ForensicHockey

Forensic report

43 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: VAN

COL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.13
xG (raw)
0.13
Deserve %
47.0%
Finishing luck
+1.87

VAN

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.15
xG (raw)
0.15
Deserve %
53.0%
Finishing luck
+3.85

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
16D. Tucker10111015:19
94R. Smyth101-11023:34
8W. Wolski000-10020:04
14I. Laperriere00010014:27
18B. Willsie00000007:07
23M. Hejduk000-21021:35
26P. Stastny000-20019:58
28B. Guite00010013:02
37T. Hensick00000011:04
40M. Svatos00001014:11
42C. Stewart000-10010:44
55C. McLeod00001008:31

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
4J. Liles022-10223:37
22S. Hannan01101123:00
24R. Salei01101224:20
3L. Nycholat00000011:18
5B. Clark00000222:50
29D. Tjarnqvist00001110:29

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
A. Raycroft23482.6%59:01L
P. BudajNaN%

Shot map

43 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:47Penalty
  • P3 19:47Penalty
  • P3 19:47Penalty
  • P3 19:47COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P3 19:26COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P3 18:47VANGoalAlexander Edler, Ryan Kesler, Mattias Ohlund
  • P3 17:39Penalty
  • P3 15:44VANShot on goalRyan Kesler
  • P3 14:29VANShot on goalRyan Johnson
  • P3 14:12COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P3 12:45VANShot on goalAlexandre Burrows
  • P3 11:34COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 08:40VANShot on goalMats Sundin
  • P3 08:04VANShot on goalShane O'Brien
  • P3 03:57VANShot on goalPavol Demitra
  • P3 03:40COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P3 02:06COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 01:23COLShot on goalPaul Stastny
  • P3 01:20COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 01:05Penalty
  • P3 01:03COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P3 00:36VANShot on goalDaniel Sedin
  • P3 00:14COLGoalDarcy Tucker, Scott Hannan, John-Michael Liles
  • P2 17:22COLShot on goalLawrence Nycholat
  • P2 17:13COLShot on goalBrian Willsie
  • P2 14:54COLShot on goalChris Stewart
  • P2 14:15Penalty
  • P2 14:12VANShot on goalDaniel Sedin
  • P2 12:18Penalty
  • P2 12:08VANShot on goalHenrik Sedin
  • P2 10:23VANShot on goalSteve Bernier
  • P2 08:19VANShot on goalRyan Johnson
  • P2 05:58VANShot on goalMats Sundin
  • P2 05:54VANShot on goalSami Salo
  • P2 04:36COLGoalRyan Smyth, Ruslan Salei, John-Michael Liles
  • P2 03:54Penalty
  • P2 02:09Penalty
  • P2 01:45COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P1 19:43VANShot on goalMattias Ohlund
  • P1 19:35VANShot on goalSteve Bernier
  • P1 19:07VANShot on goalAlexandre Burrows
  • P1 16:35COLShot on goalBrian Willsie
  • P1 15:18VANGoalTaylor Pyatt, Alexandre Burrows, Ryan Johnson
  • P1 13:16Penalty
  • P1 10:15COLShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P1 09:44COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P1 08:29VANShot on goalHenrik Sedin
  • P1 07:25VANGoalAlexandre Burrows, Ryan Kesler
  • P1 07:23VANShot on goalAlexandre Burrows
  • P1 07:05Penalty
  • P1 06:45COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P1 04:07Penalty
  • P1 03:18VANShot on goalDarcy Hordichuk
  • P1 02:50VANGoalKyle Wellwood, Ryan Kesler, Pavol Demitra
  • P1 02:22Penalty
  • P1 01:28COLShot on goalRyan Smyth

COL vs VAN · 56 events