- P2 04:00TBLHitDana Tyrell
- P2 03:49TBLShot on goalB.J. Crombeen0.7% xG
- P2 03:33TBLShot on goalSami Salo0.5% xG
- P2 03:32TBLHitDana Tyrell
- P2 03:00TBLHitSteven Stamkos
- P2 02:50—Takeaway—
- P2 02:38TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P2 02:38—Stoppage—
- P2 02:30TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P2 02:30—Stoppage—
- P2 02:20TBLBlocked shotKeith Aulie1.1% xG
- P2 01:59TBLShot on goalTeddy Purcell1.0% xG
- P2 01:39TBLFaceoffJT Wyman
- P2 01:39—Stoppage—
- P2 01:38TBLShot on goalRyan Malone2.4% xG
- P2 01:30TBLShot on goalRyan Malone0.6% xG
- P2 00:00TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
- P1 19:59TBLShot on goalMatt Carle0.6% xG
- P1 19:10BUFHitChristian Ehrhoff
- P1 18:54—Giveaway—
- P1 18:58BUFBlocked shotThomas Vanek1.1% xG
- P1 18:44TBLBlocked shotSami Salo1.5% xG
- P1 18:29TBLHitTom Pyatt
- P1 18:24BUFHitMike Weber
- P1 18:03—Giveaway—
- P1 17:57BUFBlocked shotCody Hodgson1.2% xG
- P1 17:16TBLFaceoffVincent Lecavalier
- P1 17:16—Stoppage—
- P1 17:03BUFFaceoffJochen Hecht
- P1 17:03—Stoppage—
- P1 16:27BUFHitSteve Ott
- P1 16:24BUFHitKevin Porter
- P1 16:15BUFBlocked shotSteve Ott3.0% xG
- P1 16:16BUFShot on goalSteve Ott1.5% xG
- P1 15:57—Takeaway—
- P1 15:48BUFMissed shotKevin Porter3.4% xG
- P1 15:38BUFBlocked shotMark Pysyk1.6% xG
- P1 15:29BUFMissed shotAndrej Sekera0.8% xG
- P1 15:19BUFFaceoffSteve Ott
- P1 15:19—Stoppage—
- P1 15:16BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford0.7% xG
- P1 15:02BUFBlocked shotChristian Ehrhoff2.3% xG
- P1 14:14BUFFaceoffCody Hodgson
- P1 14:14—Stoppage—
- P1 13:44TBLFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P1 13:44—Penalty—
- P1 13:25TBLHitRadko Gudas
- P1 13:08TBLShot on goalBenoit Pouliot3.6% xG
- P1 13:01—Giveaway—
- P1 13:03TBLMissed shotBenoit Pouliot1.0% xG
- P1 12:39BUFHitKevin Porter
- P1 11:43BUFFaceoffCody Hodgson
- P1 11:43—Stoppage—
- P1 11:41TBLHitMatt Carle
- P1 11:33TBLShot on goalAlex Killorn1.4% xG
- P1 10:36TBLShot on goalTeddy Purcell0.6% xG
- P1 10:30TBLFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P1 10:30—Stoppage—
- P1 10:29TBLBlocked shotSami Salo0.6% xG
- P1 10:19BUFBlocked shotBrian Flynn0.9% xG
- P1 09:33TBLMissed shotMartin St. Louis0.8% xG
- P1 09:10BUFShot on goalJohn Scott0.4% xG
- P1 09:00TBLHitRadko Gudas
- P1 08:33BUFFaceoffMarcus Foligno
- P1 08:33—Stoppage—
- P1 08:00BUFShot on goalMark Pysyk0.6% xG
- P1 07:46TBLFaceoffVincent Lecavalier
- P1 07:46—Stoppage—
- P1 07:44BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht1.6% xG
- P1 07:43—Giveaway—
- P1 07:11BUFBlocked shotBrian Flynn0.8% xG
- P1 06:33TBLMissed shotRadko Gudas0.6% xG
- P1 06:05TBLMissed shotRichard Panik0.7% xG
- P1 05:47TBLMissed shotMatt Carle0.5% xG
- P1 05:42TBLFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P1 05:41TBLShot on goalTom Pyatt1.9% xG
- P1 05:42—Stoppage—
- P1 05:40TBLShot on goalMatt Carle0.7% xG
- P1 05:28TBLFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P1 05:28—Stoppage—
- P1 05:27BUFBlocked shotSteve Ott1.4% xG
- P1 05:23—Giveaway—
- P1 05:18—Takeaway—
- P1 05:03BUFFaceoffSteve Ott
- P1 05:03—Stoppage—
- P1 05:02BUFBlocked shotPatrick Kaleta0.7% xG
- P1 04:48BUFMissed shotAdam Pardy0.6% xG
- P1 04:42BUFFaceoffJochen Hecht
- P1 04:42—Stoppage—
- P1 04:41BUFShot on goalJohn Scott0.5% xG
- P1 04:09BUFFaceoffMarcus Foligno
- P1 04:09BUFGoalTyler Ennis, Thomas Vanek, Christian Ehrhoff
- P1 03:56TBLFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P1 03:56—Penalty—
- P1 03:48—Giveaway—
- P1 03:18BUFShot on goalSteve Ott0.6% xG
- P1 02:35BUFFaceoffSteve Ott
- P1 02:35—Stoppage—
- P1 02:34BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford0.5% xG
- P1 02:31TBLHitDana Tyrell
- P1 02:21BUFHitMarcus Foligno
- P1 02:15—Giveaway—
- P1 02:02BUFFaceoffMarcus Foligno
- P1 02:02—Stoppage—
- P1 01:40—Takeaway—
- P1 01:18BUFShot on goalThomas Vanek0.9% xG
- P1 01:13TBLHitRichard Panik
- P1 01:06BUFHitAdam Pardy
- P1 00:57TBLShot on goalTeddy Purcell1.1% xG
- P1 00:54—Giveaway—
- P1 00:43BUFFaceoffCody Hodgson
- P1 00:43—Stoppage—
- P1 00:41—Takeaway—
- P1 00:24TBLFaceoffTom Pyatt
- P1 00:24—Stoppage—
- P1 00:18TBLBlocked shotSteven Stamkos1.5% xG
- P1 00:00TBLFaceoffSteven Stamkos
TBL vs BUF
Shot tracker
Every attempt with live expected goals
- P1 00:18TBLSteven Stamkos1.5%
- P1 00:57TBLTeddy Purcell1.1%
- P1 01:18BUFThomas Vanek0.9%
- P1 02:34BUFDrew Stafford0.5%
- P1 03:18BUFSteve Ott0.6%
- P1 04:09BUFTyler EnnisGOAL
- P1 04:41BUFJohn Scott0.5%
- P1 04:48BUFAdam Pardy0.6%
- P1 05:02BUFPatrick Kaleta0.7%
- P1 05:27BUFSteve Ott1.4%
- P1 05:40TBLMatt Carle0.7%
- P1 05:41TBLTom Pyatt1.9%
- P1 05:47TBLMatt Carle0.5%
- P1 06:05TBLRichard Panik0.7%
- P1 06:33TBLRadko Gudas0.6%
- P1 07:11BUFBrian Flynn0.8%
- P1 07:44BUFJochen Hecht1.6%
- P1 08:00BUFMark Pysyk0.6%
- P1 09:10BUFJohn Scott0.4%
- P1 09:33TBLMartin St. Louis0.8%
- P1 10:19BUFBrian Flynn0.9%
- P1 10:29TBLSami Salo0.6%
- P1 10:36TBLTeddy Purcell0.6%
- P1 11:33TBLAlex Killorn1.4%
- P1 13:03TBLBenoit Pouliot1.0%
- P1 13:08TBLBenoit Pouliot3.6%
- P1 15:02BUFChristian Ehrhoff2.3%
- P1 15:16BUFDrew Stafford0.7%
- P1 15:29BUFAndrej Sekera0.8%
- P1 15:38BUFMark Pysyk1.6%
- P1 15:48BUFKevin Porter3.4%
- P1 16:16BUFSteve Ott1.5%
- P1 16:15BUFSteve Ott3.0%
- P1 17:57BUFCody Hodgson1.2%
- P1 18:44TBLSami Salo1.5%
- P1 18:58BUFThomas Vanek1.1%
- P1 19:59TBLMatt Carle0.6%
- P2 01:30TBLRyan Malone0.6%
- P2 01:38TBLRyan Malone2.4%
- P2 01:59TBLTeddy Purcell1.0%
- P2 02:20TBLKeith Aulie1.1%
- P2 03:33TBLSami Salo0.5%
- P2 03:49TBLB.J. Crombeen0.7%
- P2 04:59TBLMatt Carle0.4%
- P2 05:47TBLMatt Carle0.6%
- P2 05:53BUFSteve Ott1.5%
- P2 05:56BUFSteve Ott3.3%
- P2 06:46TBLKeith Aulie0.4%
- P2 08:00BUFJochen HechtGOAL
- P2 09:13TBLMatt Carle0.4%
- P2 09:32TBLEric Brewer0.5%
- P2 11:33TBLMatt Carle0.6%
- P2 12:37BUFKevin PorterGOAL
- P2 12:48BUFChad Ruhwedel0.4%
- P2 13:06BUFChad Ruhwedel0.6%
- P2 13:30TBLBenoit PouliotGOAL
- P2 13:47BUFTyler Ennis0.6%
- P2 13:56BUFThomas Vanek1.2%
- P2 14:38TBLVictor Hedman0.7%
- P2 14:46TBLSteven Stamkos1.7%
- P2 15:02TBLRichard Panik1.4%
- P2 15:52TBLRichard Panik0.8%
- P2 16:24BUFJohn Scott1.6%
- P2 17:41TBLAlex Killorn0.7%
- P2 17:50TBLEric Brewer1.0%
- P2 17:56TBLSteven Stamkos3.3%
- P2 18:27TBLTeddy Purcell1.4%
- P2 18:36BUFBrian Flynn0.9%
- P2 19:35TBLVincent Lecavalier1.0%
- P3 02:07BUFChad Ruhwedel0.5%
- P3 02:43TBLB.J. Crombeen0.8%
- P3 03:27BUFSteve Ott0.7%
- P3 04:06TBLAlex Killorn0.6%
- P3 04:17BUFPatrick Kaleta0.6%
- P3 06:20TBLSami Salo0.5%
- P3 06:22TBLSteven Stamkos5.4%
- P3 07:41TBLVincent Lecavalier2.2%
- P3 09:26TBLDana Tyrell1.4%
- P3 09:52TBLVictor Hedman0.7%
- P3 10:02TBLB.J. Crombeen0.5%
- P3 10:36BUFBrian Flynn1.8%
- P3 11:48BUFNathan Gerbe0.6%
- P3 12:19TBLAlex Killorn1.2%
- P3 12:44BUFJohn Scott0.7%
- P3 13:10TBLEric Brewer1.2%
- P3 15:18TBLMatt Carle0.7%
- P3 15:36TBLVincent Lecavalier1.5%
- P3 15:43TBLVincent Lecavalier2.9%
- P3 16:18BUFJochen Hecht1.3%
- P3 16:58TBLMatt Carle0.7%
- P3 17:58TBLMatt Carle1.0%
- P3 18:35TBLRyan Malone4.9%
- P3 18:36TBLRyan Malone6.1%
- P3 19:00TBLSami Salo0.8%
- P3 19:34TBLRichard Panik3.3%