Forensic report
60 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
COL
- Goals
- 1
- xG (flurry)
- 0.20
- xG (raw)
- 0.20
- Deserve %
- 53.0%
- Finishing luck
- +0.80
SJS
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.18
- xG (raw)
- 0.18
- Deserve %
- 47.0%
- Finishing luck
- +2.82
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | W. Wolski | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18:28 | |
| 23 | M. Hejduk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 | |
| 11 | C. McCormick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10:01 | |
| 14 | I. Laperriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:36 | |
| 18 | B. Willsie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 15:46 | |
| 28 | B. Guite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12:55 | |
| 37 | T. Hensick | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 17:11 | |
| 39 | T. Arnason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | |
| 40 | M. Svatos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 07:03 | |
| 43 | T. Galiardi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:15 | |
| 55 | C. McLeod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:45 | |
| 94 | R. Smyth | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | S. Hannan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27:18 | |
| 3 | L. Nycholat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 02:11 | |
| 4 | J. Liles | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 24:05 | |
| 5 | B. Clark | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 5 | 25:10 | |
| 24 | R. Salei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27:00 | |
| 41 | M. Vernace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Raycroft | 27 | 2 | 92.6% | 58:55 | L |
| P. Budaj | NaN% | — |
Shot map
60 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:38SJSGoalDevin Setoguchi, Milan Michalek, Marc-Edouard Vlasic
- P3 19:16COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
- P3 18:31COLShot on goalScott Hannan
- P3 16:15COLShot on goalCody McLeod
- P3 15:25COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
- P3 15:02COLShot on goalScott Hannan
- P3 13:49SJSShot on goalJamie McGinn
- P3 12:55COLShot on goalBen Guite
- P3 12:11COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
- P3 11:50COLShot on goalCody McLeod
- P3 10:41COLShot on goalRuslan Salei
- P3 10:15SJSShot on goalDan Boyle
- P3 09:47SJSShot on goalChristian Ehrhoff
- P3 09:32SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
- P3 08:30—Penalty—
- P3 08:13SJSShot on goalPatrick Marleau
- P3 06:06COLShot on goalCody McCormick
- P3 04:56SJSShot on goalChristian Ehrhoff
- P3 04:47SJSShot on goalJoe Thornton
- P3 04:32COLShot on goalCody McCormick
- P3 03:19SJSShot on goalJody Shelley
- P3 02:26COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
- P3 02:13SJSShot on goalJamie McGinn
- P3 01:56COLShot on goalBrian Willsie
- P3 01:55COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
- P3 01:06COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
- P3 01:06COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
- P3 00:47COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
- P2 19:36COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
- P2 19:25SJSGoalMilan Michalek, Alexei Semenov, Joe Pavelski
- P2 18:50SJSShot on goalTravis Moen
- P2 15:55SJSShot on goalChristian Ehrhoff
- P2 15:47SJSShot on goalRyan Vesce
- P2 15:34SJSShot on goalDan Boyle
- P2 14:18—Penalty—
- P2 14:18—Penalty—
- P2 14:18COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
- P2 13:55COLShot on goalMike Vernace
- P2 13:21SJSShot on goalDan Boyle
- P2 12:56COLShot on goalCody McLeod
- P2 12:17SJSShot on goalBrad Staubitz
- P2 11:52SJSShot on goalRyan Vesce
- P2 11:24COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
- P2 11:13COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
- P2 11:04COLGoalScott Hannan, Wojtek Wolski, Milan Hejduk
- P2 09:25SJSGoalJamie McGinn, Alexei Semenov, Marc-Edouard Vlasic
- P2 08:51SJSShot on goalDan Boyle
- P2 07:27—Penalty—
- P2 03:31SJSShot on goalJoe Pavelski
- P2 00:42SJSShot on goalBrad Lukowich
- P2 00:22SJSShot on goalBrad Lukowich
- P1 18:36SJSShot on goalTom Cavanagh
- P1 18:35SJSShot on goalRyan Vesce
- P1 15:37COLShot on goalRuslan Salei
- P1 13:34COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
- P1 13:02—Penalty—
- P1 13:02—Penalty—
- P1 12:24COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
- P1 10:34COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
- P1 09:57COLShot on goalBrett Clark
- P1 09:40COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
- P1 08:41—Penalty—
- P1 06:32COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
- P1 06:13COLShot on goalBrian Willsie
- P1 05:58SJSShot on goalDan Boyle
- P1 05:16SJSShot on goalJonathan Cheechoo
- P1 00:13SJSShot on goalMarc-Edouard Vlasic
COL vs SJS · 67 events