FLA @ BUF · Forensic Hockey

Gameday recap →

Panthers

Final

3–5

SOG 25 – 31

Sabres

Forensic report

56 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: BUF

FLA

Goals: 3
xG (flurry): 0.17
xG (raw): 0.17
Deserve %: 42.6%
Finishing luck: +2.83

BUF

Goals: 5
xG (flurry): 0.23
xG (raw): 0.23
Deserve %: 57.4%
Finishing luck: +4.77

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#	Player	G	A	P	+/-	H	BLK	TOI
16	N. Horton	1	1	2	1	1	0	20:35
12	O. Jokinen	1	0	1	1	1	0	19:19
9	S. Weiss	0	1	1	0	1	0	20:25
10	D. Booth	0	1	1	0	1	1	21:00
53	B. McLean	0	1	1	1	0	1	18:56
11	G. Campbell	0	0	0	0	0	0	15:54
18	V. Peltonen	0	0	0	0	1	0	16:33
20	R. Zednik	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:44
37	T. Glass	0	0	0	0	1	0	03:40
45	D. Brine	0	0	0	0	0	1	03:35
54	K. Kreps	0	0	0	0	1	1	13:35

Defense

#	Player	G	A	P	+/-	H	BLK	TOI
2	B. Mezei	1	0	1	1	0	0	11:20
4	J. Bouwmeester	0	1	1	1	2	3	26:05
5	B. Allen	0	0	0	0	3	1	22:43
7	S. Montador	0	0	0	-1	0	0	07:48
21	C. Murphy	0	0	0	1	0	0	17:07
22	J. Cullimore	0	0	0	0	0	1	19:29
24	R. Salei	0	0	0	-1	2	4	21:44

Goalies

Player	SA	GA	SV%	TOI	Dec
T. Vokoun			NaN%		—
C. Anderson	31	5	83.9%	59:07	L

Shot map

56 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

P3 18:37BUFGoalDerek Roy, Jaroslav Spacek, Brian Campbell
P3 17:55—Penalty—
P3 17:54BUFShot on goalThomas Vanek
P3 15:51BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
P3 14:26—Penalty—
P3 09:22FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
P3 09:06BUFGoalThomas Vanek, Brian Campbell, Jason Pominville
P3 07:53FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
P3 07:40—Penalty—
P3 07:39BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
P3 07:00FLAShot on goalCory Murphy
P3 06:05BUFShot on goalHenrik Tallinder
P3 04:08FLAShot on goalStephen Weiss
P3 03:14BUFShot on goalThomas Vanek
P3 02:07FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
P3 01:54BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
P3 01:20FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
P3 00:23FLAGoalNathan Horton, Stephen Weiss
P2 19:42BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
P2 19:02FLAGoalOlli Jokinen, Brett McLean, Jay Bouwmeester
P2 16:51BUFShot on goalThomas Vanek
P2 16:04FLAShot on goalJassen Cullimore
P2 15:55FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
P2 15:44FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
P2 15:38FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
P2 15:04FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
P2 14:59FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
P2 13:55BUFGoalDerek Roy, Thomas Vanek, Brian Campbell
P2 13:52BUFShot on goalBrian Campbell
P2 12:58BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
P2 12:42—Penalty—
P2 12:41BUFShot on goalDaniel Paille
P2 12:08BUFShot on goalMichael Ryan
P2 11:56BUFGoalJason Pominville, Nolan Pratt
P2 11:34FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
P2 10:59BUFShot on goalNolan Pratt
P2 08:53FLAShot on goalJay Bouwmeester
P2 07:48—Penalty—
P2 07:48—Penalty—
P2 07:48—Penalty—
P2 07:48—Penalty—
P2 07:35FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
P2 07:21BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
P2 06:24BUFShot on goalThomas Vanek
P2 06:01FLAShot on goalNathan Horton
P2 04:03BUFGoalPatrick Kaleta, Adam Mair, Andrew Peters
P2 03:11FLAShot on goalVille Peltonen
P2 00:55FLAShot on goalDavid Booth
P1 18:11BUFShot on goalHenrik Tallinder
P1 16:37FLAShot on goalKamil Kreps
P1 14:56FLAShot on goalRichard Zednik
P1 13:18BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
P1 12:05BUFShot on goalThomas Vanek
P1 09:50FLAShot on goalOlli Jokinen
P1 09:23BUFShot on goalJaroslav Spacek
P1 07:48—Penalty—
P1 07:16BUFShot on goalPaul Gaustad
P1 07:09BUFShot on goalMichael Ryan
P1 06:42BUFShot on goalJochen Hecht
P1 06:13FLAShot on goalBrett McLean
P1 05:42FLAGoalBranislav Mezei, Nathan Horton, David Booth
P1 04:42BUFShot on goalTim Connolly
P1 03:57BUFShot on goalAndrew Peters
P1 03:17BUFShot on goalJason Pominville
P1 00:19BUFShot on goalBrian Campbell

FLA vs BUF · 65 events