ForensicHockey

Forensic report

56 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: COL

PIT

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.16
xG (raw)
0.16
Deserve %
43.0%
Finishing luck
+2.84

COL

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.22
xG (raw)
0.22
Deserve %
57.0%
Finishing luck
+4.78

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
71E. Malkin112-11123:39
87S. Crosby11200022:00
11J. Staal10102020:33
17P. Sykora000-10019:17
24M. Cooke000-23115:10
25M. Talbot00000019:03
28E. Godard00000002:47
32C. Minard00002009:39
42D. Jeffrey000-13011:05
48T. Kennedy000-20014:32
63T. Wallace00002007:03
81M. Satan00000014:52

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
44B. Orpik022-12222:33
2H. Gill000-20114:12
4R. Scuderi00011517:29
19R. Whitney000-10227:10
43P. Boucher000-23119:11
58K. Letang00010219:25

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
M. Fleury7185.7%18:41
D. Sabourin25484.0%40:00L

Shot map

56 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:16PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P3 18:35PITShot on goalJordan Staal
  • P3 18:03PITShot on goalBrooks Orpik
  • P3 17:14COLShot on goalMilan Hejduk
  • P3 12:37PITShot on goalMiroslav Satan
  • P3 08:28COLGoalDavid Jones, Tyler Arnason, Marek Svatos
  • P3 08:27COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P3 08:27COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P3 07:37PITGoalJordan Staal
  • P3 06:49Penalty
  • P3 06:40COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P3 04:12COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P3 03:49PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P3 01:49COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P3 00:46PITShot on goalDustin Jeffrey
  • P2 18:24COLShot on goalChris Stewart
  • P2 17:39PITShot on goalRyan Whitney
  • P2 17:04PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P2 16:16COLShot on goalDaniel Tjarnqvist
  • P2 15:58PITShot on goalMiroslav Satan
  • P2 15:48COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P2 14:39COLGoalCody McLeod, Jordan Leopold, David Jones
  • P2 12:13COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P2 10:53PITShot on goalJordan Staal
  • P2 10:33COLGoalWojtek Wolski, Ryan Smyth
  • P2 08:57PITShot on goalTyler Kennedy
  • P2 08:44PITGoalSidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Brooks Orpik
  • P2 05:55PITShot on goalPhilippe Boucher
  • P2 05:52PITShot on goalDustin Jeffrey
  • P2 05:13PITShot on goalTyler Kennedy
  • P2 04:09COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P2 02:06COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P2 02:06COLGoalDavid Jones, John-Michael Liles, Cody McLeod
  • P2 00:12COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P1 19:37COLShot on goalDavid Jones
  • P1 17:58PITShot on goalKris Letang
  • P1 17:46COLShot on goalPhilippe Dupuis
  • P1 17:28COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 16:10PITShot on goalDustin Jeffrey
  • P1 15:41PITGoalEvgeni Malkin, Sidney Crosby, Brooks Orpik
  • P1 13:49Penalty
  • P1 13:01COLShot on goalDavid Jones
  • P1 12:47COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 11:47COLShot on goalBrian Willsie
  • P1 10:44COLGoalRyan Smyth, Wojtek Wolski, Milan Hejduk
  • P1 10:24PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P1 07:58COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 07:26COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles
  • P1 06:02COLShot on goalCody McLeod
  • P1 05:04COLShot on goalT.J. Hensick
  • P1 04:53PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P1 04:14COLShot on goalWojtek Wolski
  • P1 03:05COLShot on goalTyler Arnason
  • P1 02:01PITShot on goalPhilippe Boucher
  • P1 01:57PITShot on goalMax Talbot
  • P1 01:45COLShot on goalMarek Svatos
  • P1 01:11PITShot on goalRyan Whitney
  • P1 00:36COLShot on goalJohn-Michael Liles

PIT vs COL · 58 events