ForensicHockey

Forensic report

66 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: ATL

FLA

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.20
xG (raw)
0.20
Deserve %
47.7%
Finishing luck
+2.80

ATL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.22
xG (raw)
0.22
Deserve %
52.3%
Finishing luck
+1.78

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
10D. Booth101-10014:21
12O. Jokinen10110017:47
16N. Horton011-10014:35
53B. McLean01110016:09
9S. Weiss000-10014:09
11G. Campbell00001014:03
14R. Dvorak00001215:44
15J. Stumpel00010015:40
18V. Peltonen00000011:54
33W. Belak00000010:04
54K. Kreps00001017:33
85R. Olesz00012017:34

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
4J. Bouwmeester10111123:26
6M. Johansson01100118:52
3K. Skrastins000-11119:17
5B. Allen00001117:15
7S. Montador000-11018:03
22J. Cullimore00003017:28

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
T. VokounNaN%
C. Anderson33293.9%59:48W

Shot map

66 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:42Penalty
  • P3 19:42Penalty
  • P3 17:46FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P3 16:48ATLGoalMark Recchi, Jordan Lavallee-Smotherman
  • P3 16:39FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P3 16:07ATLShot on goalJim Slater
  • P3 15:17ATLShot on goalSteve McCarthy
  • P3 11:52ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
  • P3 11:25ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
  • P3 11:24ATLShot on goalJoel Kwiatkowski
  • P3 09:52ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
  • P3 09:02FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P3 08:35ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
  • P3 07:23ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
  • P3 06:55ATLShot on goalMark Recchi
  • P3 06:36Penalty
  • P3 05:20ATLShot on goalMark Recchi
  • P3 05:00FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
  • P3 03:29ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
  • P3 02:31FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P3 02:08Penalty
  • P3 01:19FLAGoalDavid Booth, Magnus Johansson, Nathan Horton
  • P3 01:02FLAGoalJay Bouwmeester
  • P3 00:29ATLShot on goalToby Enstrom
  • P3 00:22ATLShot on goalEric Perrin
  • P2 18:51Penalty
  • P2 17:53ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
  • P2 17:52ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
  • P2 17:19Penalty
  • P2 16:37ATLShot on goalVyacheslav Kozlov
  • P2 15:47FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P2 15:39FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P2 14:17Penalty
  • P2 14:16FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P2 13:09ATLGoalJordan Lavallee-Smotherman, Niclas Havelid
  • P2 13:01ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
  • P2 12:32FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
  • P2 11:17ATLShot on goalEric Perrin
  • P2 10:26ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
  • P2 09:22FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P2 08:07FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P2 07:46FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
  • P2 05:03FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
  • P2 04:31FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P2 04:27FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P2 03:59ATLShot on goalTodd White
  • P2 03:23FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P2 02:47FLAShot on goalWade Belak
  • P2 01:45ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
  • P2 01:12FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P2 01:08FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
  • P1 19:59FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P1 17:48Penalty
  • P1 17:26FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
  • P1 17:12ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
  • P1 15:57FLAShot on goalKarlis Skrastins
  • P1 14:37FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
  • P1 13:54FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
  • P1 13:49FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
  • P1 13:17ATLShot on goalBryan Little
  • P1 13:09ATLShot on goalBoris Valabik
  • P1 12:19ATLShot on goalToby Enstrom
  • P1 11:34ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
  • P1 10:38FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
  • P1 09:24FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P1 07:33FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P1 06:32Penalty
  • P1 06:27FLAShot on goalKarlis Skrastins
  • P1 05:38ATLShot on goalJoel Kwiatkowski
  • P1 04:53ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
  • P1 04:10FLAGoalOlli Jokinen, Brett McLean
  • P1 03:40Penalty
  • P1 03:01ATLShot on goalEric Boulton
  • P1 02:47ATLShot on goalTodd White
  • P1 01:51FLAShot on goalRadek Dvorak
  • P1 00:23ATLShot on goalEric Perrin

FLA vs ATL · 76 events