Forensic report
56 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter
FLA
- Goals
- 4
- xG (flurry)
- 0.17
- xG (raw)
- 0.17
- Deserve %
- 43.2%
- Finishing luck
- +3.83
CAR
- Goals
- 5
- xG (flurry)
- 0.22
- xG (raw)
- 0.22
- Deserve %
- 56.8%
- Finishing luck
- +4.78
Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.
Box score
Forwards
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | N. Horton | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 | |
| 9 | S. Weiss | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:44 | |
| 53 | B. McLean | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:43 | |
| 85 | R. Olesz | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 14:31 | |
| 12 | O. Jokinen | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 | |
| 18 | V. Peltonen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | |
| 10 | D. Booth | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 20:17 | |
| 11 | G. Campbell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 16:45 | |
| 37 | T. Glass | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 03:53 | |
| 45 | D. Brine | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 06:33 | |
| 54 | K. Kreps | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 18:04 |
Defense
| # | Player | G | A | P | +/- | S | H | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | J. Bouwmeester | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 2 | 3 | 25:41 | |
| 2 | B. Mezei | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 | |
| 5 | B. Allen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 20:05 | |
| 6 | M. Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 17:24 | |
| 7 | S. Montador | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 06:12 | |
| 22 | J. Cullimore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 20:09 | |
| 24 | R. Salei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22:05 |
Goalies
| Player | SA | GA | SV% | TOI | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Vokoun | 32 | 5 | 84.4% | 59:13 | L |
| C. Anderson | NaN% | — |
Shot map
56 model xG shots in warehouse
High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal
Play-by-play
- P3 19:51FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P3 19:45—Penalty—
- P3 18:03FLAShot on goalRuslan Salei
- P3 16:13FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
- P3 16:11FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P3 15:39CARGoalRay Whitney, Joe Corvo, Eric Staal
- P3 15:17CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P3 14:25FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P3 14:06FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
- P3 13:50CARShot on goalTim Conboy
- P3 07:38CARGoalTrevor Letowski, Tim Conboy, Andrew Ladd
- P3 06:32CARShot on goalTrevor Letowski
- P3 06:13—Penalty—
- P3 06:11CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P3 05:47FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
- P3 05:35CARGoalEric Staal, Erik Cole
- P3 04:59CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P3 04:11FLAGoalNathan Horton
- P3 04:09FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
- P3 03:57CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P3 03:30FLAShot on goalRuslan Salei
- P3 03:24FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P3 02:07—Penalty—
- P3 01:56—Penalty—
- P3 01:40CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P3 01:36CARShot on goalTim Gleason
- P3 01:08CARShot on goalNiclas Wallin
- P2 19:59CARShot on goalRay Whitney
- P2 16:35CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P2 16:28CARShot on goalNiclas Wallin
- P2 15:56CARShot on goalRay Whitney
- P2 14:28CARShot on goalMatt Cullen
- P2 14:17—Penalty—
- P2 13:23FLAGoalNathan Horton, Stephen Weiss
- P2 13:15FLAShot on goalBryan Allen
- P2 13:14CARShot on goalAndrew Ladd
- P2 11:05CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P2 11:02CARShot on goalRyan Bayda
- P2 09:49CARGoalSergei Samsonov, Trevor Letowski, Andrew Ladd
- P2 09:11FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
- P2 08:21FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
- P2 08:08FLAGoalRostislav Olesz, Stephen Weiss, Jay Bouwmeester
- P2 07:36—Penalty—
- P2 06:17FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P2 06:04CARShot on goalNiclas Wallin
- P2 03:50—Penalty—
- P2 03:03CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P2 02:28CARShot on goalErik Cole
- P2 02:00CARShot on goalRay Whitney
- P2 00:05FLAShot on goalBryan Allen
- P1 19:15CARShot on goalKeith Aucoin
- P1 18:59—Penalty—
- P1 18:14FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
- P1 18:09FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
- P1 17:27—Penalty—
- P1 16:40FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P1 16:30FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
- P1 15:26FLAShot on goalRostislav Olesz
- P1 14:41—Penalty—
- P1 11:33CARShot on goalSergei Samsonov
- P1 09:59CARShot on goalJoe Corvo
- P1 07:47CARShot on goalTrevor Letowski
- P1 06:44FLAGoalBrett McLean, Ville Peltonen, Olli Jokinen
- P1 03:21CARGoalWade Brookbank, Matt Cullen
- P1 02:38CARShot on goalScott Walker
- P1 00:57CARShot on goalRay Whitney
FLA vs CAR · 66 events