ForensicHockey

Forensic report

73 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: MTL

MTL

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.25
xG (raw)
0.25
Deserve %
50.1%
Finishing luck
+1.75

FLA

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.25
xG (raw)
0.25
Deserve %
49.9%
Finishing luck
+0.75

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
11S. Koivu02210020:10
21C. Higgins10111019:00
27A. Kovalev10101022:43
20B. Smolinski01100013:16
6T. Kostopoulos00001008:00
14T. Plekanec00000019:05
25M. Dandenault00000008:42
40M. Lapierre00003011:13
46A. Kostitsyn00001015:42
74S. Kostitsyn00010014:29
84G. Latendresse00002010:46

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
3R. O'Byrne00002114:29
8M. Komisarek00014224:28
26J. Gorges00000113:07
32M. Streit00000019:18
51F. Bouillon00012120:37
71P. Brisebois00000110:10
79A. Markov00001329:52

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
C. Price36197.2%61:34W
C. HuetNaN%

Shot map

73 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P4 01:43MTLGoalAlex Kovalev, Saku Koivu, Bryan Smolinski
  • P4 01:36MTLShot on goalSaku Koivu
  • P4 00:46MTLShot on goalSaku Koivu
  • P4 00:33Penalty
  • P4 00:17MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P4 00:11MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P3 17:29FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P3 16:44FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P3 16:33FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P3 16:21Penalty
  • P3 16:19FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P3 16:19FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P3 16:17FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
  • P3 15:52FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
  • P3 15:51FLAShot on goalBryan Allen
  • P3 15:36FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
  • P3 14:00FLAShot on goalDavid Brine
  • P3 13:57FLAShot on goalRob Globke
  • P3 12:34MTLGoalChris Higgins, Saku Koivu
  • P3 12:13MTLShot on goalSaku Koivu
  • P3 11:01MTLShot on goalTomas Plekanec
  • P3 10:20Penalty
  • P3 10:20MTLShot on goalJosh Gorges
  • P3 09:58MTLShot on goalMaxim Lapierre
  • P3 08:56FLAShot on goalRob Globke
  • P3 08:03FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
  • P3 06:29FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P3 05:52Penalty
  • P3 05:52MTLShot on goalAlex Kovalev
  • P3 04:59MTLShot on goalAndrei Markov
  • P3 04:30MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P3 04:21Penalty
  • P3 03:19MTLShot on goalMark Streit
  • P3 02:00Penalty
  • P3 01:58MTLShot on goalPatrice Brisebois
  • P3 00:49MTLShot on goalTom Kostopoulos
  • P2 19:55MTLShot on goalMark Streit
  • P2 18:48MTLShot on goalMaxim Lapierre
  • P2 18:15FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P2 17:51FLAShot on goalBryan Allen
  • P2 17:18FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P2 16:10FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P2 14:41Penalty
  • P2 14:40FLAShot on goalSteve Montador
  • P2 14:15MTLShot on goalSaku Koivu
  • P2 13:44FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P2 13:37FLAShot on goalCory Murphy
  • P2 12:43Penalty
  • P2 12:26MTLShot on goalTom Kostopoulos
  • P2 11:44FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P2 11:38FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P2 10:09MTLShot on goalTomas Plekanec
  • P2 08:51Penalty
  • P2 08:28MTLShot on goalBryan Smolinski
  • P2 07:33FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P2 06:56FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
  • P2 06:27MTLShot on goalSaku Koivu
  • P2 05:48Penalty
  • P2 05:48Penalty
  • P2 04:53MTLShot on goalTomas Plekanec
  • P2 03:59MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P2 03:43MTLShot on goalAndrei Markov
  • P2 02:22FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P2 01:23MTLShot on goalMaxim Lapierre
  • P1 19:54MTLShot on goalTomas Plekanec
  • P1 19:39MTLShot on goalAlex Kovalev
  • P1 19:20MTLShot on goalAndrei Kostitsyn
  • P1 19:18FLAShot on goalRuslan Salei
  • P1 19:07FLAShot on goalGregory Campbell
  • P1 18:29MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P1 18:25MTLShot on goalAndrei Markov
  • P1 15:34FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P1 14:19MTLShot on goalMark Streit
  • P1 13:57MTLShot on goalAndrei Markov
  • P1 13:34MTLShot on goalAndrei Markov
  • P1 12:56Penalty
  • P1 12:04FLAGoalSteve Montador, Kamil Kreps, Ruslan Salei
  • P1 11:35FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
  • P1 11:19FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
  • P1 10:20FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
  • P1 10:10Penalty
  • P1 07:23MTLShot on goalChris Higgins
  • P1 04:58FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
  • P1 04:06FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
  • P1 02:48MTLShot on goalAndrei Markov
  • P1 01:39FLAShot on goalCory Murphy

MTL vs FLA · 86 events