ForensicHockey

Forensic report

51 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: TOR

TOR

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.18
xG (raw)
0.18
Deserve %
57.2%
Finishing luck
+2.82

PHI

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.13
xG (raw)
0.13
Deserve %
42.8%
Finishing luck
+1.87

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
23A. Ponikarovsky10120018:44
10A. Steen01102219:55
19D. Moore01121015:44
55J. Blake01101119:53
11J. Tlusty000-10008:19
13M. Sundin00000104:57
14M. Stajan00000121:34
16D. Tucker00001119:37
42K. Wellwood00010010:14
48J. Williams00000007:34
54K. Newbury000-10003:10
80N. Antropov00000021:56

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
7I. White10111013:09
31P. Kubina10100325:45
8C. Colaiacovo01112018:18
15T. Kaberle011-10026:06
24B. McCabe01110425:21
36A. Stralman00001111:59

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
A. RaycroftNaN%
V. Toskala20290.0%59:48W

Shot map

51 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 20:00Penalty
  • P3 20:00Penalty
  • P3 16:48PHIShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P3 15:40PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P3 15:13Penalty
  • P3 15:13Penalty
  • P3 15:12TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P3 15:04TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P3 14:03TORShot on goalKyle Wellwood
  • P3 13:51TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P3 13:23TORShot on goalBryan McCabe
  • P3 11:08TORShot on goalIan White
  • P3 10:40PHIShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P3 10:12PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P3 08:06Penalty
  • P3 07:44PHIShot on goalJoffrey Lupul
  • P3 02:55PHIShot on goalScottie Upshall
  • P3 01:09TORGoalPavel Kubina, Tomas Kaberle, Alexander Steen
  • P3 00:59TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P3 00:12TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
  • P2 19:23Penalty
  • P2 19:03TORShot on goalBryan McCabe
  • P2 18:41Penalty
  • P2 17:48TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
  • P2 17:17TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P2 14:24TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P2 12:34PHIShot on goalRyan Parent
  • P2 12:20PHIShot on goalScottie Upshall
  • P2 10:41PHIGoalMike Knuble, Kimmo Timonen, Daniel Brière
  • P2 09:08Penalty
  • P2 08:44Penalty
  • P2 08:43PHIShot on goalScott Hartnell
  • P2 06:20Penalty
  • P2 06:18TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 05:55TORShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P2 05:08TORShot on goalAlexei Ponikarovsky
  • P2 04:53TORShot on goalIan White
  • P2 03:35TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
  • P2 02:53TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
  • P2 02:11Penalty
  • P2 01:13PHIShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P2 01:04PHIShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P2 01:03PHIShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P1 19:23TORShot on goalNik Antropov
  • P1 16:56PHIShot on goalJeff Carter
  • P1 16:38PHIShot on goalDaniel Brière
  • P1 16:03PHIShot on goalVinny Prospal
  • P1 15:30Penalty
  • P1 13:26TORShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P1 12:32TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P1 12:16TORShot on goalAlexander Steen
  • P1 11:54TORGoalAlexei Ponikarovsky, Dominic Moore, Bryan McCabe
  • P1 11:10PHIShot on goalR.J. Umberger
  • P1 10:44TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P1 08:51PHIShot on goalDerian Hatcher
  • P1 06:43PHIGoalJeff Carter
  • P1 06:26TORShot on goalDominic Moore
  • P1 05:27TORShot on goalCarlo Colaiacovo
  • P1 03:55TORGoalIan White, Carlo Colaiacovo, Jason Blake
  • P1 03:46TORShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P1 03:32PHIShot on goalRandy Jones
  • P1 03:16TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P1 02:46TORShot on goalPavel Kubina

TOR vs PHI · 63 events