ForensicHockey

Forensic report

59 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: PIT

NYR

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.18
xG (raw)
0.18
Deserve %
44.5%
Finishing luck
+3.82

PIT

Goals
5
xG (flurry)
0.23
xG (raw)
0.23
Deserve %
55.5%
Finishing luck
+4.77

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
68J. Jagr022-10018:46
16S. Avery101-12012:38
19S. Gomez10100020:30
23C. Drury10111117:29
82M. Straka101-12018:42
10N. Dawes01112011:00
14B. Shanahan000-10015:54
15B. Betts00000007:28
17B. Dubinsky000-23018:04
20F. Sjostrom00003008:10
24R. Callahan00016016:44
28C. Orr00002005:48

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
3M. Rozsival03312323:37
18M. Staal02223222:33
5D. Girardi000-26221:20
27P. Mara000-12015:17
51F. Tyutin000-22120:16
55C. Backman00001117:03

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
H. Lundqvist26580.8%59:02L
S. ValiquetteNaN%

Shot map

59 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 20:00Penalty
  • P3 18:19PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P3 18:19PITGoalEvgeni Malkin, Sidney Crosby, Ryan Whitney
  • P3 17:07PITShot on goalMarian Hossa
  • P3 16:40Penalty
  • P3 16:22NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P3 13:46NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
  • P3 11:40NYRShot on goalMarc Staal
  • P3 11:28NYRShot on goalBlair Betts
  • P3 10:49NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
  • P3 10:25PITShot on goalSidney Crosby
  • P3 10:23PITShot on goalHal Gill
  • P3 10:04NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
  • P3 10:04NYRGoalScott Gomez, Jaromir Jagr, Michal Rozsival
  • P3 09:14PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P3 08:51NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
  • P3 07:05NYRShot on goalFredrik Sjostrom
  • P3 05:00PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P3 05:00PITGoalPetr Sykora, Evgeni Malkin, Ryan Malone
  • P3 04:40PITShot on goalMarian Hossa
  • P3 04:40PITGoalMarian Hossa, Rob Scuderi, Ryan Malone
  • P3 04:28PITShot on goalMarian Hossa
  • P2 19:39NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P2 19:25NYRShot on goalFedor Tyutin
  • P2 18:51PITShot on goalJarkko Ruutu
  • P2 15:55Penalty
  • P2 14:56NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
  • P2 14:27PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P2 14:11PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P2 12:59NYRShot on goalChristian Backman
  • P2 12:13NYRShot on goalChris Drury
  • P2 12:08NYRShot on goalBrendan Shanahan
  • P2 11:09Penalty
  • P2 08:27PITShot on goalPascal Dupuis
  • P2 08:27PITGoalPascal Dupuis, Sidney Crosby
  • P2 08:13PITShot on goalJarkko Ruutu
  • P2 08:13PITGoalJarkko Ruutu, Jordan Staal, Brooks Orpik
  • P2 04:18PITShot on goalKris Letang
  • P2 03:41PITShot on goalMax Talbot
  • P2 03:37NYRShot on goalSean Avery
  • P2 03:37NYRGoalSean Avery, Marc Staal, Michal Rozsival
  • P2 01:52NYRShot on goalChris Drury
  • P2 01:52NYRGoalChris Drury, Marc Staal, Nigel Dawes
  • P2 01:40NYRShot on goalBrendan Shanahan
  • P2 01:33PITShot on goalAdam Hall
  • P2 00:12PITShot on goalMarian Hossa
  • P1 18:53NYRShot on goalRyan Callahan
  • P1 18:35Penalty
  • P1 18:10NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P1 17:30Penalty
  • P1 15:00NYRShot on goalChris Drury
  • P1 14:22PITShot on goalSidney Crosby
  • P1 13:40NYRShot on goalMartin Straka
  • P1 13:40NYRGoalMartin Straka, Jaromir Jagr, Michal Rozsival
  • P1 13:11Penalty
  • P1 12:25NYRShot on goalMartin Straka
  • P1 08:49NYRShot on goalDan Girardi
  • P1 08:45NYRShot on goalBrandon Dubinsky
  • P1 06:48Penalty
  • P1 06:43PITShot on goalTyler Kennedy
  • P1 05:16PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P1 04:39PITShot on goalPetr Sykora
  • P1 04:34PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P1 01:45PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P1 01:35PITShot on goalEvgeni Malkin
  • P1 01:30PITShot on goalSergei Gonchar
  • P1 01:25PITShot on goalRyan Malone
  • P1 00:23Penalty

NYR vs PIT · 68 events