ForensicHockey

Forensic report

58 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: BUF

ANA

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.14
xG (raw)
0.14
Deserve %
38.4%
Finishing luck
+2.86

BUF

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.22
xG (raw)
0.22
Deserve %
61.6%
Finishing luck
+1.78

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
22T. Marchant11222016:15
8T. Selanne10110014:55
13M. Brown10112013:04
7B. Morrison01110110:51
14C. Kunitz01110022:16
10C. Perry00001021:26
15R. Getzlaf000-11122:54
16G. Parros00001006:21
20R. Carter000-11006:47
44R. Niedermayer00000011:09
48A. Ebbett00011012:33
54B. Ryan00010012:08

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
27S. Niedermayer01120128:02
3B. Hedican00003119:05
5S. Montador000-12116:54
21S. Brookbank00000014:56
25C. Pronger00021229:21
60B. Mikkelson00001011:43

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
J. HillerNaN%
J. Giguere36294.4%60:00W

Shot map

58 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:45Penalty
  • P3 18:54BUFGoalAles Kotalik, Craig Rivet, Jochen Hecht
  • P3 17:34Penalty
  • P3 16:13BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
  • P3 15:49ANAShot on goalChris Kunitz
  • P3 15:15ANAShot on goalMike Brown
  • P3 15:02BUFShot on goalAndrej Sekera
  • P3 12:46BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
  • P3 12:40BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
  • P3 12:00ANAShot on goalChris Pronger
  • P3 10:16ANAShot on goalMike Brown
  • P3 08:20BUFShot on goalDerek Roy
  • P3 06:15BUFShot on goalDerek Roy
  • P3 04:48BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
  • P3 02:15BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
  • P3 01:38ANAShot on goalTeemu Selanne
  • P2 19:55BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
  • P2 19:51BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
  • P2 19:23BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
  • P2 18:54ANAGoalMike Brown, Brendan Morrison, Todd Marchant
  • P2 18:00ANAShot on goalBret Hedican
  • P2 17:40ANAShot on goalTeemu Selanne
  • P2 16:05Penalty
  • P2 15:45ANAShot on goalBrendan Morrison
  • P2 15:40ANAShot on goalTodd Marchant
  • P2 14:19BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
  • P2 14:06ANAShot on goalAndrew Ebbett
  • P2 12:12BUFShot on goalAles Kotalik
  • P2 11:34ANAGoalTodd Marchant, Scott Niedermayer, Chris Kunitz
  • P2 11:06Penalty
  • P2 11:05ANAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P2 10:17BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
  • P2 10:10ANAShot on goalChris Pronger
  • P2 10:03ANAShot on goalScott Niedermayer
  • P2 09:51ANAShot on goalTeemu Selanne
  • P2 09:02Penalty
  • P2 08:56BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
  • P2 07:47ANAShot on goalGeorge Parros
  • P2 07:36ANAShot on goalBrendan Mikkelson
  • P2 05:55BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
  • P2 05:12BUFShot on goalMatt Ellis
  • P2 04:57BUFShot on goalCraig Rivet
  • P2 04:17BUFShot on goalCraig Rivet
  • P2 03:57BUFShot on goalAles Kotalik
  • P2 03:18BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford
  • P2 02:26Penalty
  • P2 00:47BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
  • P2 00:25BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
  • P1 20:00Penalty
  • P1 20:00Penalty
  • P1 19:35BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
  • P1 18:23BUFShot on goalToni Lydman
  • P1 18:03Penalty
  • P1 18:03Penalty
  • P1 17:56BUFShot on goalDaniel Paille
  • P1 17:43BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
  • P1 15:43ANAShot on goalChris Pronger
  • P1 14:50ANAShot on goalCorey Perry
  • P1 14:32BUFShot on goalAles Kotalik
  • P1 11:10BUFGoalPaul Gaustad, Ales Kotalik, Jason Pominville
  • P1 09:09Penalty
  • P1 08:29BUFShot on goalPatrick Kaleta
  • P1 07:52BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
  • P1 07:19BUFShot on goalAles Kotalik
  • P1 06:06BUFShot on goalAdam Mair
  • P1 05:06ANAShot on goalChris Kunitz
  • P1 03:18Penalty
  • P1 03:18Penalty
  • P1 01:10ANAGoalTeemu Selanne
  • P1 00:34BUFShot on goalToni Lydman
  • P1 00:29BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht

ANA vs BUF · 71 events