ForensicHockey

Forensic report

61 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: MIN

COL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.21
xG (raw)
0.21
Deserve %
49.5%
Finishing luck
+1.79

MIN

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.21
xG (raw)
0.21
Deserve %
50.5%
Finishing luck
+2.79

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
55C. McLeod10112015:23
94R. Smyth10100122:04
8W. Wolski01100123:14
28B. Guite01112116:14
11C. McCormick000-10007:17
14I. Laperriere00010116:12
23M. Hejduk00000120:30
26P. Stastny00000218:53
37T. Hensick000-10007:58
39T. Arnason00000014:36
40M. Svatos00001114:55
42C. Stewart000-12008:18

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
3L. Nycholat000-10018:01
4J. Liles00001328:07
5B. Clark000-10327:30
22S. Hannan00001731:47
41M. Vernace00012311:51
50D. Peltier00011111:10

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
A. RaycroftNaN%
P. Budaj29293.1%65:00O

Shot map

61 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P5 00:00MINGoalMarek Zidlicky, Peter Budaj
  • P5 00:00COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P5 00:00MINShot on goalPierre-Marc Bouchard
  • P5 00:00COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P5 00:00MINGoalMikko Koivu, Peter Budaj
  • P5 00:00COLGoalWojtek Wolski, Niklas Backstrom
  • P4 04:47COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P4 03:07MINShot on goalJames Sheppard
  • P3 19:01COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P3 18:14MINGoalNick Schultz, Dan Fritsche, Eric Belanger
  • P3 16:09COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 14:42COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P3 14:29MINShot on goalPierre-Marc Bouchard
  • P3 12:02Penalty
  • P3 09:59MINShot on goalOwen Nolan
  • P3 07:12MINShot on goalMarc-Andre Bergeron
  • P3 07:04MINShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P3 05:53MINShot on goalPierre-Marc Bouchard
  • P3 05:51MINShot on goalMartin Skoula
  • P3 02:13MINShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P3 01:34COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 01:06MINShot on goalOwen Nolan
  • P2 17:09MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P2 16:31Penalty
  • P2 15:51MINShot on goalMarc-Andre Bergeron
  • P2 15:45MINShot on goalCal Clutterbuck
  • P2 14:39MINShot on goalDerek Boogaard
  • P2 13:51COLGoalRyan Smyth, Wojtek Wolski
  • P2 13:01MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P2 11:27MINShot on goalAndrew Brunette
  • P2 11:05MINGoalStephane Veilleux, Martin Skoula, Eric Belanger
  • P2 10:29MINShot on goalMartin Skoula
  • P2 09:21COLGoalCody McLeod, Ben Guite
  • P2 09:14COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P2 09:13COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P2 08:26MINShot on goalMarek Zidlicky
  • P2 07:33COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P2 05:37COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P2 05:27COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P2 04:09COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P2 03:53Penalty
  • P2 03:52COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P2 01:04COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P2 00:53COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P2 00:16COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P1 19:57COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 19:05COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P1 16:53COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 14:54COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P1 12:34MINShot on goalEric Belanger
  • P1 12:30MINShot on goalPierre-Marc Bouchard
  • P1 12:01MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P1 11:59MINShot on goalMikko Koivu
  • P1 11:04Penalty
  • P1 11:00COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P1 10:57COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P1 10:08COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P1 09:57MINShot on goalCal Clutterbuck
  • P1 08:51MINShot on goalMartin Skoula
  • P1 04:26MINShot on goalNick Schultz
  • P1 01:33MINShot on goalPierre-Marc Bouchard
  • P1 01:24COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 01:22COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 00:57MINShot on goalOwen Nolan
  • P1 00:31MINShot on goalDerek Boogaard

COL vs MIN · 65 events