ForensicHockey

Forensic report

50 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: TBL

NYR

Goals
0
xG (flurry)
0.12
xG (raw)
0.12
Deserve %
36.6%
Finishing luck
-0.12

TBL

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.21
xG (raw)
0.21
Deserve %
63.4%
Finishing luck
+2.79

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
10N. Dawes00000013:47
14B. Shanahan000-10018:19
15B. Betts00002012:11
16S. Avery00000015:53
17B. Dubinsky00003017:37
19S. Gomez000-20017:01
20F. Sjostrom00000007:40
23C. Drury000-10016:41
24R. Callahan000-12010:36
28C. Orr00002007:27
68J. Jagr000-10019:27
82M. Straka00000214:06

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
3M. Rozsival000-12123:52
5D. Girardi000-21420:46
18M. Staal000-10122:09
34J. Strudwick00002114:52
51F. Tyutin00001322:23
55C. Backman00000016:20

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
H. Lundqvist29293.1%59:35L
S. ValiquetteNaN%

Shot map

50 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:02TBLGoalMichel Ouellet, Mike Smith
  • P3 18:56NYRShot on goalMichal Rozsival
  • P3 15:55TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
  • P3 14:58NYRShot on goalMartin Straka
  • P3 14:46Penalty
  • P3 13:09NYRShot on goalDan Girardi
  • P3 12:24Penalty
  • P3 10:56NYRShot on goalFredrik Sjostrom
  • P3 09:45NYRShot on goalRyan Callahan
  • P3 08:37NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
  • P3 08:05TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
  • P3 06:40TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
  • P3 06:40TBLGoalMartin St. Louis, Jussi Jokinen, Dan Boyle
  • P3 06:38TBLShot on goalJussi Jokinen
  • P3 06:26TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
  • P3 05:04Penalty
  • P3 05:03TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P3 04:59TBLShot on goalJeff Halpern
  • P3 02:07NYRShot on goalFredrik Sjostrom
  • P3 01:40NYRShot on goalMichal Rozsival
  • P3 01:33NYRShot on goalBlair Betts
  • P2 19:59TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P2 19:13TBLGoalAlexandre Picard, Jeff Halpern, Mathieu Darche
  • P2 19:11TBLShot on goalJeff Halpern
  • P2 18:39Penalty
  • P2 18:39TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P2 17:21Penalty
  • P2 16:58TBLShot on goalFilip Kuba
  • P2 16:17NYRShot on goalRyan Callahan
  • P2 16:12NYRShot on goalScott Gomez
  • P2 14:32NYRShot on goalJaromir Jagr
  • P2 14:20TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
  • P2 14:05NYRShot on goalJason Strudwick
  • P2 13:02TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P2 12:38TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
  • P2 12:18TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P2 11:42TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
  • P2 11:11Penalty
  • P2 09:54TBLShot on goalDan Boyle
  • P2 07:18TBLShot on goalCraig MacDonald
  • P2 06:10TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
  • P2 06:08TBLShot on goalMathieu Darche
  • P2 05:20TBLShot on goalMichel Ouellet
  • P2 04:01TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P1 19:38NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
  • P1 18:07NYRShot on goalJaromir Jagr
  • P1 17:38TBLShot on goalVincent Lecavalier
  • P1 17:29TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis
  • P1 15:47Penalty
  • P1 15:45NYRShot on goalChristian Backman
  • P1 13:03TBLShot on goalJeff Halpern
  • P1 09:50NYRShot on goalSean Avery
  • P1 07:36NYRShot on goalNigel Dawes
  • P1 07:29NYRShot on goalFedor Tyutin
  • P1 05:34TBLShot on goalJason Ward
  • P1 03:05Penalty
  • P1 03:00NYRShot on goalFedor Tyutin
  • P1 02:02TBLShot on goalMartin St. Louis

NYR vs TBL · 58 events