ForensicHockey

Forensic report

50 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: COL

COL

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
56.2%
Finishing luck
+2.81

EDM

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.15
xG (raw)
0.15
Deserve %
43.8%
Finishing luck
+1.85

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
16D. Tucker10100014:12
26P. Stastny101-10219:24
8W. Wolski01101219:08
40M. Svatos011-10015:44
42C. Stewart01100112:13
14I. Laperriere00001116:48
18B. Willsie00001011:28
23M. Hejduk000-20018:58
28B. Guite00001016:39
39T. Arnason00000008:29
55C. McLeod00002010:01
94R. Smyth00001118:24

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
4J. Liles12310121:39
22S. Hannan01100325:45
3L. Nycholat00000004:33
5B. Clark000-20423:38
24R. Salei00001221:35
29D. Tjarnqvist000-10020:10

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
A. RaycroftNaN%
P. Budaj20290.0%60:42W

Shot map

50 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P4 00:42COLGoalJohn-Michael Liles, Marek Svatos, Scott Hannan
  • P4 00:39COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P3 19:35COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P3 17:57COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P3 15:57EDMShot on goalFernando Pisani
  • P3 15:21COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 15:06COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P3 14:50Penalty
  • P3 14:49EDMShot on goalFernando Pisani
  • P3 14:40EDMGoalSheldon Souray, Kyle Brodziak, Steve Staios
  • P3 14:18EDMShot on goalShawn Horcoff
  • P3 12:00EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P3 11:02Penalty
  • P3 09:31COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P3 09:09EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 08:32COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P3 07:03EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P3 06:15COLShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P3 04:33COLShot on goalBen Guite
  • P3 04:20COLGoalPaul Stastny, John-Michael Liles, Wojtek Wolski
  • P3 03:42Penalty
  • P3 03:01COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P3 02:50COLShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P3 01:30EDMShot on goalSteve Staios
  • P2 15:46EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P2 15:12EDMShot on goalPatrick O'Sullivan
  • P2 14:47Penalty
  • P2 14:43COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P2 13:25COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P2 13:17COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P2 11:31EDMShot on goalTom Gilbert
  • P2 11:16COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P2 11:06COLShot on goalIan Laperriere
  • P2 08:59Penalty
  • P2 04:33EDMShot on goalPatrick O'Sullivan
  • P2 04:09EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P2 03:55COLShot on goalRyan Smyth
  • P2 01:43COLShot on goalDaniel Tjarnqvist
  • P2 01:35COLShot on goalScott Hannan
  • P2 00:27COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 19:21COLShot on goalChris Stewart
  • P1 18:12COLShot on goalBrian Willsie
  • P1 16:08COLShot on goalChris Stewart
  • P1 15:02COLGoalDarcy Tucker, Chris Stewart, John-Michael Liles
  • P1 13:19Penalty
  • P1 12:00EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P1 11:10COLShot on goalBrett Clark
  • P1 08:57COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P1 08:09COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 06:34Penalty
  • P1 06:34Penalty
  • P1 06:29EDMShot on goalAles Kotalik
  • P1 05:06EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P1 04:11COLShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P1 03:09EDMGoalRobert Nilsson, Sam Gagner, Sheldon Souray
  • P1 03:08EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P1 02:50EDMShot on goalSheldon Souray
  • P1 00:54EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky

COL vs EDM · 58 events