ForensicHockey

Forensic report

51 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: COL

EDM

Goals
8
xG (flurry)
0.17
xG (raw)
0.17
Deserve %
48.1%
Finishing luck
+7.83

COL

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.18
xG (raw)
0.18
Deserve %
51.9%
Finishing luck
+0.82

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
89S. Gagner31430014:23
21A. Kotalik13432011:10
12R. Nilsson03330112:24
27D. Penner02220217:20
10S. Horcoff101-10017:22
18E. Moreau10120016:16
34F. Pisani10111016:39
19P. O'Sullivan011-10014:16
51K. Brodziak01120216:05
85L. Reddox01110013:18
13A. Cogliano00012110:49
83A. Hemsky000-10215:05

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
44S. Souray11220121:58
77T. Gilbert02210218:26
24S. Staios01120117:47
5L. Smid00020017:51
37D. Grebeshkov00012224:41
43J. Strudwick00023218:14

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
D. Roloson27196.3%59:56W
J. DeslauriersNaN%

Shot map

51 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 17:42Penalty
  • P3 17:42Penalty
  • P3 17:42Penalty
  • P3 17:28COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P3 17:20EDMGoalSam Gagner, Robert Nilsson, Ales Kotalik
  • P3 16:43EDMGoalSheldon Souray, Steve Staios, Dustin Penner
  • P3 16:16COLShot on goalCody McCormick
  • P3 15:56COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 15:47COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P3 15:20COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P3 13:54COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 12:31EDMGoalSam Gagner, Ales Kotalik, Sheldon Souray
  • P3 11:30Penalty
  • P3 11:24COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P3 11:23COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P3 10:27COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P3 09:22EDMGoalAles Kotalik, Sam Gagner, Robert Nilsson
  • P3 07:52COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P3 07:47COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P3 07:23COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P3 06:19EDMShot on goalDenis Grebeshkov
  • P3 06:18COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 06:04Penalty
  • P3 05:07COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P3 04:28EDMShot on goalFernando Pisani
  • P3 03:44COLShot on goalTJ Galiardi
  • P3 03:22EDMShot on goalPatrick O'Sullivan
  • P3 02:17EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P3 00:13COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P2 18:25EDMShot on goalPatrick O'Sullivan
  • P2 15:39EDMGoalSam Gagner, Robert Nilsson, Ales Kotalik
  • P2 14:35EDMGoalFernando Pisani, Liam Reddox, Tom Gilbert
  • P2 12:22EDMShot on goalAles Kotalik
  • P2 08:20COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P2 07:45COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P2 05:43COLShot on goalDerek Peltier
  • P2 03:11Penalty
  • P2 02:15COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 19:08Penalty
  • P1 18:24COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P1 16:49COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 15:19COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P1 14:55EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P1 14:33EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P1 13:11EDMShot on goalAles Kotalik
  • P1 11:05EDMShot on goalShawn Horcoff
  • P1 09:46Penalty
  • P1 09:38EDMGoalShawn Horcoff, Patrick O'Sullivan, Tom Gilbert
  • P1 08:28EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P1 08:15EDMShot on goalDenis Grebeshkov
  • P1 07:51Penalty
  • P1 06:28COLGoalCody McLeod, Ian Laperriere, Ben Guite
  • P1 06:24COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P1 04:18Penalty
  • P1 04:15COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P1 04:02EDMGoalEthan Moreau, Kyle Brodziak, Dustin Penner
  • P1 04:00EDMShot on goalEthan Moreau
  • P1 03:44EDMShot on goalEthan Moreau
  • P1 02:14EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P1 00:56COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P1 00:46EDMShot on goalShawn Horcoff

EDM vs COL · 61 events