ForensicHockey

Forensic report

66 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: PHI

ATL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.11
xG (raw)
0.11
Deserve %
24.6%
Finishing luck
+1.89

PHI

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.34
xG (raw)
0.34
Deserve %
75.4%
Finishing luck
+2.66

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
17I. Kovalchuk11210021:02
27C. Thorburn10111214:55
13V. Kozlov01101015:38
16B. Holik01112019:41
8M. Recchi000-13014:59
10B. Little000-10014:40
11E. Perrin00001015:28
12T. White00000011:45
19C. Armstrong00001117:19
23J. Slater00002014:56
29B. Larsen00000007:46
36E. Boulton00001007:29

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
3J. Kwiatkowski01100121:01
2G. Exelby00001121:18
5S. McCarthy00002416:08
7M. Popovic000-12014:59
28N. Havelid00000119:07
39T. Enstrom00010123:30

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
J. Hedberg00NaN%03:03
K. Lehtonen47393.6%56:20L

Shot map

66 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:57ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
  • P3 19:30ATLGoalIlya Kovalchuk, Bobby Holik, Vyacheslav Kozlov
  • P3 18:44PHIShot on goalJason Smith
  • P3 18:39PHIShot on goalBraydon Coburn
  • P3 17:44ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
  • P3 16:27Penalty
  • P3 15:24PHIShot on goalMike Richards
  • P3 13:28PHIShot on goalDaniel Brière
  • P3 12:20ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
  • P3 09:20Penalty
  • P3 09:20Penalty
  • P3 09:19PHIShot on goalMike Richards
  • P3 08:07PHIGoalVinny Prospal, Daniel Brière, Scott Hartnell
  • P3 06:51PHIShot on goalScottie Upshall
  • P3 06:18ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
  • P3 05:55ATLShot on goalBobby Holik
  • P3 05:08PHIShot on goalMike Richards
  • P3 04:57PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P3 04:01PHIShot on goalScott Hartnell
  • P3 03:46PHIShot on goalJaroslav Modry
  • P3 02:39PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P3 02:38PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P3 01:15ATLShot on goalChris Thorburn
  • P2 19:57PHIGoalJeff Carter, Kimmo Timonen, Joffrey Lupul
  • P2 19:49PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P2 19:12PHIShot on goalMike Knuble
  • P2 19:01Penalty
  • P2 18:30PHIShot on goalLasse Kukkonen
  • P2 17:59PHIShot on goalScott Hartnell
  • P2 16:35ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
  • P2 15:20Penalty
  • P2 14:38PHIShot on goalJaroslav Modry
  • P2 14:30PHIShot on goalJaroslav Modry
  • P2 13:17PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P2 11:43PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P2 11:40PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P2 11:22PHIShot on goalMike Knuble
  • P2 11:11Penalty
  • P2 08:35ATLShot on goalTodd White
  • P2 07:21PHIShot on goalKimmo Timonen
  • P2 07:06PHIShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P2 06:01PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P2 05:53PHIShot on goalScottie Upshall
  • P2 05:22ATLShot on goalGarnet Exelby
  • P2 02:43PHIShot on goalScott Hartnell
  • P2 02:27ATLShot on goalJim Slater
  • P2 02:15PHIShot on goalMike Knuble
  • P2 01:47PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P2 00:45PHIShot on goalMike Richards
  • P2 00:39PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P1 18:09ATLShot on goalBobby Holik
  • P1 18:00Penalty
  • P1 17:53PHIShot on goalMike Richards
  • P1 14:45PHIShot on goalJaroslav Modry
  • P1 14:29PHIShot on goalMike Richards
  • P1 14:09PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P1 12:51PHIShot on goalRiley Cote
  • P1 11:48PHIShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P1 11:46PHIShot on goalDaniel Brière
  • P1 11:29ATLShot on goalMark Popovic
  • P1 11:09ATLShot on goalIlya Kovalchuk
  • P1 10:27PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P1 10:08PHIShot on goalBraydon Coburn
  • P1 09:02PHIShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P1 08:19Penalty
  • P1 07:00PHIGoalMike Richards, Joffrey Lupul, Patrick Thoresen
  • P1 06:57PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P1 06:55PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P1 06:47PHIShot on goalPatrick Thoresen
  • P1 06:27ATLShot on goalGarnet Exelby
  • P1 05:13ATLShot on goalMark Recchi
  • P1 03:14ATLShot on goalColby Armstrong
  • P1 03:05ATLShot on goalTodd White
  • P1 00:58ATLGoalChris Thorburn, Ilya Kovalchuk, Joel Kwiatkowski

ATL vs PHI · 74 events