Forensic report
63 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
FLA
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.11
- xG (raw)
- 0.11
- Deserve %
- 27.2%
- Finishing luck
- +3.89
CAR
- Goals
- 3
- xG (flurry)
- 0.28
- xG (raw)
- 0.28
- Deserve %
- 72.8%
- Finishing luck
- +2.72
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | R. Dvorak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16:20 | |
| 16 | N. Horton | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:44 | |
| 10 | D. Booth | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:51 | |
| 11 | G. Campbell | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:20 | |
| 15 | J. Stumpel | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:37 | |
| 18 | V. Peltonen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:11 | |
| 9 | S. Weiss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:12 | |
| 12 | O. Jokinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12:01 | |
| 33 | W. Belak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 03:24 | |
| 53 | B. McLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:00 | |
| 54 | K. Kreps | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11:55 | |
| 85 | R. Olesz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17:57 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | J. Bouwmeester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 27:30 | |
| 7 | S. Montador | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:05 | |
| 5 | B. Allen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:45 | |
| 6 | M. Johansson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18:54 | |
| 3 | K. Skrastins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16:49 | |
| 22 | J. Cullimore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 24:32 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Vokoun | 18 | 1 | 94.4% | 20:00 | — |
| C. Anderson | 28 | 2 | 92.9% | 40:00 | W |
Shot map
63 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 16:37CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P3 13:16CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P3 09:23FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P3 09:18—Penalty—
- P3 07:59CARGoalSergei Samsonov, Ray Whitney, Joe Corvo
- P3 07:36CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P3 06:45—Penalty—
- P3 05:57—Penalty—
- P3 05:21CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P3 04:19CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P3 04:01CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P3 02:29CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P3 02:09—Penalty—
- P3 01:35CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P3 01:31CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P3 01:19CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P2 19:48FLAGoalRadek Dvorak, Gregory Campbell, Bryan Allen
- P2 19:41CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P2 18:58—Penalty—
- P2 18:51CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P2 17:49CARShot on goalDennis Seidenberg
- P2 16:34CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P2 16:29CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P2 16:21CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P2 15:58FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
- P2 15:43CARShot on goalNiclas Wallin
- P2 15:11FLAShot on goalMagnus Johansson
- P2 14:39CARGoalEric Staal, Joe Corvo, Ray Whitney
- P2 13:12CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 13:00—Penalty—
- P2 12:39CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 12:33—Penalty—
- P2 12:08FLAShot on goalJozef Stumpel
- P2 11:52FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P2 11:06FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
- P2 10:13FLAGoalNathan Horton, Ville Peltonen, Magnus Johansson
- P2 10:03CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P2 09:08FLAShot on goalMagnus Johansson
- P2 08:54CARShot on goalNiclas Wallin
- P2 08:10CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P2 07:45CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 06:19CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P2 03:25FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
- P2 03:10CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P2 02:52FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
- P2 02:34FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
- P2 01:46CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P2 00:17—Penalty—
- P1 19:22CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P1 19:08CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P1 18:53CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P1 18:41CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P1 18:35CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P1 17:27CARShot on goalBret Hedican
- P1 17:09CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P1 17:04CARShot on goalBret Hedican
- P1 13:06FLAGoalSteve Montador, Nathan Horton, David Booth
- P1 12:52CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P1 11:57FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P1 11:38FLAGoalJay Bouwmeester, Radek Dvorak, Jozef Stumpel
- P1 10:35CARShot on goalBret Hedican
- P1 09:40FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
- P1 08:20CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P1 07:25CARGoalTrevor Letowski, Chad LaRose
- P1 07:22CARShot on goalChad LaRose
- P1 07:13CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
- P1 06:59CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P1 05:04—Penalty—
- P1 03:22CARShot on goalEric Staal
- P1 02:58FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
- P1 02:23CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P1 02:02CARShot on goalTuomo Ruutu
FLA vs CAR · 72 events