Forensic report
66 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
NYR
- Goals
- 2
- xG (flurry)
- 0.22
- xG (raw)
- 0.22
- Deserve %
- 51.0%
- Finishing luck
- +1.78
BUF
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.21
- xG (raw)
- 0.22
- Deserve %
- 49.0%
- Finishing luck
- +3.79
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | N. Dawes | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 17:43 | |
| 91 | M. Naslund | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 20:29 | |
| 13 | N. Zherdev | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:13 | |
| 19 | S. Gomez | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:32 | |
| 23 | C. Drury | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 21:37 | |
| 15 | B. Betts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 08:33 | |
| 17 | B. Dubinsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0 | 15:28 | |
| 20 | F. Sjostrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 08:07 | |
| 24 | R. Callahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 18:23 | |
| 25 | P. Prucha | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 | |
| 28 | C. Orr | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 04:32 | |
| 29 | L. Korpikoski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11:31 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | D. Kalinin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | |
| 3 | M. Rozsival | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 22:46 | |
| 4 | E. Reitz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 08:51 | |
| 5 | D. Girardi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 23:59 | |
| 6 | W. Redden | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 25:21 | |
| 18 | M. Staal | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 23:35 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Lundqvist | 33 | 4 | 87.9% | 58:57 | L |
| S. Valiquette | NaN% | — |
Shot map
66 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 18:38BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
- P3 17:08NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
- P3 17:01NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
- P3 16:43BUFShot on goalHenrik Tallinder
- P3 15:17NYRGoalNigel Dawes, Nikolay Zherdev, Dmitri Kalinin
- P3 14:42NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
- P3 14:27BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford
- P3 13:41BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
- P3 13:12BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
- P3 11:53BUFGoalJochen Hecht, Tim Connolly, Henrik Tallinder
- P3 10:53NYRShot on goalLauri Korpikoski
- P3 10:49NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
- P3 10:13NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
- P3 09:57NYRShot on goalWade Redden
- P3 09:01NYRShot on goalMichal Rozsival
- P3 08:37NYRShot on goalMichal Rozsival
- P3 08:31NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
- P3 05:58—Penalty—
- P3 05:09BUFShot on goalCraig Rivet
- P3 03:21NYRShot on goalPetr Prucha
- P3 02:22NYRGoalMarkus Naslund, Scott Gomez, Chris Drury
- P3 01:34BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
- P3 01:21NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
- P3 01:10NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
- P3 01:04—Penalty—
- P3 00:32NYRShot on goalMarkus Naslund
- P2 19:59NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
- P2 19:57NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
- P2 19:34NYRShot on goalMarkus Naslund
- P2 18:24NYRShot on goalPetr Prucha
- P2 17:15NYRShot on goalLauri Korpikoski
- P2 16:46NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
- P2 16:00BUFShot on goalMatt Ellis
- P2 14:12NYRShot on goalFredrik Sjostrom
- P2 13:53—Penalty—
- P2 13:42BUFGoalDerek Roy, Paul Gaustad, Craig Rivet
- P2 13:40BUFShot on goalCraig Rivet
- P2 13:24BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford
- P2 12:42—Penalty—
- P2 12:42BUFShot on goalDaniel Paille
- P2 10:36BUFShot on goalClarke MacArthur
- P2 08:29NYRShot on goalChris Drury
- P2 08:16BUFShot on goalCraig Rivet
- P2 07:41NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
- P2 06:10—Penalty—
- P2 05:58BUFShot on goalDerek Roy
- P2 05:46BUFShot on goalClarke MacArthur
- P2 05:30NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
- P2 04:02BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
- P2 01:39BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
- P2 01:08BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
- P1 18:40BUFGoalAndrej Sekera, Derek Roy, Jaroslav Spacek
- P1 16:47BUFShot on goalMatt Ellis
- P1 16:18BUFShot on goalDaniel Paille
- P1 15:50BUFGoalDaniel Paille, Derek Roy, Chris Butler
- P1 15:27BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
- P1 13:58BUFShot on goalHenrik Tallinder
- P1 13:52NYRShot on goalColton Orr
- P1 12:31NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
- P1 11:56BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford
- P1 09:00—Penalty—
- P1 08:11BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
- P1 08:05BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
- P1 07:02BUFShot on goalAles Kotalik
- P1 05:50NYRShot on goalNikolay Zherdev
- P1 05:39BUFShot on goalDrew Stafford
- P1 04:30BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
- P1 03:37NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
- P1 03:25NYRShot on goalRyan Callahan
- P1 02:50NYRShot on goalPetr Prucha
- P1 02:46NYRShot on goalPetr Prucha
- P1 01:44BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
NYR vs BUF · 72 events