ForensicHockey

Forensic report

54 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: STL

STL

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.22
xG (raw)
0.22
Deserve %
58.1%
Finishing luck
+3.78

BOS

Goals
1
xG (flurry)
0.16
xG (raw)
0.16
Deserve %
41.9%
Finishing luck
+0.84

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
7K. Tkachuk12331015:24
12L. Stempniak10123016:03
21J. Mayers10111017:20
22B. Boyes10111117:49
17R. Johnson01110118:18
18J. McClement01110007:47
20M. Johnson01110110:46
57D. Perron01110110:20
9P. Kariya00000119:17
10A. McDonald00000019:09
19D. King00000004:03
42D. Backes00002016:08

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
4E. Brewer00040223:25
5B. Jackman00001020:14
6E. Johnson00010113:02
27B. Salvador00030122:00
55C. Backman00000122:41
77J. McKee00001216:20

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
M. Legace25196.0%59:56W
H. ToivonenNaN%

Shot map

54 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:18STLGoalKeith Tkachuk, Mike Johnson
  • P3 18:01BOSShot on goalPhil Kessel
  • P3 17:02STLGoalJamal Mayers, Ryan Johnson
  • P3 16:52Penalty
  • P3 16:41Penalty
  • P3 16:11BOSShot on goalMark Stuart
  • P3 15:44STLShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P3 14:58BOSShot on goalChuck Kobasew
  • P3 14:27BOSShot on goalVladimir Sobotka
  • P3 14:01BOSShot on goalDennis Wideman
  • P3 12:49STLShot on goalErik Johnson
  • P3 09:26STLShot on goalRyan Johnson
  • P3 09:24STLShot on goalBryce Salvador
  • P3 09:17STLShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P3 09:14STLShot on goalEric Brewer
  • P3 08:25STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P3 07:21STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P3 07:10BOSGoalZdeno Chara, Chuck Kobasew, Dennis Wideman
  • P3 06:35STLShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P3 06:08BOSShot on goalMarco Sturm
  • P3 05:54Penalty
  • P3 05:29STLShot on goalMike Johnson
  • P3 01:21Penalty
  • P2 18:47STLShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P2 18:37STLShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P2 17:40STLGoalBrad Boyes, Jay McClement, Keith Tkachuk
  • P2 17:11BOSShot on goalPhil Kessel
  • P2 17:03BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P2 15:09Penalty
  • P2 15:09Penalty
  • P2 14:58STLShot on goalDJ King
  • P2 13:28BOSShot on goalMark Stuart
  • P2 13:09BOSShot on goalMark Stuart
  • P2 11:10STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P2 10:33STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P2 10:11Penalty
  • P2 09:54Penalty
  • P2 09:54Penalty
  • P2 07:53STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P2 07:29STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P2 06:47Penalty
  • P2 06:26BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P2 06:09STLShot on goalErik Johnson
  • P2 05:35Penalty
  • P2 05:35Penalty
  • P2 03:38BOSShot on goalMarc Savard
  • P2 02:18STLShot on goalDavid Backes
  • P2 02:08BOSShot on goalAndrew Ference
  • P2 01:43BOSShot on goalMark Stuart
  • P2 01:15Penalty
  • P2 00:27Penalty
  • P2 00:27BOSShot on goalGlen Metropolit
  • P1 19:27STLShot on goalEric Brewer
  • P1 18:09BOSShot on goalPhil Kessel
  • P1 16:42Penalty
  • P1 15:46BOSShot on goalMark Stuart
  • P1 14:56STLShot on goalDavid Backes
  • P1 13:56BOSShot on goalVladimir Sobotka
  • P1 11:56STLGoalLee Stempniak, Keith Tkachuk, David Perron
  • P1 11:43STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P1 11:12BOSShot on goalP.J. Axelsson
  • P1 10:25BOSShot on goalShawn Thornton
  • P1 09:28BOSShot on goalMarco Sturm
  • P1 07:12BOSShot on goalPeter Schaefer
  • P1 02:57STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P1 01:54BOSShot on goalZdeno Chara
  • P1 01:34BOSShot on goalMarco Sturm
  • P1 00:17STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P1 00:15STLShot on goalAndy McDonald

STL vs BOS · 69 events