ForensicHockey

Forensic report

59 ingested shots · flurry-adjusted xG · deserve-to-win meter

Process edge: EDM

STL

Goals
4
xG (flurry)
0.19
xG (raw)
0.19
Deserve %
48.1%
Finishing luck
+3.81

EDM

Goals
3
xG (flurry)
0.21
xG (raw)
0.21
Deserve %
51.9%
Finishing luck
+2.79

Deserve-to-win uses league-average goaltending assumption (MoneyPuck-style). Positive luck means outscoring flurry-adjusted expected goals; negative means underperforming shot quality.

Box score

Forwards

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
22B. Boyes20220018:51
7K. Tkachuk02200014:43
9P. Kariya10110018:27
39D. Weight10111017:35
12L. Stempniak01110014:25
18J. McClement011-10013:09
57D. Perron01113012:35
13D. Hinote000-10010:10
17R. Johnson000-11115:18
20M. Johnson000-10011:39
21J. Mayers000-10115:45
42D. Backes000-12009:08

Defense

#PlayerGAP+/-SHBLKTOI
6E. Johnson01110313:53
4E. Brewer000-13122:31
5B. Jackman00000023:21
27B. Salvador000-11322:28
55C. Backman00010016:46
77J. McKee00000017:32

Goalies

PlayerSAGASV%TOIDec
H. Toivonen28389.3%59:44W
M. SchwarzNaN%

Shot map

59 model xG shots in warehouse

High danger (xG ≥ 25%)Medium (xG 12–25%)Low (xG 5–12%)Very low (xG < 5%)Goal

Play-by-play

  • P3 19:50EDMShot on goalTom Gilbert
  • P3 19:33EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P3 19:21EDMGoalMarty Reasoner, Shawn Horcoff, Dustin Penner
  • P3 17:02STLShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P3 16:42Penalty
  • P3 16:25STLShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P3 16:24STLShot on goalErik Johnson
  • P3 15:54STLShot on goalErik Johnson
  • P3 15:12Penalty
  • P3 14:15STLGoalPaul Kariya, Keith Tkachuk
  • P3 13:46EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P3 13:45EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P3 12:45STLShot on goalDoug Weight
  • P3 12:16EDMGoalRobert Nilsson, Sam Gagner
  • P3 11:39STLShot on goalDavid Backes
  • P3 09:52Penalty
  • P3 09:50STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P3 07:57EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P3 07:12STLShot on goalMike Johnson
  • P3 06:34EDMShot on goalDustin Penner
  • P3 05:55Penalty
  • P3 05:52EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P3 04:06STLGoalDoug Weight, David Perron
  • P3 03:12STLGoalBrad Boyes, Erik Johnson, Keith Tkachuk
  • P3 02:50Penalty
  • P3 02:49STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P3 02:43STLShot on goalJay McClement
  • P3 00:38Penalty
  • P2 17:11EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P2 16:32STLShot on goalDoug Weight
  • P2 13:57Penalty
  • P2 13:56STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P2 13:01STLShot on goalChristian Backman
  • P2 12:34STLShot on goalDavid Perron
  • P2 11:32STLShot on goalDoug Weight
  • P2 09:19STLShot on goalErik Johnson
  • P2 09:13STLShot on goalKeith Tkachuk
  • P2 06:24EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P2 06:21EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P2 05:37Penalty
  • P2 04:33EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P2 04:20EDMShot on goalRobert Nilsson
  • P2 03:33STLShot on goalJay McKee
  • P2 02:54STLShot on goalBrad Boyes
  • P2 02:11STLShot on goalBarret Jackman
  • P2 01:02Penalty
  • P2 00:55STLShot on goalPaul Kariya
  • P2 00:44STLShot on goalBryce Salvador
  • P1 19:39EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P1 18:41EDMGoalShawn Horcoff, Ales Hemsky
  • P1 15:00EDMShot on goalSam Gagner
  • P1 14:58EDMShot on goalTom Gilbert
  • P1 14:41EDMShot on goalPatrick Thoresen
  • P1 13:58EDMShot on goalSteve Staios
  • P1 12:47EDMShot on goalShawn Horcoff
  • P1 12:41STLShot on goalJay McClement
  • P1 11:42EDMShot on goalDenis Grebeshkov
  • P1 11:30Penalty
  • P1 11:27EDMShot on goalAles Hemsky
  • P1 10:40STLGoalBrad Boyes, Lee Stempniak, Jay McClement
  • P1 10:34STLShot on goalLee Stempniak
  • P1 10:06EDMShot on goalPatrick Thoresen
  • P1 08:57STLShot on goalJamal Mayers
  • P1 05:59EDMShot on goalMarty Reasoner
  • P1 04:43EDMShot on goalTom Gilbert
  • P1 04:08EDMShot on goalAndrew Cogliano
  • P1 03:08Penalty
  • P1 02:07EDMShot on goalLiam Reddox
  • P1 01:35STLShot on goalDavid Backes
  • P1 01:16STLShot on goalLee Stempniak

STL vs EDM · 70 events