ForensicHockey

Forensic report

44 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: TOR

STL

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.13
xG (raw)
0.13
Deserve %
45.1%
Finishing luck
+2.87

TOR

Goals
2
xG (flurry)
0.15
xG (raw)
0.15
Deserve %
54.9%
Finishing luck
+1.85

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
7K. Tkachuk20221015:27
42D. Backes11222015:57
9P. Kariya01111016:43
10A. McDonald00001118:21
12L. Stempniak00000115:40
13D. Hinote00003114:55
17R. Johnson00001215:18
18J. McClement000-12114:10
19D. King00001006:45
21J. Mayers00001113:59
22B. Boyes000-11016:59
57D. Perron00000009:56

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
6E. Johnson01122112:48
27B. Salvador01111220:04
77J. McKee01123320:22
4E. Brewer00013123:53
5B. Jackman000-22324:37
49S. Wagner000-21316:22

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
M. Legace25292.0%59:44W
H. ToivonenNaN%

Shot map

44 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:30TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P3 17:52STLShot on goalAndy McDonald
  • P3 16:21Penalty
  • P3 15:37STLShot on goalBarret Jackman
  • P3 15:03Penalty
  • P3 14:46TORShot on goalMats Sundin
  • P3 14:14TORShot on goalDominic Moore
  • P3 14:07STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P3 11:59TORShot on goalJiri Tlusty
  • P3 11:51TORShot on goalJiri Tlusty
  • P3 08:20TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
  • P3 07:23TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P3 06:44STLShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P3 05:27STLShot on goalEric Brewer
  • P3 05:09STLShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P3 04:15STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P2 15:11TORGoalMatt Stajan, Jason Blake, Darcy Tucker
  • P2 13:30TORShot on goalAnton Stralman
  • P2 13:21TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P2 11:47Penalty
  • P2 10:55STLShot on goalErik Johnson
  • P2 10:55STLGoalDavid Backes, Erik Johnson, Paul Kariya
  • P2 08:57STLShot on goalDan Hinote
  • P2 05:38Penalty
  • P2 05:38TORShot on goalMatt Stajan
  • P2 05:14STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P2 04:31Penalty
  • P2 03:57STLShot on goalDJ King
  • P2 01:43TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle
  • P2 00:51TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P2 00:45TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 19:39STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P1 16:17TORShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P1 15:43TORShot on goalNik Antropov
  • P1 14:17Penalty
  • P1 14:11TORShot on goalNik Antropov
  • P1 13:49TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P1 13:44TORShot on goalWade Belak
  • P1 12:17TORGoalJason Blake, Darcy Tucker, Dominic Moore
  • P1 12:03TORShot on goalJason Blake
  • P1 11:53TORShot on goalDarcy Tucker
  • P1 10:27STLShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P1 09:03STLShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P1 08:02STLShot on goalDavid Backes
  • P1 07:08Penalty
  • P1 07:08STLShot on goalSteve Wagner
  • P1 05:41STLGoalKeith Tkachuk, Jay McKee
  • P1 03:05TORShot on goalChad Kilger
  • P1 01:18STLGoalKeith Tkachuk, Bryce Salvador, David Backes
  • P1 01:00TORShot on goalPavel Kubina
  • P1 00:54TORShot on goalTomas Kaberle

STL vs TOR · 51 events