ForensicHockey

Forensic report

64 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: CAR

NYR

Goals
0
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
40.4%
Finishing luck
-0.19

CAR

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.28
xG (raw)
0.28
Deserve %
59.6%
Finishing luck
+2.72

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
13N. Zherdev000-10017:03
15B. Betts00001107:32
16S. Avery000-13015:29
17B. Dubinsky000-23220:12
19S. Gomez000-11019:10
20F. Sjostrom00003107:48
23C. Drury000-12120:02
24R. Callahan00005015:06
28C. Orr00001004:10
29L. Korpikoski00002011:21
80N. Antropov00004115:56
91M. Naslund00000114:51

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
5D. Girardi000-12122:16
6W. Redden000-22120:39
18M. Staal00001122:08
27P. Mara00000017:37
33M. Rozsival000-10320:25
53D. Morris00000017:19

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
H. LundqvistNaN%
S. Valiquette35294.3%57:37L

Shot map

64 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:59NYRShot on goalLauri Korpikoski
  • P3 19:35CARGoalTuomo Ruutu, Erik Cole, Anton Babchuk
  • P3 18:35NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
  • P3 17:52NYRShot on goalSean Avery
  • P3 16:49NYRShot on goalSean Avery
  • P3 16:26NYRShot on goalDerek Morris
  • P3 13:50NYRShot on goalLauri Korpikoski
  • P3 13:41CARShot on goalChad LaRose
  • P3 13:10CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
  • P3 12:08CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
  • P3 12:07CARShot on goalAnton Babchuk
  • P3 11:37CARShot on goalRay Whitney
  • P3 10:39CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P3 07:35NYRShot on goalNik Antropov
  • P3 07:10Penalty
  • P3 05:36CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P3 05:20NYRShot on goalMarkus Naslund
  • P3 04:57CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P3 04:15CARShot on goalDwight Helminen
  • P3 03:41CARGoalRod Brind'Amour, Ray Whitney, Sergei Samsonov
  • P3 03:37CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
  • P3 02:23Penalty
  • P3 00:46CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P3 00:17CARShot on goalChad LaRose
  • P2 19:41NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P2 19:21CARShot on goalErik Cole
  • P2 19:18CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P2 18:41NYRShot on goalLauri Korpikoski
  • P2 18:01NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
  • P2 16:36CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P2 16:33CARShot on goalPatrick Eaves
  • P2 15:49NYRShot on goalFredrik Sjostrom
  • P2 15:26NYRShot on goalDan Girardi
  • P2 13:37CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P2 13:24NYRShot on goalMarc Staal
  • P2 12:53Penalty
  • P2 12:37Penalty
  • P2 12:00CARShot on goalAnton Babchuk
  • P2 10:46CARShot on goalMichael Ryan
  • P2 10:07CARShot on goalRod Brind'Amour
  • P2 09:01CARGoalJoe Corvo, Matt Cullen, Ray Whitney
  • P2 09:00CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
  • P2 08:45NYRShot on goalMichal Rozsival
  • P2 07:40Penalty
  • P2 07:40Penalty
  • P2 07:35NYRShot on goalSean Avery
  • P2 06:17CARShot on goalTim Gleason
  • P2 04:37CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
  • P2 03:41CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P2 03:26Penalty
  • P2 02:50NYRShot on goalWade Redden
  • P2 02:25NYRShot on goalMichal Rozsival
  • P2 01:53NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
  • P2 01:29Penalty
  • P2 00:45NYRShot on goalPaul Mara
  • P2 00:38NYRShot on goalWade Redden
  • P1 19:13Penalty
  • P1 18:34CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
  • P1 18:32CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P1 15:39Penalty
  • P1 14:15NYRShot on goalChris Drury
  • P1 13:45NYRShot on goalMarkus Naslund
  • P1 12:17CARShot on goalEric Staal
  • P1 12:15CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
  • P1 10:53Penalty
  • P1 08:32NYRShot on goalRyan Callahan
  • P1 07:47CARShot on goalJoni Pitkanen
  • P1 06:14CARShot on goalRay Whitney
  • P1 05:58CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
  • P1 05:01CARShot on goalErik Cole
  • P1 04:51Penalty
  • P1 04:49CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
  • P1 03:21NYRShot on goalChris Drury
  • P1 03:18NYRShot on goalDan Girardi
  • P1 00:55NYRShot on goalWade Redden
  • P1 00:53NYRShot on goalScott Gomez

NYR vs CAR · 76 events